TD2
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Revision as of 05:37, 27 November 2005 by Liverpool England (Talk | contribs)
| Hurricane Sandra (Category 4) | |
|---|---|
| As of: | 1600 Eastern Probitas time April 20, 2139 |
| Location: | Outside the LE AOR |
| Wind speed: | 150 mph (240 km/h) |
| Pressure: | 930 hPa/mbar (69.75 cmHg, 27.46 inHg) |
| Movement: | West-northwest at 8 mph (13 km/h) |
| See update below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
Hurricane Sandra Discussion
HURRICANE SANDRA (3904) DISCUSSION ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV CYCLONE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND 4 PM EASTERN PROBITAS TIME APR 20 2139 THE ONLY ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE HEARTLAND AT THE MOMENT IS NOT WITHIN THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CYCLONE PREDICTION CENTRE'S JURISDICTION AND THEREFORE A DISCUSSION IS ISSUED. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR LOCAL OR NATIONAL WEATHER OUTLET FOR WARNINGS AND WATCHES. DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS IN THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...REPORTED TO BE AT 930 HECTOPASCALS BY A LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE FLIGHT INTO THE EYE OF THE STORM FROM THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEARTLAND DEFENSE POST AT 1428 LOCAL TIME. REPORTS FROM THE FLIGHT INDICATE THAT THIS LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA - NOW ABOUT 290 NM IN DIAMETER - CENTRED OUTSIDE THE AOR... NAMED SANDRA... HAS GAINED INTENSITY SINCE THE LAST DISCUSSION 24 HOURS AGO. THE ESTIMATED MOTION AT THIS TIME IS SET AT 290/07 - WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7KT. THE SYSTEM IS NOT FACING HEAVY WIND SHEAR... CONTRIBUTING TO THE SUSTAINED STRENGTH AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM... THE PREDICTION MODELS ALL ESTIMATE SANDRA TO POSSIBLY REACH AN EXTREMELY RARE CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH. FORECAST....DATE/LOCALTIME....ESTIMATED POSN....INTENSITY INITIAL......APR20/16..........OUTSIDE AOR....130KT...CAT4...TURNING NORTHWEST 12HR.........APR21/04..........OUTSIDE AOR....130KT...CAT4...TURNING NORTH 24HR.........APR21/16...IN AOR S OF MIRAMAR...140KT...CAT5...WILL START WEAKENING 36HR.........APR22/04...IN AOR S OF MIRAMAR...135KT...CAT5...WEAKENING 48HR.........APR22/16...IN AOR S OF MIRAMAR...120KT...CAT4...HURRICANE WATCHES 72HR.........APR23/16...IN AOR N OF S.CAPRN...100KT...CAT3...H WARN...TS WATCH 96HR.........APR24/16.........SW OF MIRAMAR....75KT...CAT1...INLAND 120HR........APR25/16..........W OF MIRAMAR....50KT...TRST...INLAND AND DISSIPATING ISSUED BY JOHNS
