TD05 (2146)
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ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones. |
| Tropical Storm Kanta | |
|---|---|
| Tropical storm | |
| As of: | 2100 HPT June 18, 2146 |
| Location: | 5.5°N 5.4°E 420 km (260 miles) west of St. Denis, Ineptia |
| Maximum winds: |
75 km/h (45 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 995 hPa |
| Movement: | West-northwest |
| Past advisories and discussions available here | |
TCAD5 WHCO 190320 TROPICAL STORM KANTA ADVISORY 5 HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN 3 AM HPT JUNE 19 2146 ...KANTA CONTINUES TO AFFECT SOUTHWEST INEPTIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF INEPTIA FOR CÔTE D'ARGENT EAST OF 4 DEG E AND FOR LA PLAGE WEST OF 6 DEG E. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR CÔTE D'ARGENT FROM BERLITZ SOUTHWARDS TO THE COAST ALONG 4 DEG E. AT THE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WE LOWERED THE INTENSITY OF KANTA TO 35 KNOTS BASED ON GROUND REPORTS AS WELL AS SATELLITE INTENSITY ESIMTATES...WHICH DECREASED LATE YESTERDAY AND INTO THIS MORNING. SINCE THE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF THE STORM HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH. A REPORT FROM THE LA PLAGE COAST WHICH RECENTLY CAME IN INDICATED A GUST TO ABOUT 43 KNOTS...SO IT APPEARS THAT HOLDING THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 35 KNOTS...PENDING AN AFLE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT INTO THE STORM LATER THIS MORNING...IS THE BEST CHOICE. THE RECONNAISSANCE FIX IS IN ABOUT TWO HOURS. INITIAL MOTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY...AND NOW THE ESTIMATE IS 290/12. AT 3 AM HPT...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM KANTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.7 NORTH LONGITUDE 4.9 EAST...ABOUT 145 KM...90 MI SOUTH OF THE LA PLAGE/CÔTE D'ARGENT BORDER. TROPICAL STORM KANTA IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 22 KM/H... 14 MPH. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVIATION FROM THIS FORECAST TRACK IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 KM/H...40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A SIMILAR INTENSITY THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS...WITH A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME MINOR STRENGTHENING LATER THIS MORNING. AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM THE COAST OF INEPTIA... THERE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR RAPID STRENGTHENING. BASED ON THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA...THE PASS MADE SHORTLY AFTER THE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...AS WELL AS THE GROUND OBSERVATION WE RECEIVED FROM LA PLAGE...THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OUTWARD SLIGHTLY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY BEING FELT ACROSS THE COAST... AND THEY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 170 KM...105 MILES FROM THE CENTRE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 HPA...29.38 INCHES OF MERCURY. AREAS NEAR THE COAST IN WESTERN LA PLAGE AND EASTERN CÔTE D'ARGENT PROVINCES OF INEPTIA MAY SEE ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS NO REASON FOR ME TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST FROM LAST TIME. THERE HAVE BEEN NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS... BUT IF KANTA STARTS TO WEAKEN UNEXPECTEDLY...OR VICE-VERSA AND UNDERGOES RAPID INTENSIFICATION...THERE WOULD PROBABLY BE A SIGNIFICANT SHIFT IN THE REASONING. INTENSITY WISE...ALMOST ALL THE MODELS UNANIMOUSLY NOW STRENGTHEN A TUTT THAT IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF CENTRAL PRUDENTIA. THEREFORE...A HURRICANE IS NO LONGER EXPECTED...AND A RATHER QUICKER WEAKENING THAN LAST ADVISORY IS SHOWN IN THIS FORECAST. OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL TIME...19/0300H INITIAL... 05.7 N 04.9 E... 35 KT 19/1500H... 06.3 N 04.0 E... 40 KT 20/0300H... 06.9 N 02.9 E... 45 KT 20/1500H... 07.7 N 01.8 E... 50 KT 21/0300H... 08.8 N 00.5 E... 55 KT 22/0300H... 11.6 N 00.5 W... 55 KT 23/0300H... 14.5 N 00.4 W... 40 KT REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION... NEAR 5.7 NORTH 4.9 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT NEAR 2 KM/H. THE HEARTLAND HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE WILL ISSUE THE NEXT ADVISORY BY 0935 HPT WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY BY 0630 HPT. FORECASTER RINDLI
TCTW05 FOLN 190320 TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA ISSUED 3:20 AM HPT JUNE 19 2146 ACTIVE TIME: 0300H JUNE 19 2146 WARNING CENTRE: FOLENISA TROPICAL CYCLONE: KANTA WARNING NR: 5 POSITION: 5.7N 4.9E ACCURACY: 20NM MOVEMENT: NW 12KT CENT PRES: 995HPA MAX WIND: 35KT MAX GUST: 45KT FCST 12HR PSTN: 6.3N 4.0E FCST 12HR WINDS: 40KT G50KT NEXT WARNING AT: 0900H JUNE 18 2146=
