TD03 (2146)
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TCAD3 WHCO 070340 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 6 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS 3 AM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 AM PAX TIME... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME ...EHECATL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...FAST LOSING TROPICALITY...THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY... STORM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER LAND...INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 FROM AFLE AND UHWF...AND T2.0 FROM HDCW...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. EHECATL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION...045/15. AT 3 AM HPT...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ESTIMATED TO BE INLAND OVER GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 47.5 NORTH LONGITUDE 28.1 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GALE-FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. THIS VALUE WILL FLUCTUATE AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL. EHECATL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 26 KM/H...16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM STARTS TO GAIN IN FORWARD SPEED. MOST MODELS HAVE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM MOVING OUT INTO THE NOLAN SOUND... POSSIBLY BECOMING A MAJOR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THREE DAYS. OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL TIME...07/0300H INITIAL...47.5 N 28.1 E... 30 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 07/1500H...EXTRATROPICAL REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...INLAND NEAR 47.5 NORTH 28.1 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 KT. THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL. FORECASTER KRUGER
TCTW03 FOLN 070340 TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE FOLENISA ISSUED 0340 HPT MAY 7 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ ACTIVE TIME: 0300HPT MAY 7 2146 WARNING CENTRE: FOLENISA TROPICAL CYCLONE: EHECATL WARNING NR: 6 POSITION: 47.5N 28.1E...INLAND ACCURACY: 45NM MOVEMENT: NE 15KT CENT PRES: 1001HPA MAX WIND: 30KT MAX GUST: VARIABLE FCST 12HR PSTN: 48.5N 29.4E...EXTRATROPICAL FCST 12HR WINDS: 35KT EXTRATROPICAL NEXT WARNING AT: NO FURTHER WARNINGS=
WXTC01 KBDP 070710 TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER FOUR BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL CC MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA ISSUED AT 7:40 AM LOCAL TIME...0710 HPT MAY 7 2146 IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA CURRENT WARNINGS AND WATCHES... INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... DISCONTINUED SLEET WARNING... DISCONTINUED AVALANCHE ADVISORY... DISCONTINUED FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7. INLAND GALE WATCH UNTIL 7 PM HPT MAY 7 ...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING ... SLEET WARNING ... AVALANCHE ADVISORY DISCONTINUED... A FLASH FLOOD WARNING... REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA UNTIL 1:30 PM LOCAL LATER TODAY. THE INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY AN INLAND GALE WATCH... IN EFFECT UNTIL 7:30 PM TONIGHT. GUSTS ABOVE 34 KT... GALE FORCE... ARE POSSIBLE AS THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF THE STORM MOVE OUT TO SEA. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. RAINFALL IS DIMINISHING... BUT THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING REMAINS. IF NO FLASH FLOODS OCCUR BY 1 PM HPT... THIS WARNING WILL BE DISCONTINUED. EHECATL NOW FULLY EXTRATROPICAL. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN. SWC MTN