Difference between revisions of "Liverpool England MSHPC Tropical Weather Updates"

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'''Tropical Weather Updates''' are 12-hourly outlook bulletins issued during cyclone season by the [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service]] Hurricane Prediction Centre that summarises tropical weather activity in [[The Heartland]], and gives a short-term forecast of possible development of tropical cyclones. They are sometimes issued outside-of-season, at a rate of one every 24 hours, when there is (rare) tropical activity.
 
'''Tropical Weather Updates''' are 12-hourly outlook bulletins issued during cyclone season by the [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service]] Hurricane Prediction Centre that summarises tropical weather activity in [[The Heartland]], and gives a short-term forecast of possible development of tropical cyclones. They are sometimes issued outside-of-season, at a rate of one every 24 hours, when there is (rare) tropical activity.
 
----
 
----
  TWUTH HPCOR 030300
+
  TWUTH HPCOR 031500
 
  TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE
 
  TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
 
  [[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
  3 AM HPT BULLETIN MAY 3 2146
+
  3 PM HPT BULLETIN MAY 3 2146
 
   
 
   
  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1007 HPA NEAR 03N 27W SW OF GREAT METS SEA  
+
  A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1005 HPA LOCATED IN THE GREAT METS SEA  
  STATIONARY. AN AIR FORCE RECON PLANE IS EN ROUTE FROM AD'IHAN
+
  04N 26W MOVING NNE SLOWLY. RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FOUND A CLOSED
  TO SURVEY THE SYSTEM. INTERESTS IN THE REGION SHOULD WATCH THE
+
CIRCULATION. MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SAT IMAGERY BOTH CONFIRM
  PROGRESS OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE.
+
PARTIALLY-EXPOSED CLOSED LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
 +
ESTIMATED AT 20 KT. DVORAK DATA-T'S ARE A MIX OF 1.0 FROM
 +
  HDCW AND AFLE... AND T1.5 FROM UHWF. BASED ON THE MSHPC'S
 +
  TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WARNING GUIDELINES... THIS SYSTEM
 +
RATES 32 POINTS. POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
 +
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
 
   
 
   
  NO DISTURBANCES OBSERVED.
+
  FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
 +
24 HOURS IN THE GENERAL AREA OF 4 DEG N LATITUDE 26 DEG W LONGITUDE.
 +
SSTS ARE NEAR 29 DEG C. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE... IN THE
 +
REGION OF 10-15 KT. WEAK CONVECTION AROUND -50C STARTING TO BUILD
 +
ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO WEST
 +
OF CONVECTION. POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN NEXT 24
 +
HOURS IS GOOD. THIS FORMATION ALERT WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING...
 +
RENEWED... OR CANCELLED BY 1500 HPT MAY 4.
 
   
 
   
  NEXT TWU ISSUANCE AT 1500 HPT MAY 3.
+
ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT IS SCHEDULED FOR 9 PM HPT WITH ANOTHER
 +
AT 2 AM HPT.
 +
 +
REFER TO LOCAL WEATHER WARNING OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
 +
 +
  NEXT TWU ISSUANCE AT 0300 HPT MAY 4.
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER CALTS
 
  FORECASTER CALTS
  
 
[[Category:Liverpool England tropical cyclones]]
 
[[Category:Liverpool England tropical cyclones]]

Revision as of 07:24, 6 May 2007

Tropical Weather Updates are 12-hourly outlook bulletins issued during cyclone season by the Liverpool England Meteorological Service Hurricane Prediction Centre that summarises tropical weather activity in The Heartland, and gives a short-term forecast of possible development of tropical cyclones. They are sometimes issued outside-of-season, at a rate of one every 24 hours, when there is (rare) tropical activity.


TWUTH HPCOR 031500
TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
3 PM HPT BULLETIN MAY 3 2146

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1005 HPA LOCATED IN THE GREAT METS SEA 
04N 26W MOVING NNE SLOWLY. RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FOUND A CLOSED
CIRCULATION. MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SAT IMAGERY BOTH CONFIRM
PARTIALLY-EXPOSED CLOSED LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 KT. DVORAK DATA-T'S ARE A MIX OF 1.0 FROM
HDCW AND AFLE... AND T1.5 FROM UHWF. BASED ON THE MSHPC'S
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WARNING GUIDELINES... THIS SYSTEM
RATES 32 POINTS. POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION 
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.

FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
24 HOURS IN THE GENERAL AREA OF 4 DEG N LATITUDE 26 DEG W LONGITUDE.
SSTS ARE NEAR 29 DEG C. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE... IN THE
REGION OF 10-15 KT. WEAK CONVECTION AROUND -50C STARTING TO BUILD
ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO WEST
OF CONVECTION. POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN NEXT 24
HOURS IS GOOD. THIS FORMATION ALERT WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING...
RENEWED... OR CANCELLED BY 1500 HPT MAY 4.

ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT IS SCHEDULED FOR 9 PM HPT WITH ANOTHER
AT 2 AM HPT.

REFER TO LOCAL WEATHER WARNING OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

NEXT TWU ISSUANCE AT 0300 HPT MAY 4.

FORECASTER CALTS