TD09 (2145)/Past
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This page lists all past MSHPC warnings on Tropical Storm Oren.
Contents
Tropical Depression Nine
Advisory 1
4509 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE (4509) SPECIAL ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 8 PM PAX... 10 PM HPT... 10:30 PM LOCAL TIME APR 14 2145 SYSTEM SOUTHWEST OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA DETERMINED TO BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE SET AT 30 KT FROM COMBINATION OF T1.5 AND T2.5 T-NUMBERS FROM HDCW AND UHWF RESPECT- IVELY... AS WELL AS THE TCWC LLIWO ADVISORY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS OR WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 10 PM HPT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE... BETA.02... WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.3 25.5 OR ABOUT 160 KM OR 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE WRN GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H OR 35 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 HECTOPASCALS. TD NINE IS MOVING NORTHWARDS AT NEAR 16 KM/H... 10 MPH. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... TD NINE WILL MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN 12 HOURS. OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES IN HPT/PAX+2 CONVERSION FACTOR 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H INITIAL FORECAST TIME 14/2200 HPT INITIAL... 47.3 N 25.5 E... 30 KT 15/0300H... 47.5 N 25.7 E... 30 KT 15/0900H... INLAND DISSIPATED REPEATING LATEST POSITION... 160 KM OFF THE GULP MTN PN COAST. MSW 55 KM/H... MIN CTR PRS 1007 HPA. MOVEMENT N 16 KM/H. THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE RELEASED AT 3 AM HPT. HUNTER
Advisory 3
4509 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION OREN (4509) SPECIAL/FINAL ADVISORY 003 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 4:30 AM PAX... 6:30 AM HPT... 7 AM LOCAL TIME APR 15 2145 ...TROPICAL STORM OREN MAKES LANDFALL AND WEAKENS BACK TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED. LANDFALL WAS MADE AT ABOUT 0642H LST... 6:12 AM HPT. FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE GULP MOUNTAIN RANGE. AT 6:30 AM HPT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION OREN... WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR 47.8N 25.7E OVER THE WESTERN MOST EDGES OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN RANGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 55 KM/H OR 35 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 HECTOPASCALS. OREN HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARDS VERY SLOWLY... DISSIPATION OVER THE MOUNTAINS IS LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT THREE HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY PACKAGE ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OREN FROM THE MSHPC. HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 AM HPT. FORECASTERS JARVINEN/GUNTHER/RINDLI
Tropical Storm Oren
Advisory 2
4509 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL STORM OREN (4509) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME APR 15 2145 CONTINUED T-NUMBERS OF 2.5 FROM UHWF... AND A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 0245H LST... AS WELL AS T-NUMBER OF 2.0 FROM HDCW AT 0105H LST ... JUSTIFIES INCREASING INITIAL INTENSITY TO 35 KNOTS... THUS MAKING TD-NINE TROPICAL STORM OREN... AND MAKING IT THE NINTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON... AFTER VEIRU... GEORGE... FELICIA ... FOUR... RUVA... ABADDON... YURI... AND GYARNIFQ. EMERGENCY TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN INSTITUTED FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. AS THIS IS A MOUNTAINOUS AREA... DEADLY LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE. RAINS OF 75 TO 205 MM ARE POSSIBLE... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 430 MM POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN SIX HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM OREN. AT 3 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM OREN... TD BETA.02... WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.5 25.7 OR ABOUT 80 KM OR 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE WRN EDGE OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN RANGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KM/H OR 40 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HECTOPASCALS. OREN IS MOVING NORTHWARDS AT NEAR 24 KM/H... 15 MPH. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... OREN WILL MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN 4 HOURS. OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES IN HPT/PAX+2 CONVERSION FACTOR 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H INITIAL FORECAST TIME 15/0300 HPT INITIAL... 47.5 N 25.7 E... 35 KT 15/0900H... INLAND DISSIPATED REPEATING LATEST POSITION... 80 KM OFF THE GULP MTN PN COAST. MSW 60 KM/H... MIN CTR PRS 1004 HPA. MOVEMENT N 24 KM/H. THE NEXT FULL MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE RELEASED AT 9 AM HPT WITH A SPECIAL ADVISORY AT LANDFALL. FORECASTER HUNTER
