Difference between revisions of "Atlantian Oceania tropical cyclones"

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  AOTC LEMS HPCPH
 
  AOTC LEMS HPCPH
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  SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS... ADVISORY 009
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  SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS... FINAL ADVISORY 010
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
 
  MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
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  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 3 PM HPT MARCH 9, 2145
+
  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 3 AM HPT MARCH 10, 2145
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
   
 
   
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  PETROS CONTINUES TO LOSE TROPICALITY...  
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  PETROS MAKES LANDFALL.
 
   
 
   
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  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 3 METRES.
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  CURRENTLY CENTRED OVER FUAXHAN. SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 65 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
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  34-KNOT WIND RADIUS
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  TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR ENTIRE VICTORLAND COAST DISCONTINUED.
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NORTHEAST 10 KM
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NORTHWEST 15 KM
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SOUTHEAST 15 KM
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SOUTHWEST 15 KM
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  CURRENT INTENSITY... 35 KNOTS. CURRENTLY ABOUT 1150 KM EAST OF FAUXHAN... ON
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  REMARKS:
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  THIS FORECAST TRACK... LANDFALL WILL BE MADE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
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  SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT SIX HOURS.
 +
THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND METEROGOLOGICAL
 +
SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OFFICE IN PORT HARVEY, CHACOR.
 
   
 
   
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  TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE VICTORLAND COAST.
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  CONTINUED GUSTS OF UP TO 90 KM/H WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT SIX
−
+
  HOURS. LISTEN FOR INFORMATION FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES ON WHEN IT IS
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FROM DVORAK TECHNIQUE... THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE SYSTEM IS ESTIMATED AT
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  SAFE TO COME OUT TO INSPECT DAMAGE. REMAIN IN SHELTER.
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1007 HECTOPASCALS.
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−
+
−
PROGNOSTIC REASONING//
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−
SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS
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−
INTENSITY:
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A - SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS CURRENT INTENSITY 35 KT 1007 HPA
+
−
B - INTENSITY FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... DISSIPATED
+
−
C - CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED TO AS WARM AS -35 DEG C. EXTRATROPICAL
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    CYCLONE TAKING A TOLL ON PETROS.
+
−
POSITIONING:
+
−
A - SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS IS CURRENTLY CENTRED ABOUT 1150 KM EAST OF THE
+
−
    CITY OF FAUXHAN.
+
−
  B - POSITION FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... INLAND WEST OF FAUXHAN.
+
−
C - LANDFALL FORECAST... LANDFALL IS EXPECTED BY TAU 12... IF NOT EARLIER.
+
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D - WARNINGS... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR ENTIRE NORTHERN VICTORLAND
+
−
    COAST... TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED WITHIN WARNING AREA WITHIN
+
−
    24 HOURS.
+
−
MOVEMENT:
+
−
A - SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS MOVING WEST VERY QUICKLY OVER LAST TWELVE HOURS.
+
−
B - FORECAST MOVEMENT OVER NEXT TWELVE HOURS... WEST AT 100 KM/H.
+
−
C - PETROS ALMOST EATEN UP BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM... BUT A SMALL
+
−
    TROPICAL PORTION OF PETROS IS STILL SUFFICIENTLY DETACHED.
+
−
  WIND RADII:
+
−
A - SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS CURRENT WIND RADII: SEE ABOVE
+
−
B - WIND RADII FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... NO WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS.
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−
+
−
COMMENTS:
+
−
SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS IS VERY CLOSE TO LANDFALL... WITHIN 12 HOURS.
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−
+
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TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
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−
+
−
THIS IS AN UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY AS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND DOES NOT HAVE OFFICIAL
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−
JURISDICTION IN ATLANTIAN OCEANIA. WITH THE CURRENT AIRSPACE LOCKDOWN IN
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−
CHACOR... NO HURRICANE HUNTER FLIGHTS CAN BE ORIGINATED... THUS INTENSITY
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−
OF SYSTEM IS GREATLY EXTRAPOLATED.
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−
+
−
NEXT ADVISORY AT 3 AM HPT LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME.
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−
+
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FORECAST...
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−
CURRENTLY... ABOUT 1150 KM  E OF  FAUXHAN...    35 KNOTS
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−
IN 12 HRS... NEAR OR OVER CITY OF FAUXHAN...    30 KNOTS...DISSIPATING
+
−
IN 24 HRS... DISSIPATED
+
 
   
 
   
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
−
  //FORECAST TEAM BRAVO//
+
  //FORECAST TEAM CHARLIE//
−
 
+
−
[[Category:Atlantian Oceania]][[Category:Bazalonia]]
+

Revision as of 02:12, 2 September 2006

/Past advisories 

AOTC LEMS HPCPH
SUBTROPICAL STORM PETROS... FINAL ADVISORY 010
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 3 AM HPT MARCH 10, 2145
LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.

PETROS MAKES LANDFALL.

CURRENTLY CENTRED OVER FUAXHAN. SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 65 KM/H.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR ENTIRE VICTORLAND COAST DISCONTINUED.

REMARKS:
SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND METEROGOLOGICAL
SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OFFICE IN PORT HARVEY, CHACOR.

CONTINUED GUSTS OF UP TO 90 KM/H WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT SIX
HOURS. LISTEN FOR INFORMATION FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES ON WHEN IT IS
SAFE TO COME OUT TO INSPECT DAMAGE. REMAIN IN SHELTER.

LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
//FORECAST TEAM CHARLIE//
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