Difference between revisions of "TD21 (2145)"

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<!--{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Twenty-one
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{{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Twenty-one
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|category=cat1|type=Category 1 hurricane
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|category=storm|type=Tropical storm
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|local time=0200
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|local time=0800
 
|date=December 5
 
|date=December 5
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
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|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 38.5°N 04.0°E]<br/>About 355 km (220 miles) northwest of the Badía de la Pau military base
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|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 37.4°N 05.1°E]<br/>Just southeast of the Badía de la Pau military base
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|winds=150 km/h (90 mph)
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|winds=85 km/h (50 mph)
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
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|pressure=978 hPa
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|pressure=998 hPa
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|movement=Southeast at 59 km/h (37 mph)
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|movement=East at 42 km/h (26 mph)
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>  
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>  
 
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-->
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  TCAD1 HPCWT 050935
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  TCAD1 HPCWT 050745
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  TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE (4521) ADVISORY 010
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  HURRICANE TWENTY-ONE (4521) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 009A
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  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  CYCLONESVILLE, WESTERN TERRITORIES BUREAU
 
  CYCLONESVILLE, WESTERN TERRITORIES BUREAU
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  5:40 AM PAX... 7:40 AM HPT... 6:40 AM LOCAL TIME DECEMBER 5 2145
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  7 AM PAX... 10 AM HPT... 8 AM LOCAL TIME DECEMBER 5 2145
 
   
 
   
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  THE HURRICANE HAS MADE LANDFALL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE MILITARY BASE ON THE ISLAND.
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  THE HURRICANE IS NOW WELL INLAND. AMAZINGLY... IT WEAKENED VERY RAPIDLY OVER LAND...
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  A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH BAREN FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
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  IN TERMS OF WINDSPEED.
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THE TERRITORY SOUTH TO DE LA PAU SETTLEMENT.
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  THE HURRICANE WILL PASS DIRECTLY OVER THE MILITARY BASE IN ABOUT TWO HOURS. CURRENT
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  ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED AS OF 9 AM HPT.
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INTENSITY IS SET AT 70 KT... WITH FURTHER WEAKENING TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE BEFORE
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IT PASSES OVER THE BASE.
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  THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF CALM AS THE EYE PASSES OVER THE BASE. DO NOT VENTURE OUT
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  INITIAL MOTION IS 100DEG/23KT.
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DURING THIS TIME.  
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  REPEAT... DO NOT VENTURE OUT WHEN THE EYE IS OVER THE BASE.
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  AT 9 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE JUST SOUTHEAST
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OF BADIA DE LA PAU BASE... NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 05.1 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
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WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE HAVE FALLEN TO 85 KM/H... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
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ESTIMATED TO BE 998 HPA. THE TROPICAL STORM IS MOVING EAST AT ABOUT 42 KM/H... 26 MPH.
 
   
 
   
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  INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 135DEG/32KT.
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  TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 KM... 80 MILES... FROM THE
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CENTRE.
 
   
 
   
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  AT 7:30 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE TWENTY-ONE WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE TO BE
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  FURTHER WEAKENING LEADING TO DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED AS THE STORM TRACKS ALONG
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CENTRED ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH BAREN AT LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH LONGITUDE 04.7 EAST...
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  A RIDGE AND RECURVES NORTHWARDS IN THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS.
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OR ABOUT 95 KM... 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF BADIA DE LA PAU BASE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
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NEAR THE CENTRE HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 130 KM/H... 80 MPH... MAKING HURRICANE TWENTY-ONE
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A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 985 HPA. HURRICANE
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TWENTY-ONE IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 59 KM/H... 37 MPH.
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REPEAT... DO NOT VENTURE OUT WHEN THE EYE IS OVER THE BASE. IF YOU DO... BE AWARE
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THAT THE OTHER END OF THE EYE WILL APPROACH QUICKLY. THERE MAY BE NO MORE THAN
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15-30 MINUTES OF CALM.
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TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 KM... 195 MILES... FROM THE
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CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE EAST. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 KM...
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80 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE.
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  A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS FOR THE COAST OF PRU05 FROM THE NORTH BAREN BORDER SOUTHWARDS
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TO DE LA PAU SETTLEMENT INCLUDING THE BADIA DE LA PAU MILITARY BASE.
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A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
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AREA IN 24 HOURS OR LESS. <!--
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  OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT
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  INITIAL TIME... 05/0300H
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  INITIAL TIME... 05/0900H
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   INITIAL... 38.5 N 04.0 E... 80 KT
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   INITIAL... 37.4 N 05.1 E... 45 KT
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05/0900H... 37.5 N 05.0 E... 65 KT...DIRECTLY OVER BADÍA DE LA PAU BASE
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  05/1500H... 37.6 N 05.5 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING
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  05/1500H... 37.9 N 05.5 E... 30 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
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  05/2100H...DISSIPATED
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  05/2100H...DISSIPATED -->
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  REPEATING THE 7:30 AM HPT POSITION... LANDFALL NEAR 37.8 NORTH 04.7 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
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  REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... NEAR 37.4 NORTH 05.1 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
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  WINDS NEAR 130 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HPA... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
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  NEAR 85 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HPA... MOVING EAST AT
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  59 KM/H.
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  42 KM/H.
 
    
 
    
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  THE MSHPC WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 0935 HPT.
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  THE MSHPC WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 1535 HPT.
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER JOHNSON
 
  FORECASTER JOHNSON
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<!--
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  BPCT1 HPCOR 050353
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  BPCT1 HPCOR 050943
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  OURAGAN VINGT-ET-UN (4521)... BULLETIN NUMERO 9
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  OURAGAN VINGT-ET-UN (4521)... BULLETIN NUMERO 10
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND/CENTRE DE PRÉVISION D'OURAGAN À CYCLONESVILLE
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND/CENTRE DE PRÉVISION D'OURAGAN À CYCLONESVILLE
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  BULLETIN À 03 HEURES HPT, 5 DÉCEMBRE 2145
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  BULLETIN À 09 HEURES HPT, 5 DÉCEMBRE 2145
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OURAGAN VINGT-ET-UN/4521 [978 HPA].
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  POSITION LE 5 DÉCEMBRE À 3 HEURES HPT: 38.5 NORD / 04.0 EST
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  TEMPÊTE TROPICALE VINGT-ET-UN/4521 [998 HPA].
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(TRENTE-HUIT DEGRES CINQ NORD ET QUATRE DEGRES EST)
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  DISTANCE DU BADÍA DE LA PAU: 355 KM AU NORD-OUEST.
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  POSITION LE 5 DÉCEMBRE À 09 HEURES HPT: 37.4 NORD / 05.1 EST
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  DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST À 59 KM/H.
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  (TRENTE-SEPT DEGRES QUATRE NORD ET CINQ DEGRES UN EST)
 
   
 
   
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  UN AVERTISSEMENT D'OURAGAN EST EN VIGUEUR POUR LE PRU05.
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  DISTANCE D'OREN [UPPER BISWALD]: 1695 KM A L'OUEST.
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DEPLACEMENT: EST À 42 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
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  CE BULLETIN EST A PRESENT TERMINE.
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  DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTEME.
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PROCHAIN BULLETIN ENREGISTRE VERS 09 HEURES 50 HPT.
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-->
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Revision as of 11:48, 1 March 2007

Latest storm information
Tropical Storm Twenty-one
Tropical storm
As of: 0800 local time December 5, 2145
Location: 37.4°N 05.1°E
Just southeast of the Badía de la Pau military base
Maximum
winds: 		85 km/h (50 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 998 hPa
Movement: East at 42 km/h (26 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here 
TCAD1 HPCWT 050935
TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE (4521) ADVISORY 010
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
CYCLONESVILLE, WESTERN TERRITORIES BUREAU
7 AM PAX... 10 AM HPT... 8 AM LOCAL TIME DECEMBER 5 2145

THE HURRICANE IS NOW WELL INLAND. AMAZINGLY... IT WEAKENED VERY RAPIDLY OVER LAND...
IN TERMS OF WINDSPEED.

ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED AS OF 9 AM HPT.

INITIAL MOTION IS 100DEG/23KT.

AT 9 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE JUST SOUTHEAST
OF BADIA DE LA PAU BASE... NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 05.1 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE HAVE FALLEN TO 85 KM/H... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 998 HPA. THE TROPICAL STORM IS MOVING EAST AT ABOUT 42 KM/H... 26 MPH.

TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 KM... 80 MILES... FROM THE
CENTRE.

FURTHER WEAKENING LEADING TO DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED AS THE STORM TRACKS ALONG
A RIDGE AND RECURVES NORTHWARDS IN THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS.

OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT
INITIAL TIME... 05/0900H
 INITIAL... 37.4 N 05.1 E... 45 KT
05/1500H... 37.6 N 05.5 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING
05/2100H...DISSIPATED

REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... NEAR 37.4 NORTH 05.1 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR 85 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HPA... MOVING EAST AT
42 KM/H.
 
THE MSHPC WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 1535 HPT.

FORECASTER JOHNSON

BPCT1 HPCOR 050943
OURAGAN VINGT-ET-UN (4521)... BULLETIN NUMERO 10
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND/CENTRE DE PRÉVISION D'OURAGAN À CYCLONESVILLE
BULLETIN À 09 HEURES HPT, 5 DÉCEMBRE 2145

TEMPÊTE TROPICALE VINGT-ET-UN/4521 [998 HPA].

POSITION LE 5 DÉCEMBRE À 09 HEURES HPT: 37.4 NORD / 05.1 EST
(TRENTE-SEPT DEGRES QUATRE NORD ET CINQ DEGRES UN EST)

DISTANCE D'OREN [UPPER BISWALD]: 1695 KM A L'OUEST.
DEPLACEMENT: EST À 42 KM/H.

DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTEME.
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