TD02 (2145)/Past

ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones.

Tropical Depression 02

Advisory 1

Tropical Depression 02 Public Advisory

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE (4502) ADVISORY 001
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
11:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 9 PM PAX... 11 PM HPT FEB 5 2145

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE DETECTED IN SEA OF MIRTH NORTH OF XANTHIS... VLAVIANOS.
ADVISORIES RELEASED BY HPD 26 REMAIN IN EFFECT. A HIGH SURF COASTAL ADVICE
AS WELL AS A HIGH WIND WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOW-LYING ISLANDS OF TORQUAY
AND VLAVIANOS... AS WELL AS ANY ISLANDS WITHIN A 350-MILE RADIUS OF THE STORM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 9 PM PAX TIME OR 11 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE
CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 230 KM... 145 MILES...
NORTH OF XANTHIS AND DRIFTING NORTH AT 1.03 KT... 1.2 MPH OR 1.9 KM/H. DUE
TO THE TIMEZONES ADOPTED BY THE MSHPC, THE STORM WILL LOSE A HALF-HOUR OF ITS
LIFE AS IT DRIFTS NORTH INTO THE TIMEZONE FOR TORQUAY (HPT, OR PAX + 2) COMPARED
TO ITS CURRENT TIMEZONE OF PAX +2.30.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KM/H... 30 MPH OR 27 KT... GUSTING TO 35 KT...
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HPA... 75.30 CMHG OR 29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11:30 PM POSITION... 230 KM NORTH OF XANTHIS AND DRIFTING NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 27 KNOTS...30 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 HPA. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH
WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 AM HPT... WHICH COULD BE LOCAL
STANDARD TIME OR 2:30 AM LOCAL TIME, DEPENDING ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE STORM.
FORECASTED BY RINDLI

Advisory 2

Tropical Depression 02 Public Advisory

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE (4502) ADVISORY 002
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
2:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 12 AM PAX... 2 AM HPT FEB 6 2145

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE MEANDERING IN SEA OF MIRTH NORTH OF XANTHIS... VLAVIANOS.
ADVISORIES RELEASED BY HPD 26 HEARTLAND WEATHER CENTRE REMAIN IN EFFECT. A
HIGH SURF COASTAL ADVICE AS WELL AS A HIGH WIND WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
LOW-LYING ISLANDS OF TORQUAY AND VLAVIANOS... AS WELL AS ANY ISLANDS WITHIN A
350-MILE RADIUS OF THE STORM. THIS INCLUDES AN INLAND HIGH WIND ADVISORY AND
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CITY OF XANTHIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 12 AM PAX TIME OR 2 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE
CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 225 KM... 140 MILES...
NORTH OF XANTHIS AND DRIFTING NORTH AT 1.4 KT... 1.6 MPH OR 2.6 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KM/H... 30 MPH OR 27 KT... GUSTING TO 40 KT...
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HPA... 75.30 CMHG OR 29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 2:30 AM POSITION... 225 KM NORTH OF XANTHIS AND DRIFTING NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 27 KNOTS...30 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 HPA. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH
WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 5 AM HPT.
FORECASTED BY RINDLI

Advisory 3 (as an ex-depression)

Ex-Tropical Depression 02 Public Advisory

EX-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE (4502) FINAL ADVISORY 003
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
5:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 3 AM PAX... 5 AM HPT FEB 6 2145

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE MEANDERING IN SEA OF MIRTH NORTH OF XANTHIS... VLAVIANOS.
STORM HAS WEAKENED... GUSTS ARE STILL REACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THIS IS
THE FINAL ADVISORY... FOR NOW... ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE... AS IT HAS
WEAKENED SUCH THAT ITS SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NO LONGER OF DEPRESSION STRENGTH.
ADVISORIES RELEASED BY HPD 26 HEARTLAND WEATHER CENTRE REMAIN IN EFFECT. A
HIGH SURF COASTAL ADVICE AS WELL AS A HIGH WIND WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
LOW-LYING ISLANDS OF TORQUAY AND VLAVIANOS... AS WELL AS ANY ISLANDS WITHIN A
350-MILE RADIUS OF THE STORM. TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL ISLANDS
WITHIN 100-MILE RADIUS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 3 AM PAX TIME OR 5 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE
CENTRE OF EX-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 217 KM... 136 MILES...
NORTH OF XANTHIS AND DRIFTING NORTH AT 1.5 KT... 1.7 MPH OR 2.7 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 37 KM/H... 23 MPH OR 20 KT... GUSTING TO 35 KT...
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 HPA... 75.68 CMHG OR 29.79 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5:30 AM POSITION... 217 KM NORTH OF XANTHIS AND DRIFTING NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS...23 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 HPA. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED IN CASE IT REGAINS STRENGTH AS IT HAS NOT LOST
CONVECTION NOR ORGANISATION NOR CIRCULATION. SHOULD IT REGAIN STRENGTH... NEW
ADVISORIES WILL BE RELEASED... STILL UNDER THE TAG 02SE.NONAME.

FORECASTED BY RINDLI

Advisory 4

Tropical Depression 02 Public Advisory

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE (4502) SPECIAL ADVISORY 004
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
8:50 AM LOCAL TIME... 6:20 AM PAX... 8:20 AM HPT FEB 6 2145

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE REGAINS STRENGTH QUICKLY... NEARLY A TROPICAL STORM. A
HIGH SURF COASTAL ADVICE AS WELL AS A HIGH WIND WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
LOW-LYING ISLANDS OF TORQUAY AND VLAVIANOS... AS WELL AS ANY ISLANDS WITHIN A
350-MILE RADIUS OF THE STORM. TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL ISLANDS
WITHIN 100-MILE RADIUS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8:50 AM LOCAL TIME... 6:20 AM PAX... 8:20 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 02SE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 200 KM... 125 MILES... NORTH OF XANTHIS AND
DRIFTING NORTH AT 2 MPH OR 3 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KM/H... 35 MPH... GUSTING TO 75 KM/H... 45 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 HPA... 74.93 CMHG OR 29.50 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 8:50 AM POSITION... 200 KM NORTH OF XANTHIS AND DRIFTING NORTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H...35 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 HPA. 

NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT 12 NOON HPT.

FORECASTED BY RINDLI

Tropical Storm George

Advisory 5

Tropical Storm George Public Advisory

TROPICAL STORM GEORGE (4502) ADVISORY 005
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
12 PM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 10 AM PAX... FEB 6 2145

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02SE GAINS ENOUGH STRENGTH TO BE DESIGNATED A TROPICAL STORM
... NAMED GEORGE BY KINGDOM OF GRAYS HARBOR. STORM HAS ALSO INCREASED IN FORWARD
SPEED AND HAS TAKEN A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY TURN... TAKING IT OUT OF VLAVIAN WATERS
... AND INTO TORQUAYAN TERRITORY. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE MOST
SOUTHWESTERN ISLAND OF TORQUAY WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS... THIS WAS
UNEXPECTED AND EMERGENCY TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED. TAKE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.
STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BACK TO A DEPRESSION AFTER LANDFALL... HOWEVER,
THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE'S OFFICIAL MODEL TAKES THE STORM OUT OVER WARM
WATERS IN THE SEA OF MIRTH AFTER IT CROSSES THE ISLAND... STRENGTHENING TO A
95-KNOT HURRICANE WITHIN 72 HOURS... A HIGH-END CATEGORY TWO TO LOW-END MAJOR
CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. HOWEVER, THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR DISSIPATION
... IN 48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 12 PM HPT... LOCAL TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGE WAS LOCATED
ABOUT 600 KM... 375 MI... SSW OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY... OR ABOUT 100 KM AWAY
FROM THE COAST OF TORQUAY'S SOUTHWESTERNMOST ISLAND. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
TRACKING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH OR 10 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KM/H... 55 MPH... GUSTING TO 105 KM/H... 65 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 HPA... 74.93 CMHG OR 29.50 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 12 PM POSITION... 100 KM SE OF SOUTHWESTERNMOST TORQUAYAN ISLAND
AND MOVING NW AT 10 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KM/H...55 MPH... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 HPA. 

NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT 3 PM HPT... WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY SHOULD THE
STORM MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THAT.

NEW PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES...
OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE
MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL...

HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)... FCST INTENSITY... MAX MODEL INT...
12 HOURS.... OVER SWRN MOST ISLAND OF TRQ... 55 KM/H - DEPR... 75 KM/H - STORM
24 HOURS.... 700 WSW OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY... 50 KM/H - DEP... 90 KM/H - STORM
36 HOURS.... DISSIPATING 800W OF CARSTAIRS... 40 KM/H - DEP... 125 KM/H - CAT1
48 HOURS.... REMNANT LOW/DISSIPATED.......... 25 KM/H......... 140 KM/H - CAT1
72 HOURS.... ABSORBED INTO ITCZ.............. ................ 195 KM/H - CAT2
96 HOURS.... ................................ ................ 165 KM/H - CAT2

FORECASTED BY CALTS/JOHNSON/HUNTER

Advisory 6

Tropical Storm George Public Advisory

TROPICAL STORM GEORGE (4502) ADVISORY 006
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
3 PM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 1 PM PAX... FEB 6 2145

TROPICAL STORM GEORGE WEAKENS A LITTLE... STILL MAINTAINS TS STRENGTH. STORM
HAS ALSO MAINTAINED FORWARD SPEED OF 10 KM/H ... EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON
THE SOUTHWESTERNMOST ISLAND OF TORQUAY WITHIN THE NEXT SIX TO TEN HOURS... 
EMERGENCY TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT... TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
THE STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BACK TO A DEPRESSION AFTER LANDFALL...
HOWEVER, THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE'S OFFICIAL MODEL... WHICH THREE HOURS
AGO TOOK THE STORM OUT OVER WARM WATERS IN THE SEA OF MIRTH AFTER IT CROSSED
THE ISLAND... STRENGTHENING TO A 95-KNOT HURRICANE WITHIN 72 HOURS... HAS NOW
TONED ITS PREDICTIONS DOWN... ITS MAXIMUM FORECAST IS AN 85-KNOT HURRICANE...
IN 96 HOURS... A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. HOWEVER, THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DOES
NOT SUSTAIN THE STORM FOR THAT LONG... AND WILL CALL FOR DISSIPATION... IN UNDER
48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 3 PM HPT... LOCAL TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGE WAS LOCATED
ABOUT 580 KM... 365 MI... SSW OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY... OR ABOUT 85 KM AWAY
FROM THE COAST OF TORQUAY'S SOUTHWESTERNMOST ISLAND. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
TRACKING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH OR 10 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KM/H... 50 MPH... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H... 65 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 HPA... 74.93 CMHG OR 29.50 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 3 PM POSITION... 85 KM SE OF SOUTHWESTERNMOST TORQUAYAN ISLAND
AND MOVING NW AT 10 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KM/H...50 MPH... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 HPA. 

NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT 6 PM HPT... WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY SHOULD THE
STORM MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THAT.

NEW PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES...
OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE
MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL...

HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)..... FCST INTENSITY... MAX MODEL INT..
12 HOURS.... OVER SWRN MOST ISLAND OF TRQ.... 55 KM/H - DEPR.. 70 KM/H - STORM
24 HOURS.... DISSIPATING OVER OPEN WATERS.... 50 KM/H - DEPR.. 80 KM/H - STORM
36 HOURS.... REMNANT LOW/DISSIPATED.......... 35 KM/H......... 95 KM/H - STORM
48 HOURS.... ABSORBED INTO ITCZ.............. 25 KM/H......... 120 KM/H - CAT1
72 HOURS.... ................................ ................ 140 KM/H - CAT1
96 HOURS.... ................................ ................ 160 KM/H - CAT2

FORECASTED BY CALTS/JOHNSON/HUNTER

Advisory 7

Tropical Storm George Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM GEORGE (4502) ADVISORY 007...CORRECTED
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
6 PM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 4 PM PAX... FEB 6 2145
CORRECTED SPELLING ERRORS.

LANDFALL HAS JUST BEEN MADE... REPORT OF EYE CROSSING COAST OF SWRN MOST TORQUAYAN ISLAND AT 1758 LOCAL TIME... SHORTLY BEFORE THIS ADIVSORY. TROPICAL STORM GEORGE CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN STORM STRENGTH. STORM HAS INCREASED IN FORWARD SPEED TO 26 KM/H ... EXPLAINING THE SUDDEN LANDFALL... EARLIER THAN EXPECTED. EMERGENCY TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT. LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE MODEL CONTINUES TO INSIST THAT GEORGE WILL BECOME A HURRICANE... AND THE MSHPC... WHICH ORIGINALLY CALLED FOR DISSIPATION OF SYSTEM IN 48 HOURS... CAN NOT RULE THE POSSIBILITY OUT NOW. HOWEVER... OFFICIAL FORECAST WEAKENS THE STORM TO A DEPRESSION AS IT CROSSES LAND... AND BRINGS IT BACK OUT INTO OPEN WATERS IN LESS THAN TWO HOURS, SUCH IS THE SPEED OF THE STORM ... THEN FORECAST TO REGAIN STORM STRENGTH... BUT START TO GAIN EXTRATROPICALITY. REPORTS OF DEATHS ARE SCARCE... GIVEN THE ISOLATIONISM OF THE ISLAND... ONLY FIVE DEATHS HAVE BEEN CONFIRMED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 6 PM HPT... LOCAL TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGE WAS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERNMOST ISLAND OF TORQUAY... TROPICAL STORM GEORGE IS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH OR 26 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... BUT STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER... GUSTS TO 80 KM/H... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA... 75.08 CMHG OR 29.56 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 6 PM POSITION... OVER THE SOUTHWESTERNMOST TORQUAYAN ISLAND AND MOVING NW AT 26 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KM/H...45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA.

NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT 9 PM HPT... OR A SPECIAL ADVISORY SHOULD THE STORM DISSIPATE BEFORE THAT.


FORECASTED BY CALTS/JOHNSON/HUNTER

NEW PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES...
OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE
MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL...

HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)..... FCST INTENSITY... MAX MODEL INT..
12 HOURS.... DISSIPATING OVER OPEN WATERS.... 50 KM/H - DEPR.. 65 KM/H - STORM
24 HOURS.... REMNANT LOW/DISSIPATED.......... 35 KM/H......... 75 KM/H - STORM
36 HOURS.... ABSORBED INTO ITCZ.............. 25 KM/H......... 90 KM/H - STORM
48 HOURS.... ................................ ................ 105 KM/H - STORM
72 HOURS.... ................................ ................ 120 KM/H - CAT1
96 HOURS.... REMNANT CIRCULATION MAY BE VISIBLE ON SATELLITE.. 125 KM/H - CAT1 +
96 HOUR FORECAST... THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF THE STORM REGENERATING IN WARM
WATERS... AND THE FORECAST REFLECTS THIS... IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAPPEN, HOW-
EVER.

NEW FORECAST PROBABILITIES PRODUCT... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES...
CHANCE IN PERCENTAGE OF A SYSTEM'S WINDSPEEDS... UP TO 48 HOURS.

HRS FROM ISSUE... DEPR/DISSP... STORM... CAT1... CAT2... CAT3... CAT4... CAT5..
INITIAL......................... 100 ..........................................
12 HOURS............. 45 ........ 35 ... < 8 ... < 2 ... N/A ... N/A ... N/A ..
24 HOURS............. 50 ........ 40 ..... 3 ... < 2 ... < 2 ... N/A ... N/A ..
36 HOURS............. 65 ........ 25 ..... 5 ... < 2 ... < 2 ... < 2 ... N/A ..
48 HOURS............. 80 ........ 10 .... 10 ... N/A ... N/A ... N/A ... N/A ..

FORECASTED BY CALTS/JOHNSON/HUNTER