Difference between revisions of "TD06 (2145)"

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{{Storm active|name= Hurricane Abaddon
+
{{Storm active|name=Hurricane Abaddon
|colour=cat1
+
|colour=cat2
|local time=0630
+
|local time=0930
 
|date=March 4
 
|date=March 4
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=320 km NW of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
+
|location=250 km NNW of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
|windmph=85
+
|windmph=100
|windkph=135
+
|windkph=160
 
|windtype=1-minute mean
 
|windtype=1-minute mean
|pressurehPa=975
+
|pressurehPa=970
|cmHg=73.13
+
|cmHg=72.75
|inHg=28.79
+
|inHg=28.64
|direction=East-southeast
+
|direction=Southeast
|movemph=14
+
|movemph=15
|movekph=22
+
|movekph=24
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
----
 
----
  HURRICANE ABADDON (4506) ADVISORY 004
+
  HURRICANE ABADDON (4506) ADVISORY 005
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  TCWC MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
 
  TCWC MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
  4 AM PAX... 6 AM HPT... MAR 4 2145
+
  9 AM PAX... 7 AM HPT... MAR 4 2145
  6:30 AM LOCAL TIME MAR 4
+
  9:30 AM LOCAL TIME MAR 4
 
   
 
   
THE LATEST ANALYSES OF DATA WE HAVE RECEIVED SUPPORTS THE SUGGESTION THAT
+
  ABADDON HAS CONTINUED ITS TREND OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION... AND LATEST DVORAK
  ABADDON IS UNDERGOING RAPID INTENSIFICATION... AND THUS I SHALL UPGRADE
+
  NUMBERS... AS WELL AS MODEL ANALYSES... WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS... AND SSTS
  THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY TO 75 KT... 135 KM/H. ABADDON IS
+
ANALYSIS... THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF HURRICANE ABADDON IS INCREASED FROM 75 KT
  NOW MOVING SLIGHTLY MORE TO THE EAST OF THE FORECASTED TRACK... AS SUCH
+
TO 85 KT... MAKING ABADDON A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
  ... TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED.
+
SCALE. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE... BUT WILL NOT BE AS RAPID AS
 +
  ABADDON STARTS TO ENCOUNTER COOLER WATERS DEVOID OF ENERGY IN THE WAKE OF
 +
TROPICAL STORM RUVA... AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS... PEAKING
 +
ABADDON AS A 90-KT HURRICANE... IN THREE HOURS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT
 +
  ABADDON IS NOW MORE POWERFUL THAN VEIRU WAS IN FEBURARY... AND VEIRU IS
 +
THE DEADLIEST TROPICAL CYCLONE IN MODERN RECORDED HEARTLAND HISTORY.
 
    
 
    
  THE HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 150
+
  HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 150
 
  KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF THE CITY. AS ABADDON IS A BIG
 
  KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF THE CITY. AS ABADDON IS A BIG
  SYSTEM... TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS FELT UP TO 350 KM FROM THE CENTRE...  
+
  SYSTEM... TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS FELT UP TO 400 KM FROM THE CENTRE...  
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN INITIATED FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM
+
  LOYALTY BAY IS NOW REPORTING EFFECTS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS... A
FROM 250 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO 150 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY.
+
DOUBLE-WHAMMY AFTER RUVA JUST HOURS EARLIER. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN
 +
EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 250 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY NORTH
 +
TO 150 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY... HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
 +
... AS WELL AS HURRICANE WATCHES.
 
   
 
   
  AT 6:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HURRICANE ABADDON LOCATED 320 KM... 200 MILES...
+
  AT 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HURRICANE ABADDON LOCATED 250 KM... 155 MILES... NORTH-
 
  NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM... AND HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
 
  NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM... AND HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
  135 KM/H... 85 MPH... GUSTING TO 85 KT. MIN SLP IS 975 HPA... 73.13 CMHG OR
+
  160 KM/H... 100 MPH... GUSTING TO 95 KT. MIN SLP IS 970 HPA... 72.75 CMHG OR
  28.79 INHG...
+
  28.64 INHG...
  MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 12 KT... 22 KM/H... 14 MPH.
+
  MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KT... 24 KM/H... 15 MPH.
 
   
 
   
 
  THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
 
  THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
   INITIAL...  320 NW LOYALTY BAY... 75 KT... CAT 1
+
   INITIAL...  250 NNW LOYALTY BAY... 85 KT... CAT 2
   3 HOURS...  250 NNW LOYALTY BAY... 85 KT... CAT 2
+
   3 HOURS...  175  NW  LOYALTY BAY... 90 KT... CAT 2
   6 HOURS...  165 NNW LOYALTY BAY... 85 KT... CAT 2
+
   6 HOURS...  115 WNW  LOYALTY BAY... 85 KT... CAT 2
   9 HOURS... 110 NW LOYALTY BAY... 80 KT... CAT 1
+
   9 HOURS...   70 NW LOYALTY BAY... 75 KT... CAT 1
  12 HOURS...  60 NW LOYALTY BAY... 75 KT... CAT 1
+
  12 HOURS...  30  N LOYALTY BAY... 65 KT... CAT 1 LANDFALL
  15 HOURS...  10   N LOYALTY BAY... 50 KT... LANDFALL
+
  18 HOURS...  OVER   LOYALTY MTNS... 45 KT... DISSIPATING
  24 HOURS...   50  N      LENITA... 35 KT... DISSIPATING
+
  24 HOURS... 100  NW      LENITA... 25 KT... DISSIPATED... HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED
36 HOURS... DISSIPATED
+
 
   
 
   
  THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE ABADDON WILL BE RELEASED AT 9 AM HPT.
+
  THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE ABADDON WILL BE RELEASED AT 12 PM HPT.
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER HUNTER
 
  FORECASTER HUNTER

Revision as of 10:41, 19 July 2006

Current storm status
Hurricane Abaddon
As of: 0930 local time March 4, 2145
Location: 250 km NNW of Loyalty Bay, PopularFreedom
Winds: 160 km/h (100 mph) (1-minute mean)
Pressure: 970 hPa/mbar (72.75 cmHg, 28.64 inHg)
Movement: Southeast at 24 km/h (15 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

HURRICANE ABADDON (4506) ADVISORY 005
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
TCWC MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
9 AM PAX... 7 AM HPT... MAR 4 2145
9:30 AM LOCAL TIME MAR 4

ABADDON HAS CONTINUED ITS TREND OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION... AND LATEST DVORAK
NUMBERS... AS WELL AS MODEL ANALYSES... WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS... AND SSTS
ANALYSIS... THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF HURRICANE ABADDON IS INCREASED FROM 75 KT
TO 85 KT... MAKING ABADDON A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE... BUT WILL NOT BE AS RAPID AS
ABADDON STARTS TO ENCOUNTER COOLER WATERS DEVOID OF ENERGY IN THE WAKE OF
TROPICAL STORM RUVA... AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS... PEAKING
ABADDON AS A 90-KT HURRICANE... IN THREE HOURS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT
ABADDON IS NOW MORE POWERFUL THAN VEIRU WAS IN FEBURARY... AND VEIRU IS
THE DEADLIEST TROPICAL CYCLONE IN MODERN RECORDED HEARTLAND HISTORY.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 150
KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF THE CITY. AS ABADDON IS A BIG
SYSTEM... TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS FELT UP TO 400 KM FROM THE CENTRE... 
LOYALTY BAY IS NOW REPORTING EFFECTS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS... A
DOUBLE-WHAMMY AFTER RUVA JUST HOURS EARLIER. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN
EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 250 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY NORTH
TO 150 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY... HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
... AS WELL AS HURRICANE WATCHES.

AT 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HURRICANE ABADDON LOCATED 250 KM... 155 MILES... NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM... AND HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
160 KM/H... 100 MPH... GUSTING TO 95 KT. MIN SLP IS 970 HPA... 72.75 CMHG OR
28.64 INHG...
MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KT... 24 KM/H... 15 MPH.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
 INITIAL...  250 NNW  LOYALTY BAY... 85 KT... CAT 2
 3 HOURS...  175  NW  LOYALTY BAY... 90 KT... CAT 2
 6 HOURS...  115 WNW  LOYALTY BAY... 85 KT... CAT 2
 9 HOURS...   70  NW  LOYALTY BAY... 75 KT... CAT 1
12 HOURS...   30   N  LOYALTY BAY... 65 KT... CAT 1 LANDFALL
18 HOURS...   OVER   LOYALTY MTNS... 45 KT... DISSIPATING
24 HOURS...  100  NW       LENITA... 25 KT... DISSIPATED... HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE ABADDON WILL BE RELEASED AT 12 PM HPT.

FORECASTER HUNTER