Difference between revisions of "TD05 (2146)"

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{{Fakehurricane}}
 
{{Fakehurricane}}
 
----
 
----
−
  TCAD5 WHCO 192130
+
  TCAD5 WHCO 200905
−
  SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KANTA ADVISORY 8
+
  HURRICANE KANTA ADVISORY 10
 
  HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
 
  HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
−
  9 PM HPT JUNE 19 2146
+
  9 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
 
   
 
   
−
  ...KANTA STRENGTHENS TO SEVERE TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM
+
  ...HURRICANE KANTA NEAR CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY...
−
  THE INEPTIAN COAST...
+
  ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE FROM SCHTOOPSTADT...
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 9 PM HPT...ALL WARNINGS FOR INEPTIA ARE DISCONTINUED.
+
  FIRST VISIBLES ARE DUE OUT IN ABOUT AN HOUR...BUT RELATIVELY COLD...
 +
-75 CELSIUS...CLOUD TOPS AND AN IMPROVEMENT IN CORE STRUCTURE AS
 +
SUGGESTED BY MICROWAVE IMAGERY...AS WELL AS ONE T4.5 AND ONE T5.0
 +
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES...MEAN THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS
 +
ADVISORY IS SET AT A COMPROMISE 80 KNOTS...WHICH COULD BE A BIT LOW.
 +
THE CIVILIAN HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
 +
SCHEDULED TO FIX THE STORM AT AROUND 8:30 PAX TIME...90 MINUTES FROM
 +
NOW. BASED ON POSITIONAL FIXES...INITIAL MOTION IS AROUND 320/16.
 
   
 
   
−
  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE THAT HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE STORM'S WIND-
+
  NO LAND TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT...REFER TO TCMW5 WHCO FOR
−
FIELD FOUND BELIEVABLE 54 KNOT SURFACE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE IN THE
+
  MARINE WARNINGS IF APPLICABLE. HOWEVER...INTERESTS IN EASTERN CARITAS
−
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AT AROUND 8 PM. SATELLITE INTENSITY
+
  SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS POTENTIAL
−
  ESTIMATES...T3.0/3.5 FROM AFLE AND T3.5/3.5 FROM HDCW...ARE IN GOOD
+
  MONSTER.
−
  AGREEMENT WITH THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS. THIS RECONNAISSANCE
+
−
  FLIGHT...WHICH IS THE LAST ONE SCHEDULED AS THE STORM NOW DOES NOT
+
−
POSE A LAND THREAT...ALSO FOUND A PRESSURE OF 989 HPA...WHICH MAY
+
−
SUGGEST THAT SOME RAPID STRENGTHENING COULD BE TAKING PLACE. THE
+
−
RECON FLIGHT HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR A FEW HOURS TO CONTINUE MONITORING
+
−
THE SYSTEM. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...INITIAL MOTION IS 300/19.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 9 PM HPT THE CENTRE OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KANTA WAS LOCATED
+
  AT 9 AM HPT THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE KANTA WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND
−
  NEAR LATITUDE 6.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 3.3 EAST...ABOUT 1000 KM...625 MI
+
  MICROWAVE IMAGERY TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 6.8 NORTH LONGITUDE 1.9 EAST...
−
SOUTH OF PORT DU POIVRE INEPTIA.
+
ABOUT 550 KM...345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BERLITZ INEPTIA.
 
   
 
   
−
  SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KANTA HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT
+
  HURRICANE KANTA IS NOW EXPECTED TO TAKE A SLIGHT NORTHWESTERLY TURN AND
−
30 KM/H...18 MPH...BUT A SIGNIFICANT WESTWARD TURN IS EXPECTED...AS
+
MOVE NORTHWEST AT 31 KM/H...19 MPH.
−
WELL AS AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IF KANTA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY
+
−
AT A RAPID PACE AS FORECAST.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 KM/H...65 MPH...WITH
+
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 KM/H...95 MPH...WITH
−
  HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
+
  HIGHER GUSTS. KANTA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
−
  AND KANTA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW MORNING.
+
HURRICANE SCALE. FURTHER RAPID STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW
 +
  HOURS.
 
   
 
   
−
  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 KM...115 MILES
+
  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 KM...150 MILES...AND
−
  FROM THE CENTRE OF THE STORM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST.
+
  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 KM...30 MILES...FROM THE
 +
CENTRE OF THE STORM.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECORDED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
+
  THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 HPA...28.94 INCHES OF MERCURY.
−
FLIGHT WAS 989 HPA...29.20 INCHES OF MERCURY.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT...ORIGINALLY
+
  THERE IS ABSOLUTELY ZILCH TO CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...AT
−
SCHEDULED TO END AT 1030 PM HPT...HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO 330 AM HPT
+
  THIS TIME. MODEL RUNS ARE STILL FAIRLY SPLIT ABOUT A RECURVATURE SCENARIO
−
  TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM AS IT UNDERGOES WHAT COULD BE SOME
+
  BEYOND 48 TO 72 HOURS...AND THIS IMPACTS THE FORECAST QUITE A BIT.
−
RAPID STRENGTHENING. AS SUCH...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE ABLE
+
−
  TO BREAK AWAY FROM THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL FLOW...AND TAKE A MORE
+
−
WESTERLY COURSE...WELL AWAY FROM LAND. HOWEVER...IN THE LONG TERM
+
−
THIS MAKES THE TRACK FORECAST A BIT DIFFICULT...WHETHER THE STORM
+
−
WILL IMPACT CARITAS...OR GRAYS HARBOR.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  ON THIS NEW FORECAST TRACK THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OVER AN
+
  WILL ALSO HOLD OFF ON ADJUSTING THE FORECAST INTENSITY FOR NOW UNTIL THE
−
  AREA OF 5 TO 10 KNOT SHEAR AS WELL AS 29 TO 30 DEG C SEA SURFACE
+
  RECON PLANE CAN GET IN AND SAMPLE THE STORM SO WE KNOW WHAT THE ACTUAL STORM
−
  TEMPERATURES...WHICH COULD CAUSE EXPLOSIVE INTENSIFICATION. IT IS
+
  INTENSITY IS. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THERE ARE VERY FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS
−
  NOW FORECAST TO CROSS THE PAX LINE AT A LOWER LATITUDE...AND WILL
+
  AHEAD OF THE STORM. SHEAR IS MINIMAL...AND 10 KNOTS AT MOST. SEA SURFACE
−
  NOT RECURVE AS EARLY...IF AT ALL. BASED ON CONTINUITY...THE 96
+
  TEMPERATURES ARE A VERY HELPFUL 28 TO 29 DEGREES C...WITH AN EDDY OF 30 TO
−
  HOUR FORECAST POINT WILL SHOW SOME RECURVATURE.
+
  31 DEGREES C SST LYING AHEAD OF THE STORM SOME TIME TOMORROW MORNING.  
 
   
 
   
−
  IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST...ASSUMING RAPID STRENGTHENING...HAVE GONE
+
  THEREFORE...FOR NOW...THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO REFLECT A MID-CATEGORY FOUR
−
FOR A HURRICANE IN 12 HOURS...POSSIBLY REACHING MAJOR HURRICANE
+
  STORM TOMORROW MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
−
STRENGTH SOME TIME ON THE MORNING OF THE 21ST AS IT PASSES OVER
+
−
THE ABOVEMENTIONED FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS. SINCE THE MODELS STILL
+
−
CALL FOR A TUTT CELL TO DEVELOP IN THE LONG RUN...RAPID WEAKENING
+
−
BEYOND 48 HOURS IS POSSIBLE...AND THE 96 HOUR FORECAST IS AS A
+
−
MINIMAL CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. THERE IS LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN BOTH THE
+
−
  TRACK...AND INTENSITY...FORECASTS BEYOND 48 HOURS.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT STATIONED IN
+
  MODELS ALSO FAIRLY SPLIT OVER FUTURE POSITION OF A TUTT CELL RELATIVE TO
−
  SCHTOOPSTADT WILL BEGIN RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS INTO THE STORM STARTING
+
  STORM CENTRE. RECENT RUNS SHOW NO CHANGE FROM THE LAST ADVISORY...SO WILL
−
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
+
  KEEP A HURRICANE INTENSITY FOR THE 96 HOUR FORECAST POINT.
 
   
 
   
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
−
  INITIAL TIME...19/2100H
+
  INITIAL TIME...20/0900H
−
   INITIAL... 06.4 N 03.3 E... 55 KT <!-- 20/0300H... 06.6 N 02.6 E... 65 KT -->
+
   INITIAL... 06.8 N 01.9 E... 80 KT <!-- 20/1500H... 07.2 N 01.3 E... 90 KT -->
−
20/0900H... 06.8 N 01.9 E... 70 KT <!-- 20/1500H... 07.2 N 01.3 E... 75 KT -->
+
  20/2100H... 07.5 N 00.7 E... 95 KT <!-- 21/0300H... 08.1 N 00.0 E...105 KT -->
−
  20/2100H... 07.5 N 00.7 E... 85 KT <!-- 21/0300H... 08.1 N 00.0 E... 95 KT -->
+
  21/0900H... 08.5 N 00.5 W...115 KT <!-- 21/1500H... 09.3 N 01.2 W...125 KT -->
−
  21/0900H... 08.5 N 00.5 W...100 KT <!-- 21/1500H... 09.3 N 01.2 W...105 KT -->
+
  21/2100H... 10.0 N 01.9 W...125 KT <!-- 22/0300H... 10.6 N 02.0 W...120 KT -->
−
  21/2100H... 10.0 N 01.9 W...105 KT <!-- 22/0300H... 10.6 N 02.0 W...100 KT    
+
  22/0900H... 11.1 N 01.9 W...105 KT <!-- 22/1500H... 11.6 N 01.8 W...100 KT    
−
  22/0900H... 11.1 N 01.9 W... 95 KT     22/1500H... 11.6 N 01.8 W... 90 KT -->
+
  22/2100H... 12.2 N 01.7 W... 95 KT     23/0300H... 12.8 N 01.4 W... 90 KT -->
−
  22/2100H... 12.2 N 01.7 W... 85 KT <!-- 23/0300H... 12.8 N 01.4 W... 80 KT    
+
  23/0900H... 13.4 N 01.2 W... 85 KT <!-- 23/1500H... 14.0 N 00.8 W... 80 KT    
−
  23/0900H... 13.4 N 01.2 E... 75 KT     23/1500H... 14.0 N 00.8 E... 70 KT -->
+
  23/2100H... 14.5 N 00.6 W... 75 KT      24/0300H... 15.0 N 00.1 W... 70 KT -->
−
  23/2100H... 14.5 N 00.6 W... 65 KT
+
24/0900H... 15.4 N 00.2 E... 65 KT
 
   
 
   
−
  REPEATING THE 9 PM POSITION... NEAR 6.4 NORTH 3.3 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
+
  REPEATING THE 9 AM POSITION...NEAR 6.8 NORTH 1.9 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
−
  WINDS NEAR 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING
+
  NEAR 150 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWEST
−
  WEST-NORTHWEST AT NEAR 30 KM/H.
+
  AT NEAR 31 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 3 AM
+
  THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 3 PM
−
  HPT.
+
  HPT. A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE MAY BE ISSUED PRIOR IF NECESSARY.
 
   
 
   
−
  FORECASTER JOHNSON/LAVAL
+
  FORECASTER JARVINEN/HUNTER
 
----
 
----
−
  TCTW05 FOLN 192130
+
  TCTW05 FOLN 200910
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA
−
  ISSUED 9:30 PM HPT JUNE 19 2146
+
  ISSUED 9:10 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
−
  ACTIVE TIME:        2100H JUNE 19 2146
+
  ACTIVE TIME:        0900H JUNE 20 2146
 
  WARNING CENTRE:    FOLENISA
 
  WARNING CENTRE:    FOLENISA
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE:  KANTA
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE:  KANTA
−
  WARNING NR:        8
+
  WARNING NR:        10
−
  POSITION:          6.4N 3.3E
+
  POSITION:          6.8N 1.9E
−
  ACCURACY:          15NM
+
  ACCURACY:          10NM
−
  MOVEMENT:          WNW 19KT
+
  MOVEMENT:          NW 16KT
−
  CENT PRES:          989HPA
+
  CENT PRES:          980HPA
−
  MAX WIND:          55KT
+
  MAX WIND:          80KT
−
  MAX GUST:          65KT
+
  MAX GUST:          100KT
−
  FCST 12HR PSTN:    6.8N 1.9E
+
  FCST 12HR PSTN:    7.5N 0.7E
−
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    70KT G85KT
+
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    95KT G115KT
−
  NEXT WARNING AT:    0300H JUNE 20 2146=
+
  NEXT WARNING AT:    1500H JUNE 20 2146=
 +
 
 +
----
 +
TCMW5 WHCO 200900 CCA
 +
TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE WARNING 10 CORRECTED
 +
HURRICANE KANTA
 +
ISSUED BY HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
 +
9 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
 +
CORRECTED TO INCLUDE MINIMUM PRESSURE
 +
 +
MARINE WARNING.
 +
INITIAL POSITION VALID 0900 HPT JUNE 20.
 +
..24 HR FORECAST VALID 0900 HPT JUNE 21.
 +
..48 HR FORECAST VALID 0900 HPT JUNE 22.
 +
 +
HURRICANE WARNING.
 +
HURRICANE KANTA 980 HPA STORM CENTRE AT 6.8 NORTH 1.9 EAST. POSITION ACCURATE
 +
TO 10 NAUTICAL MILES. PRESENT MOVEMENT 320/16. WINDS UP TO 80 KNOTS WITHIN 25
 +
NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. WINDS UP TO 64 KNOTS WITHIN 130 NAUTICAL MILES OF
 +
CENTRE.
 +
HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF A LINE 12N 1W TO 6N 4E.
 +
HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF 3W SOUTH OF 12N NORTH OF 6N.
 +
HURRICANE WARNING VALID 24 HOURS.
 +
 +
24 HR...HURRICANE KANTA STORM CENTRE AT 8.5 NORTH 0.5 WEST. WINDS UP TO 115
 +
KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. WINDS UP TO 64 KNOTS WITHIN 200
 +
NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE.
 +
48 HR...HURRICANE KANTA STORM CENTRE AT 11.1 NORTH 1.9 WEST. WINDS UP TO
 +
105 KNOTS WITHIN 45 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. WINDS UP TO 64 KNOTS WITHIN
 +
200 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE.
 +
 +
ALL MARINERS AVOID HURRICANE WARNING AREA NEXT 48 HOURS.
 +
REQUEST FOR SHIP REPORTS EVERY SIX HOURS WITHIN HURRICANE WARNING AREA...
 +
EVERY THREE HOURS WITHIN 250 NAUTICAL MILES OF 6.8 NORTH 1.9 EAST.
 +
 +
NEXT MARINE WARNING ISSUED IN 24 HOURS...OR AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.
 +
 +
FORECASTER HUNTER

Latest revision as of 03:52, 13 October 2007

50px-Nuvola_apps_important.svg.png ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones. 
TCAD5 WHCO 200905
HURRICANE KANTA ADVISORY 10
HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
9 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146

...HURRICANE KANTA NEAR CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY...
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE FROM SCHTOOPSTADT...

FIRST VISIBLES ARE DUE OUT IN ABOUT AN HOUR...BUT RELATIVELY COLD...
-75 CELSIUS...CLOUD TOPS AND AN IMPROVEMENT IN CORE STRUCTURE AS
SUGGESTED BY MICROWAVE IMAGERY...AS WELL AS ONE T4.5 AND ONE T5.0
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES...MEAN THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS
ADVISORY IS SET AT A COMPROMISE 80 KNOTS...WHICH COULD BE A BIT LOW.
THE CIVILIAN HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO FIX THE STORM AT AROUND 8:30 PAX TIME...90 MINUTES FROM
NOW. BASED ON POSITIONAL FIXES...INITIAL MOTION IS AROUND 320/16.

NO LAND TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT...REFER TO TCMW5 WHCO FOR
MARINE WARNINGS IF APPLICABLE. HOWEVER...INTERESTS IN EASTERN CARITAS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS POTENTIAL
MONSTER.

AT 9 AM HPT THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE KANTA WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND
MICROWAVE IMAGERY TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 6.8 NORTH LONGITUDE 1.9 EAST...
ABOUT 550 KM...345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BERLITZ INEPTIA.

HURRICANE KANTA IS NOW EXPECTED TO TAKE A SLIGHT NORTHWESTERLY TURN AND
MOVE NORTHWEST AT 31 KM/H...19 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 KM/H...95 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. KANTA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. FURTHER RAPID STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 KM...150 MILES...AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 KM...30 MILES...FROM THE
CENTRE OF THE STORM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 HPA...28.94 INCHES OF MERCURY.

THERE IS ABSOLUTELY ZILCH TO CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...AT
THIS TIME. MODEL RUNS ARE STILL FAIRLY SPLIT ABOUT A RECURVATURE SCENARIO
BEYOND 48 TO 72 HOURS...AND THIS IMPACTS THE FORECAST QUITE A BIT.

WILL ALSO HOLD OFF ON ADJUSTING THE FORECAST INTENSITY FOR NOW UNTIL THE
RECON PLANE CAN GET IN AND SAMPLE THE STORM SO WE KNOW WHAT THE ACTUAL STORM
INTENSITY IS. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THERE ARE VERY FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS
AHEAD OF THE STORM. SHEAR IS MINIMAL...AND 10 KNOTS AT MOST. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE A VERY HELPFUL 28 TO 29 DEGREES C...WITH AN EDDY OF 30 TO
31 DEGREES C SST LYING AHEAD OF THE STORM SOME TIME TOMORROW MORNING. 

THEREFORE...FOR NOW...THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO REFLECT A MID-CATEGORY FOUR
STORM TOMORROW MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

MODELS ALSO FAIRLY SPLIT OVER FUTURE POSITION OF A TUTT CELL RELATIVE TO
STORM CENTRE. RECENT RUNS SHOW NO CHANGE FROM THE LAST ADVISORY...SO WILL
KEEP A HURRICANE INTENSITY FOR THE 96 HOUR FORECAST POINT.

OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
INITIAL TIME...20/0900H
 INITIAL... 06.8 N 01.9 E... 80 KT 
20/2100H... 07.5 N 00.7 E... 95 KT 
21/0900H... 08.5 N 00.5 W...115 KT 
21/2100H... 10.0 N 01.9 W...125 KT 
22/0900H... 11.1 N 01.9 W...105 KT 
23/0900H... 13.4 N 01.2 W... 85 KT 
24/0900H... 15.4 N 00.2 E... 65 KT

REPEATING THE 9 AM POSITION...NEAR 6.8 NORTH 1.9 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR 150 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWEST
AT NEAR 31 KM/H.

THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 3 PM
HPT. A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE MAY BE ISSUED PRIOR IF NECESSARY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/HUNTER

TCTW05 FOLN 200910
TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA
ISSUED 9:10 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
ACTIVE TIME:        0900H JUNE 20 2146
WARNING CENTRE:     FOLENISA
TROPICAL CYCLONE:   KANTA
WARNING NR:         10
POSITION:           6.8N 1.9E
ACCURACY:           10NM
MOVEMENT:           NW 16KT
CENT PRES:          980HPA
MAX WIND:           80KT
MAX GUST:           100KT
FCST 12HR PSTN:     7.5N 0.7E
FCST 12HR WINDS:    95KT G115KT
NEXT WARNING AT:    1500H JUNE 20 2146=

TCMW5 WHCO 200900 CCA
TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE WARNING 10 CORRECTED
HURRICANE KANTA
ISSUED BY HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
9 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
CORRECTED TO INCLUDE MINIMUM PRESSURE 

MARINE WARNING.
INITIAL POSITION VALID 0900 HPT JUNE 20.
..24 HR FORECAST VALID 0900 HPT JUNE 21.
..48 HR FORECAST VALID 0900 HPT JUNE 22.

HURRICANE WARNING.
HURRICANE KANTA 980 HPA STORM CENTRE AT 6.8 NORTH 1.9 EAST. POSITION ACCURATE
TO 10 NAUTICAL MILES. PRESENT MOVEMENT 320/16. WINDS UP TO 80 KNOTS WITHIN 25
NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. WINDS UP TO 64 KNOTS WITHIN 130 NAUTICAL MILES OF
CENTRE.
HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF A LINE 12N 1W TO 6N 4E.
HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF 3W SOUTH OF 12N NORTH OF 6N.
HURRICANE WARNING VALID 24 HOURS.

24 HR...HURRICANE KANTA STORM CENTRE AT 8.5 NORTH 0.5 WEST. WINDS UP TO 115
KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. WINDS UP TO 64 KNOTS WITHIN 200
NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE.
48 HR...HURRICANE KANTA STORM CENTRE AT 11.1 NORTH 1.9 WEST. WINDS UP TO
105 KNOTS WITHIN 45 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. WINDS UP TO 64 KNOTS WITHIN
200 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE.

ALL MARINERS AVOID HURRICANE WARNING AREA NEXT 48 HOURS.
REQUEST FOR SHIP REPORTS EVERY SIX HOURS WITHIN HURRICANE WARNING AREA...
EVERY THREE HOURS WITHIN 250 NAUTICAL MILES OF 6.8 NORTH 1.9 EAST.

NEXT MARINE WARNING ISSUED IN 24 HOURS...OR AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FORECASTER HUNTER
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