Difference between revisions of "TD06 (2145)/Past"
From NSwiki, the NationStates encyclopedia.
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48 HOURS... DISSIPATED | 48 HOURS... DISSIPATED | ||
| − | THE NEXT ADVISORY ON | + | THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE ABADDON WILL BE RELEASED AT 6 AM HPT. |
FORECASTER HUNTER | FORECASTER HUNTER | ||
Revision as of 06:14, 17 July 2006
Contents
Tropical Depression Six
Advisory 1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX (4506) ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS 9:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 9 PM HPT... 7 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145 RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE FORMATION OF A CIRCULATION... IN AN OUTER BAND OF TROPICAL STORM RUVA'S THUNDERSTORMS. THIS CIRCULATION HAS ENOUGH CONVECTION... AND IS THUS DESIGNATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX. THE AFLE MODEL... WHICH FORECAST THE FORMATION OF THIS STORM... ESTIMATES THIS SYSTEM AT AROUND 28–33 KT... AND THUS FOR THIS ADVISORY THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT. THE AFLE MODEL FORECASTS THIS DEPRESSION TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM... AND POSSIBLY ... ALMOST IRRATIONALLY... A HURRICANE... BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL SHORTLY BEHIND RUVA ON THE WESTERN POPULARFREEDOM COAST. AS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALREADY IN EFFECT... THE FORMATION OF THIS STORM MAKES IT REDUNDANT. HOWEVER... THE CYCLONESVILLE WARNING SUB-BUREAU HAS STRENUOUSLY SUGGESTED IMPLEMENTING HURRICANE WATCHES... AND THE MSHPC HAS DECIDED TO ISSUE HURRICANE WATCHES FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 150 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY... TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH. AT 9:30 PM LOCAL TIME... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 KM/H ... 35 MPH... GUSTING TO 45 KT. MIN SLP IS 1002 HPA... 75.23 CMHG OR 29.62 INHG... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT... 40 KM/H... 25 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WILL BE RELEASED AT 12 AM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER
Tropical Storm Abaddon
Advisory 2
TROPICAL STORM ABADDON (4506) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS 10 PM PAX MAR 3... 12 AM HPT... MAR 4 2145 12:30 AM LOCAL TIME MAR 4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX HAS STRENGTHENED CONSIDERABLY... NOW A TROPICAL STORM... ABADDON... NAME SUBMITTED BY LAUDO DEO. REMAINING NAMES ON THE MAIN 14-NAME LIST INCLUDE YURI... GYARNIFQ... OREN... NITSCHKE... GRIEL... MIRSCQY... ARAES AND LINAS. THE AFLE MODEL FORECASTS A CATEGORY 1 65-KT HURRICANE WITHIN 12 HOURS... AND THE UHWF GENERALLY SEEMS TO BE IN AGREEMENT... FORECASTING A 70-KT HURRICANE IN 24 HRS. THE OFFICIAL MSHPC FORECAST WILL FOLLOW THIS TREND... AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40 KT... WITH A FORECAST TO BECOME A 70-KT HURRICANE IN 24 HOURS... HURRICANE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 150 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF THE CITY. AT 12:30 AM LOCAL TIME... TROPICAL STORM ABADDON HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KM/H ... 45 MPH... GUSTING TO 50 KT. MIN SLP IS 1000 HPA... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.54 INHG... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 17 KT... 31 KM/H... 19 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM ABADDON WILL BE RELEASED AT 3 AM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER
Hurricane Abaddon
Advisory 3
HURRICANE ABADDON (4506) ADVISORY 003 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS 1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... MAR 4 2145 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME MAR 4 LATEST DATA RECEIVED FROM SHIPS AS WELL AS DVORAK ESTIMATES AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT ABADDON HAS FORMED AN EYE... AND THUS INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY IS SET AT 65 KT... MAKING ABADDON A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE... THE SECOND OF THE SEASON. THE HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM 150 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF THE CITY... HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNINGS. AT 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME... HURRICANE ABADDON LOCATED 395 KM... 245 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM... AND HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 120 KM/H... 75 MPH... GUSTING TO 70 KT. MIN SLP IS 983 HPA... 73.72 CMHG OR 29.03 INHG... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 12 KT... 22 KM/H... 14 MPH. THE EXTENDED FORECAST... INITIAL... 395 NW LOYALTY BAY... 65 KT... CAT 1 12 HOURS... 155 WNW LOYALTY BAY... 80 KT... CAT 1 24 HOURS... 10 S LOYALTY BAY... 50 KT... INLAND 36 HOURS... 55 N LENITA... 35 KT... DISSIPATING 48 HOURS... DISSIPATED THE NEXT ADVISORY ON HURRICANE ABADDON WILL BE RELEASED AT 6 AM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER
