TD2
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| Hurricane Sandra (Category 4) | |
|---|---|
| As of: | 1600 Eastern Probitas time April 19, 2139 |
| Location: | Outside the LE AOR |
| Wind speed: | 135 mph (215 km/h) |
| Pressure: | 933 hPa/mbar (69.98 cmHg, 27.55 inHg) |
| Movement: | Southwest at 8 mph (13 km/h) |
| See update below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
Hurricane Sandra Discussion
HURRICANE SANDRA (3904) DISCUSSION ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV CYCLONE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND 4 PM EASTERN PROBITAS TIME APR 19 2139 THE ONLY ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE HEARTLAND AT THE MOMENT IS NOT WITHIN THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CYCLONE PREDICTION CENTRE'S JURISDICTION AND THEREFORE A DISCUSSION IS ISSUED. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR LOCAL OR NATIONAL WEATHER OUTLET FOR WARNINGS AND WATCHES. DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS IN THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...REPORTED TO BE AT 933 HECTOPASCALS BY A LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE FLIGHT INTO THE EYE OF THE STORM FROM THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEARTLAND DEFENSE POST. REPORTS FROM THE FLIGHT INDICATE THAT THIS LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA - ABOUT 250 NM IN DIAMETER - CENTRED OUTSIDE THE AOR... INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM...SANDRA... HAS NOT GAINED NOR LOST INTENSITY SINCE THE FINAL UPDATE ISSUED AT 1130 EPT. THE ESTIMATED MOTION AT THIS TIME IS SET AT 220/08 - 220 DEG BEARING OR SOUTH- WESTWARD AT NEAR 7 TO 8 KNOTS. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK SANDRA SHOULD RE-ENTER THE AOR FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS SOON BEFORE RE-LEAVING IT. THE SYSTEM IS NOT FACING HEAVY WIND SHEAR... CONTRIBUTING TO THE SUSTAINED STRENGTH AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM... THE PREDICTION MODELS ALL ESTIMATE SANDRA TO POSSIBLY REACH AN EXTREMELY RARE CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH. FORECAST....DATE/LOCALTIME....ESTIMATED POSN....INTENSITY INITIAL......APR19/16..........OUTSIDE AOR....115KT...CAT4 12HR.........APR20/04..........OUTSIDE AOR....120KT...CAT4 24HR.........APR20/16..........OUTSIDE AOR....130KT...CAT4...TURNING NORTHWEST 36HR.........APR21/04..........OUTSIDE AOR....130KT...CAT4...TURNING NORTH 48HR.........APR21/16...IN AOR S OF MIRAMAR...140KT...CAT5...WILL START WEAKENING 72HR.........APR22/16...IN AOR S OF MIRAMAR...120KT...CAT4...HURRICANE WATCHES 96HR.........APR23/16...IN AOR N OF S.CAPRN...100KT...CAT3...H WARN...TS WATCH 120HR........APR24/16.........SW OF MIRAMAR....75KT...CAT1...INLAND ISSUED BY RINDLI
