TD05 (2146)

ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones.

TCIA5 WHCO 191830
TROPICAL STORM KANTA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 7A
HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
6 PM HPT JUNE 19 2146

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT AS PRECAUTION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT FOR THE CÔTE D'ARGENT
EAST OF BERLITZ. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED TONIGHT.

AT 6 PM HPT THE CENTRE OF THE TROPICAL STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 6.3 NORTH LONGITUDE 3.6 EAST...ABOUT 195 KM...120 MILES
OFF THE COAST OF INEPTIA...ABOUT 775 KM...485 MILES SOUTH OF
BERLITZ.

TROPICAL STORM KANTA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 30 KM/H...
18 MPH. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE STORM TURNS SLIGHTLY
TO THE NORTHWEST IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 KM/H...50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME MINOR STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 KM...120 MILES
FROM THE STORM CENTRE...MOSTLY TO THE EAST.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 HPA...29.32 INCHES OF MERCURY.

REPEATING THE 6 PM POSITION...6.3 N 3.6 E. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR 85 KM/H. KANTA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 30 KM/H. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 HPA.

THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY 
AT 9 PM HPT.

FORECASTER LAVAL

TCAD5 WHCO 191520
TROPICAL STORM KANTA ADVISORY 7
HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
3 PM HPT JUNE 19 2146

...EFFECTS OF KANTA GRADUALLY DYING DOWN OVER SOUTHWESTERN INEPTIA...

TROPICAL STORM KANTA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...AND SOME RAIN...NEAR THE COAST IN EXTREME EASTERN CÔTE D'ARGENT.
HOWEVER...THESE WILL LESSEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BERLITZ EAST TO THE
PROVINCIAL BORDER WITH LA PLAGE. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE FINAL EFFECTS OF THE STORM PASS.

THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 45 KNOTS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF T2.5/3.5 FROM AFLE...T3.0/3.0 FROM HDCW...AND NO APPARENT
CHANGE IN SATELLITE PRESENTATION SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY WHEN THE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FOUND 45 KNOT WINDS. INITIAL MOTION REMAINS
SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...295/15 BASED ON CONTINUITY. THE NEXT...AND FINAL...
RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT SCHEDULED...FOR NOW...INTO KANTA IS CURRENTLY
EN ROUTE. THE PLANE'S MAIN AIM WILL BE TO DETERMINE WIND RADII...SO
AS SOON AS A FAVOURABLE REPORT IS RETURNED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR INEPTIA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED.

AT 3 PM HPT THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM KANTA WAS REPORTED BY
THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 6.2 NORTH LONGITUDE
3.9 EAST...ABOUT 450 KM OR 280 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PEACETOWN INEPTIA.

TROPICAL STORM KANTA IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 27 KM/H...
17 MPH. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 
24 HOURS...AND A MORE NORTHWARD TURN IS POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 KM/H...50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR RAPID STRENGTHENING
EXISTS.

THE STORM APPEARS TO HAVE CONSOLIDATED SLIGHTLY AND THE CONVECTIVE MASS
IS NOW MUCH MORE TIGHT. THIS MAY MEAN A REDUCTION IN WIND RADII...AND
THE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT IS CURRENTLY EN ROUTE TO FIND OUT. PROVISIONALLY...
USING THE LATEST SCATT PASS THAT CAPTURED THE VERY EASTERN EDGES OF THE
STORM...WHICH SHOW SOME BELIEVABLE 30 KNOT WIND VECTORS NEAR THE INEPTIAN
COAST...WILL HOLD TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII AS SOME OF THE STRONGER
WINDS OVER THE COAST MAY HAVE BEEN MISSED...OR RAIN MARRED.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 KM...120 MILES...FROM 
THE CENTRE OF THE STORM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 HPA...29.32 INCHES OF MERCURY.

THERE ARE NO CHANGES BEING MADE AT THIS TIME TO THE FORECAST TRACK. SHOULD
THE STORM STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY BY THE NEXT ADVISORY...A MORE WESTWARD
MOTION...AWAY FROM THE INEPTIAN COAST...MAY BE IN STORE.

SOME MODELS STILL HAVE KANTA...OR WHATEVER IS LEFT OF IT BY THEN IF IT
WEAKENS ENOUGH...EXECUTING AN ANTICLOCKWISE 360 DEGREE LOOP NEAR 15N. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

STILL...WITH NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST...I SEE NO REASON TO FORECAST
A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS SHOWN PAST 48 HOURS...THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST
WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL STRENGTH OF THE TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH.

OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
INITIAL TIME...19/1500H
 INITIAL... 06.2 N 03.9 E... 45 KT 
20/0300H... 06.8 N 02.7 E... 45 KT 
20/1500H... 07.7 N 01.6 E... 50 KT 
21/0300H... 08.7 N 00.6 E... 55 KT 
21/1500H... 10.1 N 00.1 W... 55 KT 
22/1500H... 13.1 N 01.0 W... 50 KT 
23/1500H... 15.6 N 00.6 E... 30 KT

REPEATING THE 3 PM POSITION... NEAR 6.2 NORTH 3.9 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 85 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWEST AT NEAR 27 KM/H.

THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 PM
HPT. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY IS SCHEDULED FOR 630 PM HPT...BUT IF WARNINGS ARE
CANCELLED BEFORE THEN...THE WARNING CANCELLATION WILL SUPERSEDE THE INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY. 

FORECASTER JOHNSON

TCTW05 FOLN 191520
TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA
ISSUED 3:20 PM HPT JUNE 19 2146
ACTIVE TIME:        1500H JUNE 19 2146
WARNING CENTRE:     FOLENISA
TROPICAL CYCLONE:   KANTA
WARNING NR:         7
POSITION:           6.2N 3.9E
ACCURACY:           20NM
MOVEMENT:           WNW 15KT
CENT PRES:          993HPA
MAX WIND:           45KT
MAX GUST:           55KT
FCST 12HR PSTN:     6.8N 2.7E
FCST 12HR WINDS:    45KT G55KT
NEXT WARNING AT:    2100H JUNE 18 2146=