Liverpool England MSHPC Tropical Weather Updates

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Tropical Weather Updates are 12-hourly outlook bulletins issued during cyclone season by the Liverpool England Meteorological Service Hurricane Prediction Centre that summarises tropical weather activity in The Heartland, and gives a short-term forecast of possible development of tropical cyclones. They are sometimes issued outside-of-season, at a rate of one every 24 hours, when there is (rare) tropical activity.


TWUTH HPCOR 051600
TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
ISSUED BY MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA
3 PM HPT BULLETIN MAY 5 2146

THE MSHPC IS CURRENTLY ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MORDREL 997 HPA...
LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES NORTHWEST OF FERONIA IN HERCONIA. SEE MSHPC ADVISORY-
DISCUSSIONS UNDER HEADER TCAD2 HPCOR FOR MORE INFORMATION.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE... WITH MINIMUM
PRESSURE 1011 HPA... IS CURRENTLY SITUATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
MOST POINT OF DASHAKE. CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVOURABLE AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
IMPROVE... SO NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED.

HYBRID-SUBTROPICAL LOW 1003 HPA ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF SCHIMPOL/COAST OF LOX
LAND ISLAND. STRONG WINDS OF UP TO 45 KTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS LOX LAND ISLAND
AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN PARTS OF POPULARFREEDOM DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT.
THIS SYSTEM HAS GAINED MORE ORGANISED CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTRE... AND COULD
BE UNDERGOING TROPICAL TRANSITION. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM AT 4:30 PM LOCAL TIME... OR ABOUT AN HOURS' TIME.
IF NECESSARY... TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETINS WILL BE INITIATED AT 6:45 PM HPT.
REGARDLESS OF ANY DEVELOPMENT... RAINS TOTALLING UP TO 150 MM... 6 INCHES...
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS REGION. LOX LAND ISLAND RESIDENTS SHOULD REFER TO
PRODUCTS AND ADVISORIES FROM THE LLIWO.

ELSEWHERE... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NEXT TWU AT 3 AM HPT MAY 6.

FORECASTER RHYSNOLAN