Difference between revisions of "TD05 (2146)"

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{{Fakehurricane}}
 
{{Fakehurricane}}
 
----
 
----
−
  TCUP5 WHCO 201250
+
  TCAD5 WHCO 200330
−
  HURRICANE KANTA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
+
  HURRICANE KANTA ADVISORY 9
 
  HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
 
  HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
−
  12:50 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
+
  3 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
 
   
 
   
−
  LATEST DATA FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
+
  ...KANTA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AWAY FROM THE INEPTIAN COAST...
−
KANTA INDICATES THAT THE STORM HAS STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY ONE
+
−
HURRICANE WITH WINDS OF 120 KM/H...75 MPH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL
+
−
PRESSURE MEASURED WAS 985 HPA...29.09 INCHES OF MERCURY.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 KM...10 MILES FROM THE
+
  AS I TYPE THIS...THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING KANTA IS
−
  CENTRE.
+
WRAPPING UP ITS FINAL FLIGHT INTO THE STORM. CIVILIAN RECONNAISSANCE
 +
FLIGHTS BEGIN LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR
 +
FORCE'S FLIGHTS...AND TIMELY INFORMATION FROM THESE FLIGHTS...HAVE
 +
HELPED GREATLY IN MONITORING APPARENT RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF HURRICANE
 +
  KANTA.
 
   
 
   
−
  FORECASTER JOHNSON/LAVAL
+
  BASED ON LATEST DATA...INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS...THIS
−
----
+
  COULD BE A BIT ON THE LOW END. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...INITIAL MOTION
−
  TCAD5 WHCO 192130
+
  IS 305/17.
−
  SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KANTA ADVISORY 8
+
−
HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
+
−
9 PM HPT JUNE 19 2146
+
 
   
 
   
−
  ...KANTA STRENGTHENS TO SEVERE TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM
+
  AT 3 AM HPT THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE KANTA WAS LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
−
  THE INEPTIAN COAST...
+
  PLANE TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 6.6 NORTH LONGITUDE 2.6 EAST...ABOUT 450 KM...
 +
280 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BERLITZ INEPTIA.
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 9 PM HPT...ALL WARNINGS FOR INEPTIA ARE DISCONTINUED.
+
  HURRICANE KANTA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 32 KM/H...20 MPH. A
 +
NORTHWESTERLY TURN IS EXPECTED SOME TIME IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
   
 
   
−
  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE THAT HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE STORM'S WIND-
+
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 130 KM/H...80 MPH...WITH
−
FIELD FOUND BELIEVABLE 54 KNOT SURFACE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE IN THE
+
  HIGHER GUSTS. KANTA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
−
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AT AROUND 8 PM. SATELLITE INTENSITY
+
  HURRICANE SCALE. FURTHER RAPID STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW
−
ESTIMATES...T3.0/3.5 FROM AFLE AND T3.5/3.5 FROM HDCW...ARE IN GOOD
+
  HOURS.
−
AGREEMENT WITH THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS. THIS RECONNAISSANCE
+
−
  FLIGHT...WHICH IS THE LAST ONE SCHEDULED AS THE STORM NOW DOES NOT
+
−
  POSE A LAND THREAT...ALSO FOUND A PRESSURE OF 989 HPA...WHICH MAY
+
−
SUGGEST THAT SOME RAPID STRENGTHENING COULD BE TAKING PLACE. THE
+
−
RECON FLIGHT HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR A FEW HOURS TO CONTINUE MONITORING
+
−
  THE SYSTEM. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...INITIAL MOTION IS 300/19.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 9 PM HPT THE CENTRE OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KANTA WAS LOCATED
+
  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 225 KM...140 MILES...AND
−
NEAR LATITUDE 6.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 3.3 EAST...ABOUT 1000 KM...625 MI
+
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 KM...15 MILES...FROM THE
−
  SOUTH OF PORT DU POIVRE INEPTIA.
+
  CENTRE OF THE STORM.
 
   
 
   
−
  SEVERE TROPICAL STORM KANTA HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT
+
  THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECORDED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
−
  30 KM/H...18 MPH...BUT A SIGNIFICANT WESTWARD TURN IS EXPECTED...AS
+
  FLIGHT WAS 983 HPA...29.03 INCHES OF MERCURY.
−
WELL AS AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IF KANTA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY
+
−
AT A RAPID PACE AS FORECAST.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 KM/H...65 MPH...WITH
+
  THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT HAS NOT BEEN EXTENDED
−
  HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
+
  FURTHER AND IS NOW OVER. THANKS TO TIMELY DATA PROVIDED WE HAVE BEEN ABLE
−
  AND KANTA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW MORNING.
+
TO MONITOR THE RATHER UNEXPECTED SUDDEN RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM...
 +
  AND MANY THANKS FROM THE HHPC TO THEM.
 
   
 
   
−
  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 KM...115 MILES
+
  HURRICANE KANTA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN...AND ONLY POSITIVE
−
  FROM THE CENTRE OF THE STORM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST.
+
  CONDITIONS AWAIT THIS MONSTER STORM. IT IS THANKFUL THAT THERE IS NO LAND
 +
IN THE WAY OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A VERY POWERFUL
 +
KILLER. THERE IS CURRENTLY NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK...BUT IT IS USEFUL
 +
TO NOTE THAT IN THE LONG TERM PAST THERE IS AN UNCERTAINTY IN STORM TRACK...
 +
SINCE LESS MODELS ARE NOW SHOWING AN EARLY RECURVE. IN THE NEXT TWO OR THREE
 +
MODEL RUNS THIS SHOULD BECOME MUCH CLEARER.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECORDED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
+
  AS MENTIONED...ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THERE ARE VERY FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS
−
  FLIGHT WAS 989 HPA...29.20 INCHES OF MERCURY.
+
  AHEAD OF THE STORM. SHEAR IS MINIMAL...AND 10 KNOTS AT MOST. SEA SURFACE
 +
TEMPERATURES ARE A VERY HELPFUL 28 TO 29 DEGREES C...WITH AN EDDY OF 30 TO
 +
31 DEGREES C SST LYING AHEAD OF THE STORM SOME TIME TOMORROW MORNING. AS
 +
THE STORM IS UNDERGOING RAPID INTENSIFICATION...IF IT STILL IS AT THAT POINT
 +
IN TIME...WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A CATEGORY FIVE STORM...SOMETHING THAT AT
 +
NO POINT EARLIER ON WE EVER EXPECTED. FOR THIS FORECAST...I'M NOT GOING TO
 +
BE TOO BULLISH JUST YET...BUT WILL REFLECT A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR STORM FOR
 +
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT...ORIGINALLY
+
  A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH IS STILL FORECAST TO DEVELOP...BUT IF
−
SCHEDULED TO END AT 1030 PM HPT...HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO 330 AM HPT
+
  THE STORM IS STILL AT A FAIRLY LOW LATITUDE AND WESTERLY LONGITUDE WHEN THIS
−
  TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM AS IT UNDERGOES WHAT COULD BE SOME
+
  HAPPENS...THE TUTT COULD ACTUALLY ENHANCE POLEWARD OUTFLOW IN THE SYSTEM...
−
  RAPID STRENGTHENING. AS SUCH...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE ABLE
+
  INSTEAD OF CAUSING STRONG SHEAR. THIS IN TURN COULD MEAN MORE TIME SPENT
−
TO BREAK AWAY FROM THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL FLOW...AND TAKE A MORE
+
  AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. INDEED...ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THE 96 HOUR
−
  WESTERLY COURSE...WELL AWAY FROM LAND. HOWEVER...IN THE LONG TERM
+
  FORECAST INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED FROM 65 KNOTS TO 70 TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS
−
  THIS MAKES THE TRACK FORECAST A BIT DIFFICULT...WHETHER THE STORM
+
POSSIBILITY. FUTURE MODEL RUNS SHOULD BE CLEARER.
−
  WILL IMPACT CARITAS...OR GRAYS HARBOR.
+
 
   
 
   
−
ON THIS NEW FORECAST TRACK THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OVER AN
+
  HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT STATIONED IN SCHTOOPSTADT WILL
−
AREA OF 5 TO 10 KNOT SHEAR AS WELL AS 29 TO 30 DEG C SEA SURFACE
+
  BEGIN RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS INTO THE STORM STARTING THIS MORNING.
−
TEMPERATURES...WHICH COULD CAUSE EXPLOSIVE INTENSIFICATION. IT IS
+
−
NOW FORECAST TO CROSS THE PAX LINE AT A LOWER LATITUDE...AND WILL
+
−
NOT RECURVE AS EARLY...IF AT ALL. BASED ON CONTINUITY...THE 96
+
−
HOUR FORECAST POINT WILL SHOW SOME RECURVATURE.
+
−
+
−
IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST...ASSUMING RAPID STRENGTHENING...HAVE GONE
+
−
FOR A HURRICANE IN 12 HOURS...POSSIBLY REACHING MAJOR HURRICANE
+
−
STRENGTH SOME TIME ON THE MORNING OF THE 21ST AS IT PASSES OVER
+
−
THE ABOVEMENTIONED FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS. SINCE THE MODELS STILL
+
−
CALL FOR A TUTT CELL TO DEVELOP IN THE LONG RUN...RAPID WEAKENING
+
−
BEYOND 48 HOURS IS POSSIBLE...AND THE 96 HOUR FORECAST IS AS A
+
−
MINIMAL CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. THERE IS LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN BOTH THE
+
−
TRACK...AND INTENSITY...FORECASTS BEYOND 48 HOURS.
+
−
+
−
  HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT STATIONED IN
+
−
  SCHTOOPSTADT WILL BEGIN RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS INTO THE STORM STARTING
+
−
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
−
  INITIAL TIME...19/2100H
+
  INITIAL TIME...20/0300H
−
   INITIAL... 06.4 N 03.3 E... 55 KT <!-- 20/0300H... 06.6 N 02.6 E... 65 KT -->
+
   INITIAL... 06.6 N 02.6 E... 70 KT <!-- 20/0900H... 06.8 N 01.9 E... 80 KT -->
−
20/0900H... 06.8 N 01.9 E... 70 KT <!-- 20/1500H... 07.2 N 01.3 E... 75 KT -->
+
20/1500H... 07.2 N 01.3 E... 90 KT <!-- 20/2100H... 07.5 N 00.7 E... 95 KT -->
−
20/2100H... 07.5 N 00.7 E... 85 KT <!-- 21/0300H... 08.1 N 00.0 E... 95 KT -->
+
21/0300H... 08.1 N 00.0 E...105 KT <!-- 21/0900H... 08.5 N 00.5 W...115 KT -->
−
21/0900H... 08.5 N 00.5 W...100 KT <!-- 21/1500H... 09.3 N 01.2 W...105 KT -->
+
21/1500H... 09.3 N 01.2 W...125 KT <!-- 21/2100H... 10.0 N 01.9 W...125 KT -->
−
21/2100H... 10.0 N 01.9 W...105 KT <!-- 22/0300H... 10.6 N 02.0 W...100 KT    
+
22/0300H... 10.6 N 02.0 W...120 KT <!-- 22/0900H... 11.1 N 01.9 W...105 KT    
−
22/0900H... 11.1 N 01.9 W... 95 KT     22/1500H... 11.6 N 01.8 W... 90 KT -->
+
22/1500H... 11.6 N 01.8 W...100 KT     22/2100H... 12.2 N 01.7 W... 95 KT -->
−
22/2100H... 12.2 N 01.7 W... 85 KT <!-- 23/0300H... 12.8 N 01.4 W... 80 KT    
+
23/0300H... 12.8 N 01.4 W... 90 KT <!-- 23/0900H... 13.4 N 01.2 W... 85 KT    
−
23/0900H... 13.4 N 01.2 E... 75 KT     23/1500H... 14.0 N 00.8 E... 70 KT -->
+
23/1500H... 14.0 N 00.8 W... 80 KT     23/2100H... 14.5 N 00.6 W... 75 KT -->
−
23/2100H... 14.5 N 00.6 W... 65 KT
+
24/0300H... 15.0 N 00.1 W... 70 KT
 
   
 
   
−
  REPEATING THE 9 PM POSITION...NEAR 6.4 NORTH 3.3 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
+
  REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...NEAR 6.6 NORTH 2.6 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
−
  WINDS NEAR 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING
+
  NEAR 130 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST
−
WEST-NORTHWEST AT NEAR 30 KM/H.
+
AT NEAR 32 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 3 AM
+
  THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 AM
 
  HPT.   
 
  HPT.   
 
   
 
   
−
  FORECASTER JOHNSON/LAVAL
+
  FORECASTER JARVINEN/HUNTER
 
----
 
----
−
  TCTW05 FOLN 192130
+
  TCTW05 FOLN 200330
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA
−
  ISSUED 9:30 PM HPT JUNE 19 2146
+
  ISSUED BY HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
−
  ACTIVE TIME:        2100H JUNE 19 2146
+
ISSUED 3:30 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
−
  WARNING CENTRE:    FOLENISA
+
  ACTIVE TIME:        0300H JUNE 20 2146
 +
  WARNING CENTRE:    FOLENISA/WHCO
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE:  KANTA
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE:  KANTA
−
  WARNING NR:        8
+
  WARNING NR:        9
−
  POSITION:          6.4N 3.3E
+
  POSITION:          6.6N 2.6E
−
  ACCURACY:          15NM
+
  ACCURACY:          10NM
−
  MOVEMENT:          WNW 19KT
+
  MOVEMENT:          WNW 17KT
−
  CENT PRES:          989HPA
+
  CENT PRES:          984HPA
−
  MAX WIND:          55KT
+
  MAX WIND:          70KT
−
  MAX GUST:          65KT
+
  MAX GUST:          85KT
−
  FCST 12HR PSTN:    6.8N 1.9E
+
  FCST 12HR PSTN:    7.2N 1.3E
−
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    70KT G85KT
+
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    90KT G110KT
−
  NEXT WARNING AT:    0300H JUNE 20 2146=
+
  NEXT WARNING AT:    0900H JUNE 20 2146=

Revision as of 05:33, 7 October 2007

50px-Nuvola_apps_important.svg.png ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones. 
TCAD5 WHCO 200330
HURRICANE KANTA ADVISORY 9
HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
3 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146

...KANTA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AWAY FROM THE INEPTIAN COAST...

AS I TYPE THIS...THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING KANTA IS
WRAPPING UP ITS FINAL FLIGHT INTO THE STORM. CIVILIAN RECONNAISSANCE
FLIGHTS BEGIN LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR
FORCE'S FLIGHTS...AND TIMELY INFORMATION FROM THESE FLIGHTS...HAVE
HELPED GREATLY IN MONITORING APPARENT RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF HURRICANE
KANTA.

BASED ON LATEST DATA...INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS...THIS
COULD BE A BIT ON THE LOW END. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...INITIAL MOTION
IS 305/17.

AT 3 AM HPT THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE KANTA WAS LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 6.6 NORTH LONGITUDE 2.6 EAST...ABOUT 450 KM...
280 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BERLITZ INEPTIA.

HURRICANE KANTA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 32 KM/H...20 MPH. A
NORTHWESTERLY TURN IS EXPECTED SOME TIME IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 130 KM/H...80 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. KANTA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. FURTHER RAPID STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 225 KM...140 MILES...AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 KM...15 MILES...FROM THE
CENTRE OF THE STORM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECORDED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
FLIGHT WAS 983 HPA...29.03 INCHES OF MERCURY.

THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT HAS NOT BEEN EXTENDED
FURTHER AND IS NOW OVER. THANKS TO TIMELY DATA PROVIDED WE HAVE BEEN ABLE
TO MONITOR THE RATHER UNEXPECTED SUDDEN RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM...
AND MANY THANKS FROM THE HHPC TO THEM.

HURRICANE KANTA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN...AND ONLY POSITIVE
CONDITIONS AWAIT THIS MONSTER STORM. IT IS THANKFUL THAT THERE IS NO LAND
IN THE WAY OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A VERY POWERFUL
KILLER. THERE IS CURRENTLY NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK...BUT IT IS USEFUL
TO NOTE THAT IN THE LONG TERM PAST THERE IS AN UNCERTAINTY IN STORM TRACK...
SINCE LESS MODELS ARE NOW SHOWING AN EARLY RECURVE. IN THE NEXT TWO OR THREE
MODEL RUNS THIS SHOULD BECOME MUCH CLEARER.

AS MENTIONED...ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THERE ARE VERY FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS
AHEAD OF THE STORM. SHEAR IS MINIMAL...AND 10 KNOTS AT MOST. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE A VERY HELPFUL 28 TO 29 DEGREES C...WITH AN EDDY OF 30 TO
31 DEGREES C SST LYING AHEAD OF THE STORM SOME TIME TOMORROW MORNING. AS
THE STORM IS UNDERGOING RAPID INTENSIFICATION...IF IT STILL IS AT THAT POINT
IN TIME...WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A CATEGORY FIVE STORM...SOMETHING THAT AT
NO POINT EARLIER ON WE EVER EXPECTED. FOR THIS FORECAST...I'M NOT GOING TO
BE TOO BULLISH JUST YET...BUT WILL REFLECT A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR STORM FOR
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH IS STILL FORECAST TO DEVELOP...BUT IF
THE STORM IS STILL AT A FAIRLY LOW LATITUDE AND WESTERLY LONGITUDE WHEN THIS
HAPPENS...THE TUTT COULD ACTUALLY ENHANCE POLEWARD OUTFLOW IN THE SYSTEM...
INSTEAD OF CAUSING STRONG SHEAR. THIS IN TURN COULD MEAN MORE TIME SPENT
AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. INDEED...ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THE 96 HOUR
FORECAST INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED FROM 65 KNOTS TO 70 TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS
POSSIBILITY. FUTURE MODEL RUNS SHOULD BE CLEARER.

HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT STATIONED IN SCHTOOPSTADT WILL
BEGIN RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS INTO THE STORM STARTING THIS MORNING.

OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
INITIAL TIME...20/0300H
 INITIAL... 06.6 N 02.6 E... 70 KT 
20/1500H... 07.2 N 01.3 E... 90 KT 
21/0300H... 08.1 N 00.0 E...105 KT 
21/1500H... 09.3 N 01.2 W...125 KT 
22/0300H... 10.6 N 02.0 W...120 KT 
23/0300H... 12.8 N 01.4 W... 90 KT 
24/0300H... 15.0 N 00.1 W... 70 KT

REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...NEAR 6.6 NORTH 2.6 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR 130 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST
AT NEAR 32 KM/H.

THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 AM
HPT.  

FORECASTER JARVINEN/HUNTER

TCTW05 FOLN 200330
TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA
ISSUED BY HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN
ISSUED 3:30 AM HPT JUNE 20 2146
ACTIVE TIME:        0300H JUNE 20 2146
WARNING CENTRE:     FOLENISA/WHCO
TROPICAL CYCLONE:   KANTA
WARNING NR:         9
POSITION:           6.6N 2.6E
ACCURACY:           10NM
MOVEMENT:           WNW 17KT
CENT PRES:          984HPA
MAX WIND:           70KT
MAX GUST:           85KT
FCST 12HR PSTN:     7.2N 1.3E
FCST 12HR WINDS:    90KT G110KT
NEXT WARNING AT:    0900H JUNE 20 2146=
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