Liverpool England MSHPC cyclone summary/Past summaries
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< Liverpool England MSHPC cyclone summary
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February 2145
TROPICAL CYCLONE MONTHLY SUMMARY FEBRUARY 2145 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE, OREAN 3 AM HPT MARCH 7 2145 FEBRUARY WAS AN UNUSUSALLY ACTIVE MONTH FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY THIS SEASON, WITH TWO NAMED STORMS FORMING DURING FEBRUARY. THE ESTIMATED AVERAGE HAS BEEN 0.3 NAMED STORMS. TWO TROPICAL CYCLONES... HURRICANE VEIRU AND TROPICAL STORM GEORGE... FORMED DURING FEBRUARY. HURRICANE VEIRU STARTED OUT AS A NON-TROPICAL GALE SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN A LARGE TROUGH NORTHWEST OF COKEKILA ON FEBRUARY 3 - A GOOD MONTH BEFORE THE SOUTHWESTERN REGION SEASON BEGAN ON MARCH 1. THIS SYSTEM DETACHED FROM THE TROUGH TWO DAYS LATER AND GAINED SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS, ENDING UP BEING DESIGNATED SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU THE SAME DAY, FEBRUARY 5. CONTINUING TO GAIN TROPICALITY, IT BECAME FULLY TROPICAL LATER THAT DAY, PROMPTING EMERGENCY HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR THE COAST OF DASHAKE. IT REACHED ITS PEAK STRENGTH OF 80 KT/971 HPA SHORTLY BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF DASHAKE NOT FAR WEST OF SEALDRE. IT BEGAN TO MOVE WEST BUT EMERGED INTO OPEN WATER. THE SYSTEM DEGENERATED INTO A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SHORTLY BEFORE DISSIPATING SOUTH OF PORTLAND, DASHAKE. 132 DEATHS WERE REPORTED FROM THE STORM, MAKING IT THE DEADLIEST RECORDED IN HEARTLAND HISTORY. TROPICAL STORM GEORGE WAS A SHORT-LIVED STORM THAT NEVER WAS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORMED ON THE SAME DAY AS SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU, BUT QUICKLY LOST STRENGTH. SHORTLY AFTER, A RECON AIRCRAFT INDICATED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS AND THE SYSTEM WAS NAMED GEORGE. IT MADE LANDFALL ON AN ISLAND OF TORQUAY, KILLING TEN. SUMMARY TABLE STR NAME NUMBER DURATION MAX WIND DEATHS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND KT DAMAGE --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- H VEIRU 4501 05-07 FEB 80 132* NONE TS GEORGE 4502 05-06 FEB 45 10 NONE *PRELIMINARY ESTIMATE DATES ARE BASED ON LOCAL TIME --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECASTERS CALTS/RINDLI/HUNTER
March 2145
TCMS TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MONTHLY SUMMARY MARCH 2145 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE, OREAN 3 AM HPT APRIL 4 2145 MARCH WAS UNUSUALLY ACTIVE THIS YEAR... WITH SIX TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMING IN THE HEARTLAND. OF THESE SIX... FIVE... FELICIA... RUVA... ABADDON... YURI AND GYARNIFQ... WERE NAMED... AND ONE... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR... IS BEING RETROACTIVELY UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM FOUR. OF THESE SIX TROPICAL STORMS... TWO... ABADDON AND YURI... GAINED HURRICANE STRENGTH... WITH YURI BREAKING HURRICANE VEIRU'S RECORD FOR DEATHS CAUSED. TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS FIRST OBSERVED AS A LOW-PRESSURE AREA ON THE OFFICIAL START OF THE SEASON... MARCH 1. EARLY ON THE 2ND THE MSHPC DETERMINED THAT FELICIA HAD GAINED ENOUGH CONVECTION AND ORGANISATION TO BE DESIGNATED A TROPICAL STORM WITH 35-40 KT WINDS WEST OF TORQUAY. WIND SHEAR QUICKLY SET IN CAUSING FELICIA TO WEAKEN. IT WAS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION THE SAME DAY... AND DISSIPATED ON MARCH 3. NO DEATHS OR DAMAGE REPORTED. TROPICAL STORM FOUR FORMED ON MARCH 3 NEAR THE PAX MERIDIAN... THE BORDER BETWEEN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST DISTRICTS. WHILE TROPICAL STORM FOUR NECESSITATED TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS... IT NEVER REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OPERATIONALLY, WITH AN EXTRATROPICAL 45 KT AT THE FINAL ADVISORY. FOUR'S SECOND ADVISORY WAS OPERATIONALLY RELEASED WITH 30-KT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS BUT NOTED THAT A BUOY HAD REPORTED TWO-MINUTE SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 40 KT. AS SUCH... IN POST-STORM ANALYSIS... THE MSHPC HAS DECIDED TO INCREASE THIS VALUE TO 35 KT... HENCE MAKING FOUR A TROPICAL STORM AND ADDING 0.1225 TO THE SEASONAL ACE VALUE. THE STORM QUICKLY LOST TROPICALITY AND CAUSED NO DEATHS OR DAMAGE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORMED EAST OF SCHIMPOL, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND ON MARCH 3. A QUICK-MOVING SHORT-LIVED STORM, IT MADE LANDFALL NEAR LOYALTY BAY, DISSIPATING INLAND OVER THE LOYALTY MOUNTAINS. THREE INDIRECT DEATHS CAME FROM RUVA... ALTHOUGH NO MAJOR DAMAGE WAS REPORTED. RUVA ALSO SPAWNED ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION, WHICH WOULD GO ON TO BECOME HURRICANE ABADDON. IN AN OUTER BAND OF RUVA, A LOW-PRESSURE CENTRE SEEMED TO BE DEVELOPING. WITH SUDDEN BURSTS OF CONVECTION LATE ON MARCH 3 AND CONFIRMATION FROM A RECON FLIGHT THAT THE SYSTEM WAS SEPERATE FROM RUVA, ADVISORIES WERE INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX. THREE HOURS LATER, THE SYSTEM HAD SLOWED DOWN ENOUGH TO BE FULLY APART FROM RUVA, AND HAD BEEN INTENSIFYING OVER WARM WATERS. TROPICAL STORM ABADDON QUICKLY BECAME A HURRICANE, BUT IN THE WAKE OF RUVA IT WEAKENED ALMOST AS FAST AS IT STRENGTHENED, PEAKING ONLY AS A CATEGORY TWO 90-KNOT HURRICANE. ABADDON MADE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL STORM NORTH OF LOYALTY BAY, KILLING FOUR. TWO DAYS LATER, A REMNANT LOW AREA HAD GAINED CONVECTION ABOUT 1000 KM SOUTHWEST OF PEARSON CLIFFS. AFTER MUCH DISCUSSION, ADVISORIES WERE RE-INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ABADDON, WHICH QUICKLY MADE LANDFALL. ABADDON CAUSED NO REPORTED DAMAGES. YURI FORMED FROM A PERSISTENT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH OF SCHIMPOL ON MARCH 4. LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE (TCWC LLIWO) FIRST PICKED IT UP AS A TROPICAL STORM ABOUT 300 KM SOUTH OF SCHIMPOL ON MARCH 4. THIS SYSTEM WAS NEVER CLASSIFIED AS A DEPRESSION TO START WITH FROM EITHER TCWC LLIWO OR RSMC-TCWC MSHPC. YURI WEAKENED LATER THAT DAY... AND ADVISORIES WERE DISCONTINUED THE SAME NIGHT BY THE MSHPC. THE TCWC CONTINUED TO ISSUE ADVISORIES... ALL THE WHILE FORECASTING ALPHA.01... THE OFFICIAL TCWC LLIWO DESIGNATION FOR 4507 YURI... TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM... AND EVEN HURRICANE... STRENGTH. WHEN TCWC LLIWO REUPGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA TO A TROPICAL STORM... THEY INFORMED THE MSHPC... WHICH DID NOT RESUME ADVISORIES IMMEDIATELY UNTIL HDCW AND UHWF REPORTS CONFIRMED T-NUMBERS OF CLOSE TO 3.0. ADVISORIES WERE RESUMED AT 0930H LST ON MARCH 5... 12 HOURS AFTER THE FINAL ADVISORY WAS RELEASED. YURI THEN MOVED OVER MUCH WARMER WATERS AS IT MOVED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST, TRIGGERING TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE EASTERN LOX LAND ISLAND COAST. THE SYSTEM THEN SPED UP, TAKING A SLIGHT JIG TO THE NORTHWEST BEFORE TURNING BACK EAST, AIMING STRAIGHT FOR PEARSON CLIFFS, POPULARFREEDOM. THE EASTWARDS MOTION CONTINUED, AND YURI MADE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE - THE FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE LANDFALL SINCE THE MSHPC TOOK OVER RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. YURI WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS... BUT QUICKLY RE-EMERGED INTO WATER, TRIGGERING TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR WORKERS POINT. YURI HEADED NORTHEASTWARDS BEFORE MAKING AN ANTI-CLOCKWISE LOOP, MAKING LANDFALL ON WORKERS POINT AS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. YURI DISSIPATED INLAND... TRIGGERING FLOOD WATCHES AND TORNADO WARNINGS. OVER 400 DEATHS ARE BLAMED ON YURI... WITH OVER ONE BILLION LIVERPOOL POUNDS IN DAMAGE... SETTING NEW HEARTLAND RECORDS. GYARNIFQ STARTED LIFE AS A LOW EMBEDDED IN A TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF POPULARFREEDOM. WHEN IT WAS FINALLY DESIGNATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT, CONDITIONS WERE NOT FAVOURABLE. HOWEVER, IT MANAGED TO GAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SHORTLY BEFORE LANDFALL, MAKING LANDFALL AS A 40-KNOT TROPICAL STORM. NO DAMAGES WERE REPORTED, ALTHOUGH TWO PEOPLE WERE KILLED. THIS MAKES THE MONTH OF MARCH ONE OF THE MOST ACTIVE... COSTLY... AND DEADLY... ON RECORD. SUMMARY TABLE STR NAME NUMBER DURATION MAX WIND DEATHS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND KT DAMAGE --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TS FELICIA 4503 02-03 MAR 40 NONE NONE TS** FOUR 4504 03 MAR 35** NONE NONE TS RUVA 4505 03-04 MAR 50 3 NONE H ABADDON 4506 03-04 MAR 05-06 MAR 90 4 NONE H YURI 4507 04 MAR 05-09 MAR 120 404* 16 000 000 TS GYARNIFQ 4508 06-08 MAR 40 2 NONE MONTHLY TOTAL 6 02-09 MAR 413 16 000 000 *PRELIMINARY ESTIMATE **UPGRADED IN POST-STORM ANALYSIS DATES ARE BASED ON LOCAL TIME --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECASTERS CALTS/RINDLI/HUNTER/GUNTHER
April 2145
TCMS TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MONTHLY SUMMARY APRIL 2145...CORRECTED LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE, OREAN 3 AM HPT MAY 2 2145 CORRECTED FOR SPELLING APRIL SAW ONE TROPICAL CYCLONE... TROPICAL STORM OREN... FORM. THE MONTHLY EXTRAPOLATED AVERAGE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS IN APRIL IS TWO... SO THIS MONTH WAS BELOW AVERAGE. SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM OREN DEVELOPED FROM A CONVECTIVE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 450 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF AL-JOHARI, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND LATE APRIL 14. TCWC LLIWO INITIATED ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA... AND SHORTLY AFTER THE MSHPC STARTED ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE. ALTHOUGH LOW SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ITS PROXIMITY TO LAND... THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA... SEEMINGLY MADE INTENSIFICATION UNLIKELY... TD NINE STRENGTHENED INTO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM EARLY APRIL 15 AND WAS NAMED TROPICAL STORM OREN. IT WAS A RELATIVELY FAST-MOVING SYSTEM AND QUICKLY MADE LANDFALL IN THE GULP MOUNTAIN RANGE... DUMPING UP TO 15 INCHES... 380 MM... OF RAIN IN THE MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS. NO DEATHS OR DAMAGE WERE REPORTED. SUMMARY TABLE STR NAME NUMBER DURATION MAX WIND DEATHS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND KT DAMAGE --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TS OREN 4509 14-15 APR 35 NONE NONE MONTHLY TOTAL 1 14-15 APR NONE NONE *PRELIMINARY ESTIMATE DATES ARE BASED ON LOCAL TIME --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECASTERS CALTS/GUNTHER