Difference between revisions of "TD03 (2145)"

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{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Felicia
 
{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Felicia
 
|colour=storm
 
|colour=storm
−
|local time=0530
+
|local time=0800
 
|date=March 2
 
|date=March 2
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
 
|location=1160 km (725 miles) southwest of Carstairs, Torquay or about<br/>835 km (520 miles) west-northwest of Xanthis, Vlavianos
 
|location=1160 km (725 miles) southwest of Carstairs, Torquay or about<br/>835 km (520 miles) west-northwest of Xanthis, Vlavianos
−
|windmph=45
+
|windmph=40
−
|windkph=75
+
|windkph=65
 
|pressurehPa=1001
 
|pressurehPa=1001
 
|cmHg=75.08
 
|cmHg=75.08
 
|inHg=29.56
 
|inHg=29.56
−
|direction=Southwest
+
|direction=Stationary
−
|movemph=4
+
|movemph=&ndash;
−
|movekph=7
+
|movekph=&ndash;
−
|advisory=special first}}
+
|advisory=latest}}
 
----
 
----
−
  TROPICAL STORM FELICIA (4503) SPECIAL ADVISORY 001
+
  TROPICAL STORM FELICIA (4503) ADVISORY 002
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
 
  LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
−
  5:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 3:30 AM PAX... MAR 2 2145
+
  8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... MAR 2 2145
 
   
 
   
−
  A 1010 HPA LOW PRESSURE CENTRE LOCATED WEST OF TORQUAY... FORMERLY 81SE.INVEST
+
  TROPICAL STORM FELICIA HAS STALLED... AND THE FORECAST MODELS ALL NOW SUGGEST
−
... HAS REGAINED CONVECTION AND ORGANISATION... AND OBTAINED A CLOSED CIRCULATION...
+
  SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT BEFORE DISSIPATION... ON MARCH 4.
−
  WHICH IT WAS LACKING. WINDS CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 35 TO 40 KNOTS... WHICH
+
−
MAKES THIS STORM 03SE.FELICIA. THIS SPECIAL NOTICE SUPERCEDES THE TROPICAL
+
−
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED AT 0300 TODAY. THIS WINDSPEED ALSO DOES NOT
+
−
COUNT TOWARDS FELICIA'S ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ORIGINALLY RELEASED BY THE CYCLONESVILLE WARNINGS
+
  TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTS OF ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A
−
SUB-BUREAU FOR THE COASTS OF ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 200-KM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE
+
200-KM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA...  
−
OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
+
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 250-KM RADIUS OF
−
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 250-KM
+
FELICIA BUT OUTSIDE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
−
RADIUS OF FELICIA BUT OUTSIDE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A
 
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A
Line 42: Line 37:
 
  WEATHER OFFICE.
 
  WEATHER OFFICE.
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 5:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 3:30 AM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM
+
  AT 8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM
 
  FELICIA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... SOUTHWEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY
 
  FELICIA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... SOUTHWEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY
 
  ... AND ABOUT 835 KM... 520 MI... WEST-NORTHWEST OF XANTHIS, VLAVIANOS.
 
  ... AND ABOUT 835 KM... 520 MI... WEST-NORTHWEST OF XANTHIS, VLAVIANOS.
−
  THE STORM WAS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KM/H... 4 MPH... AND HAD
+
  THE STORM IS STATIONARY... AND WILL BEGIN ON A SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT LATER
−
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... GUSTING TO 90 KM/H.
+
  TODAY... POSSIBLY AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FELICIA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
 +
OF 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... GUSTING TO 80 KM/H... AND THE STORM IS WEAKENING.
 
   
 
   
 
  MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS 1001 HECTOPASCALS... 75.08 CM HG OR 29.56 IN HG.
 
  MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS 1001 HECTOPASCALS... 75.08 CM HG OR 29.56 IN HG.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE 5:30 AM SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NOTICE DESCRIBED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS...
+
  THE LATEST DATA THE MSHPC HAS RECEIVED INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
−
AND PER OUR INFORMATION... AGAINST BETTER JUDGEMENT AND COMMON SENSE TO AVOID
+
THAT AFFECTED THIS SYSTEM WHEN IT WAS STILL 81SE.INVEST... HAS STRENGTHENED...
−
  ALERT... THE MSHPC HAS SET THE INTENSITY OF THE STORM TO 40 KT... 75 KM/H...
+
  AND FELICIA IS MOVING INTO THIS AREA OF 30-KNOT SHEAR. AS SUCH... DISSIPATION
−
AS STIPULATED ABOVE.
+
IS EXPECTED BY 0300 HPT... MARCH 4.
 
   
 
   
−
  FELICIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO ANY LAND MASS AS IT IS MOVING
+
  FELICIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO ANY LAND MASS...
−
AWAY FROM THE TORQUAYAN AND VLAVIAN ISLANDS... AND IS EXPECTED TO HEAD ON A SOUTHERLY
+
  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR DOWNGRADING OF THIS SYSTEM TO A TROPICAL
−
  TRACK... BEFORE DISSIPATION ON THE 4TH OR 5TH. THE MSHPC FORECAST WILL CALL FOR
+
DEPRESSION... BY 1800 HPT TODAY.
−
DOWNGRADING OF THIS SYSTEM TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... WITHIN TWELVE HOURS.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  REPEATING THE SPECIAL 5:30AM POSITION...
+
  REPEATING THE 8 AM POSITION... LOCATED 1160 KM SW OF CARSTAIRS... 835 KM WNW OF
−
LOCATED 1160 KM SW OF CARSTAIRS... 835 KM WNW OF XANTHIS... AND MOVING SOUTHWEST
+
XANTHIS... AND STATIONARY. SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT EXPECTED SOON... MAXIMUM
−
AT 7 KM/H. SOUTHERLY TURN EXPECTED SOON... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KM/H...
+
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA.
−
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 AM HPT.
+
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT.
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER LAVAL
 
  FORECASTER LAVAL

Revision as of 06:30, 29 June 2006

Current storm status
Tropical Storm Felicia
As of: 0800 local time March 2, 2145
Location: 1160 km (725 miles) southwest of Carstairs, Torquay or about
835 km (520 miles) west-northwest of Xanthis, Vlavianos
Winds: 65 km/h (40 mph) ({{{windtype}}})
Pressure: 1001 hPa/mbar (75.08 cmHg, 29.56 inHg)
Movement: Stationary at – km/h (– mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here 
TROPICAL STORM FELICIA (4503) ADVISORY 002
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... MAR 2 2145

TROPICAL STORM FELICIA HAS STALLED... AND THE FORECAST MODELS ALL NOW SUGGEST
SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT BEFORE DISSIPATION... ON MARCH 4.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTS OF ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A
200-KM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL ISLANDS WITHIN A 250-KM RADIUS OF
FELICIA BUT OUTSIDE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A
TROPICAL STORM ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN AND OF A TROPICAL
STORM ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM LOCAL TIME... HPT... 6 AM PAX... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM
FELICIA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... SOUTHWEST OF CARSTAIRS, TORQUAY
... AND ABOUT 835 KM... 520 MI... WEST-NORTHWEST OF XANTHIS, VLAVIANOS.
THE STORM IS STATIONARY... AND WILL BEGIN ON A SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT LATER 
TODAY... POSSIBLY AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FELICIA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... GUSTING TO 80 KM/H... AND THE STORM IS WEAKENING.

MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS 1001 HECTOPASCALS... 75.08 CM HG OR 29.56 IN HG.

THE LATEST DATA THE MSHPC HAS RECEIVED INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
THAT AFFECTED THIS SYSTEM WHEN IT WAS STILL 81SE.INVEST... HAS STRENGTHENED...
AND FELICIA IS MOVING INTO THIS AREA OF 30-KNOT SHEAR. AS SUCH... DISSIPATION
IS EXPECTED BY 0300 HPT... MARCH 4.

FELICIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO ANY LAND MASS...
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR DOWNGRADING OF THIS SYSTEM TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION... BY 1800 HPT TODAY.

REPEATING THE 8 AM POSITION... LOCATED 1160 KM SW OF CARSTAIRS... 835 KM WNW OF
XANTHIS... AND STATIONARY. SLOW WESTERLY MOVEMENT EXPECTED SOON... MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT.

FORECASTER LAVAL
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