TD03 (2145)/Past
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Tropical Depression Felicia
Advisory 3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA (4503) ADVISORY 003 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 2 PM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 12 PM PAX... MAR 2 2145 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT HAS BEGUN... DISSIPATION EXPECTED SOON... BY MARCH 4. ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED AS OF 1400. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 12 PM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... SOUTHWEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY ... AND ABOUT 835 KM... 520 MI... WEST-NORTHWEST OF XANTHIS, VLAVIANOS. THE STORM MOVING WESTWARDS AT ROUGHLY 10 KM/H... 6 MPH. FELICIA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KM/H... 30 MPH... GUSTING TO 65 KM/H... AND THE STORM IS WEAKENING. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 HECTOPASCALS... 75.45 CM HG OR 29.70 IN HG. THE LATEST DATA THE MSHPC HAS RECEIVED INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO BE AFFECTED BY THE HIGH WIND SHEAR CONDITIONS IT IS NOW UNDER. EXTRATROPICALITY IS A POSSIBILITY... 11 PERCENT CHANCE... FELICIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO ANY LAND MASS... THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR DISSIPATION... BY MAY 4... OR EXTRATROPICALITY WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 PM POSITION... LOCATED 1160 KM SW OF CARSTAIRS... 835 KM WNW OF XANTHIS... AND WESTERLY MOVEMENT... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 PM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL
Advisory 4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA (4503) ADVISORY 004 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 8 PM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 PM PAX... MAR 2 2145 FELICIA HAS WEAKENED FURTHER IN WIND INTENSITY... SOON TO LOSE TROPICALITY. AS SUCH... THIS WILL BE THE FINAL FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE RESUMED... IF NEEDED. OTHERWISE... ONLY FORECASTS WILL BE RELEASED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS OR WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 PM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1135 KM... 710 MI... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY. THE STORM MOVING WESTWARDS AT ROUGHLY 10 KM/H... 6 MPH. FELICIA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 KM/H... 25 MPH... GUSTING TO 50 KM/H... AND THE STORM IS LOSING TROPICALITY. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 HECTOPASCALS... 75.45 CM HG OR 29.70 IN HG. THE STORM IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE ANY THREAT TO LAND. EXTRATROPICALITY IS A BIG POSSIBILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM WITHIN 24 HOURS... CHANCE IS ESTIMATED AT 62 PERCENT. REPEATING THE 8 PM POSITION... LOCATED 1135 KM WSW OF CARSTAIRS... WITH WESTERLY MOVEMENT... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 HPA. THIS IS THE LAST FULL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA. A FORECAST-ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED 6-HOURLY... THE NEXT FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA WILL BE ISSUED AT 2 AM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL/HARDING
Advisory 5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA (4503) FORECAST/ADVISORY 001 (ADVISORY 005) LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 2 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 12 AM PAX... MAR 3 2145 NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS OR WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 12 AM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1130 KM... 705 MI... WEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY. MOVEMENT 270/14... WEST AT 25 KM/H... 16 MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS/MIN SLP 40 KM/H/1007 HPA. 12 HOURS... 270/18... 45 KM/H/1007 HPA 24 HOURS... 285/21... 35 KM/H/1010 HPA... EXTRATROPICAL 36 HOURS... ABSORBED BY LARGER TROUGH. THE NEXT FORECAST/ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 8 AM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL/HARDING
Advisory 6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA (4503) FORECAST/ADVISORY 002 (ADVISORY 006)... CORRECTED LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... MAR 3 2145 CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS OR WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1310 KM... 820 MI... WEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY. MOVEMENT 270/16... WEST AT 30 KM/H... 19 MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS/MIN SLP 40 KM/H/1007 HPA. 12 HOURS... 277/20... 40 KM/H/1008 HPA... BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 24 HOURS... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM THE NEXT FORECAST/ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 2 PM HPT. FORECASTER CALTS
Tropical Storm Felicia
Special Advisory 1
TROPICAL STORM FELICIA (4503) SPECIAL ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 5:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 3:30 AM PAX... MAR 2 2145 A 1010 HPA LOW PRESSURE CENTRE LOCATED WEST OF TORQUAY... FORMERLY 81SE.INVEST ... HAS REGAINED CONVECTION AND ORGANISATION... AND OBTAINED A CLOSED CIRCULATION... WHICH IT WAS LACKING. WINDS CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 35 TO 40 KNOTS... WHICH MAKES THIS STORM 03SE.FELICIA. THIS SPECIAL NOTICE SUPERCEDES THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED AT 0300 TODAY. THIS WINDSPEED ALSO DOES NOT COUNT TOWARDS FELICIA'S ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ORIGINALLY RELEASED BY THE CYCLONESVILLE WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU FOR THE COASTS OF ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 200-KM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 250-KM RADIUS OF FELICIA BUT OUTSIDE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A TROPICAL STORM ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A TROPICAL STORM ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 3:30 AM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... SOUTHWEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY ... AND ABOUT 835 KM... 520 MI... WEST-NORTHWEST OF XANTHIS, VLAVIANOS. THE STORM IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KM/H... 4 MPH... AND HAS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... GUSTING TO 90 KM/H. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS 1001 HECTOPASCALS... 75.08 CM HG OR 29.56 IN HG. THE 5:30 AM SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NOTICE DESCRIBED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS... AND PER OUR INFORMATION... AGAINST BETTER JUDGEMENT AND COMMON SENSE TO AVOID ALERT... THE MSHPC HAS SET THE INTENSITY OF THE STORM TO 40 KT... 75 KM/H... AS STIPULATED ABOVE. FELICIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO ANY LAND MASS AS IT IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE TORQUAYAN AND VLAVIAN ISLANDS... AND IS EXPECTED TO HEAD ON A SOUTHERLY TRACK... BEFORE DISSIPATION ON THE 4TH OR 5TH. THE MSHPC FORECAST WILL CALL FOR DOWNGRADING OF THIS SYSTEM TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... WITHIN TWELVE HOURS. REPEATING THE SPECIAL 5:30AM POSITION... LOCATED 1160 KM SW OF CARSTAIRS... 835 KM WNW OF XANTHIS... AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 7 KM/H. SOUTHERLY TURN EXPECTED SOON... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 AM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL
Advisory 2
TROPICAL STORM FELICIA (4503) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... MAR 2 2145 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA HAS STALLED... AND THE FORECAST MODELS ALL NOW SUGGEST SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT BEFORE DISSIPATION... ON MARCH 4. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTS OF ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 200-KM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 250-KM RADIUS OF FELICIA BUT OUTSIDE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A TROPICAL STORM ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A TROPICAL STORM ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... SOUTHWEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY ... AND ABOUT 835 KM... 520 MI... WEST-NORTHWEST OF XANTHIS, VLAVIANOS. THE STORM IS STATIONARY... AND WILL BEGIN ON A SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT LATER TODAY... POSSIBLY AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FELICIA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... GUSTING TO 80 KM/H... AND THE STORM IS WEAKENING. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1001 HECTOPASCALS... 75.08 CM HG OR 29.56 IN HG. THE LATEST DATA THE MSHPC HAS RECEIVED INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT AFFECTED THIS SYSTEM WHEN IT WAS STILL 81SE.INVEST... HAS STRENGTHENED... AND FELICIA IS MOVING INTO THIS AREA OF 30-KNOT SHEAR. AS SUCH... DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED BY 0300 HPT... MARCH 4. FELICIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO ANY LAND MASS... THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR DOWNGRADING OF THIS SYSTEM TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... BY 1800 HPT TODAY. REPEATING THE 8 AM POSITION... LOCATED 1160 KM SW OF CARSTAIRS... 835 KM WNW OF XANTHIS... AND STATIONARY. SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT EXPECTED SOON... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL