Difference between revisions of "Atlantian Oceania tropical cyclones"
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==AO-Three== | ==AO-Three== | ||
LCLW CHCM AOTC | LCLW CHCM AOTC | ||
| − | TROPICAL | + | TROPICAL STORM CHARLES WEATHER ADVISORY NR 001A... INTERMEDIATE |
| + | BEDISTANI/PEDRIAN DESIGNATION TROPICAL STORM LYDIA | ||
CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC | CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC | ||
| − | TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... | + | TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 3 PM HPT JUNE 12, 2145 |
LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. | LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. | ||
| − | + | INTERMEDIATE BULLETIN | |
| − | + | A BOUT OF SUDDEN RAPID STRENGTHENING MEANS TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO3 IS | |
| − | + | NOW A TROPICAL STORM. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | TROPICAL STORM CHARLES POSES A THREAT TO CHACOR. LOCAL STORM WARNINGS | |
| + | REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN AREAS OF CHACOR... INCLUDING | ||
| + | THE FORMER DMZ/DJACOR-RYSONIA. | ||
| + | |||
| + | AT 3 PM HPT JUNE 12... TROPICAL STORM CHARLES (LYDIA) WAS LOCATED FAR | ||
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA... VERY NEAR THE COAST OF CHACOR. IT | EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA... VERY NEAR THE COAST OF CHACOR. IT | ||
| − | IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT | + | IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 KM/H... 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS |
| − | ARE | + | ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 HPA/MBAR. |
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 80 MM... THREE INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE | RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 80 MM... THREE INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE | ||
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM CHACOR... | TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM CHACOR... | ||
| − | AND WILL LIKELY STOP IMPACTING THE COUNTRY WITHIN | + | AND WILL LIKELY STOP IMPACTING THE COUNTRY WITHIN 60 HOURS. AS WATERS ARE |
| − | WARM... STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. | + | WARM... STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. |
| − | + | ||
| + | THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES SOUTH OF PORT HARVEY, CHACOR HAVE BEEN CHANGED | ||
| + | TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR | ||
| + | THE COAST OF CHACOR SOUTH OF PORT HARVEY. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES REMAIN | ||
| + | IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF CHACOR NORTH OF PORT HARVEY. | ||
FURTHER IN THE FORECAST... PEDRIANA, MAINLAND BEDISTAN AND THE OFF-SHORE | FURTHER IN THE FORECAST... PEDRIANA, MAINLAND BEDISTAN AND THE OFF-SHORE | ||
ISLANDS OF SARZONIA SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER | ISLANDS OF SARZONIA SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER | ||
THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE | THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE | ||
| − | CRYSTILAKERE CHANNEL. | + | CRYSTILAKERE CHANNEL. COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE |
| + | SARZONIAN ISLANDS. | ||
| − | REPEATING THE | + | REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT JUNE 12 POSITION... TROPICAL STORM CHARLES/LYDIA |
| − | JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF CHACOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE | + | JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF CHACOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KT |
| − | AND MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS | + | AND MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 HPA. MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 KT. |
RESIDENTS OF PEDRIANA... MAINLAND BEDISTAN... AS WELL AS OFFSHORE SARZONIA | RESIDENTS OF PEDRIANA... MAINLAND BEDISTAN... AS WELL AS OFFSHORE SARZONIA | ||
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START TO ISSUE FORECASTS THEN. | START TO ISSUE FORECASTS THEN. | ||
| − | THE NEXT FULL LOCAL WARNING ON TROPICAL | + | THE NEXT FULL LOCAL WARNING ON TROPICAL STORM CHARLES FROM THE CHACOR |
WEATHER AND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT LIVERPOOL | WEATHER AND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT LIVERPOOL | ||
| − | ENGLAND TIME... | + | ENGLAND TIME... FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE LOCAL WARNING AT 3 AM HPT. |
ISSUED BY FORECASTER INDILBA | ISSUED BY FORECASTER INDILBA | ||
[[Category:Atlantian Oceania]] | [[Category:Atlantian Oceania]] | ||
Revision as of 05:32, 16 September 2006
See also all past AO TC advisoriesContents
AO-Two Allani-Dagon
AOTC LEMS HPCPH HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON ADVISORY 004 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 12, 2145 LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. ALLANI/DAGON UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNINGS... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS FOR ENTIRE SMALL ISLAND OF CASARI... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR COAST OF BIG ISLAND OF CASARI FROM ASTRA NORTHWARD TO KELSIA... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 26 METRES. WIND RADII... 34-KT 160 KM NE QUADRANT 175 KM NW QUADRANT 150 KM SE QUADRANT 155 KM SW QUADRANT 50-KT 105 KM NE QUADRANT 120 KM NW QUADRANT 90 KM SE QUADRANT 90 KM SW QUADRANT 64-KT 60 KM NE QUADRANT 70 KM NW QUADRANT 45 KM SE QUADRANT 40 KM SW QUADRANT HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCED IN CARLTON, CASARI. PROGNOSTIC REASONING// HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON INTENSITY: A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENT INTENSITY +85 KT 100 MPH 155 KM/H+ 972 HPA MBAR B - INTENSITY FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... +80 KT 95 MPH 150 KM/H+ 976 HPA MBAR POSITIONING: A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENTLY CENTRED ABOUT 25 KM 15 MILES EAST OF CARLTON CASARI. B - POSITION FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... 480 KM 300 MI EAST OF ADDISON CASARI. C - LANDFALL FORECAST: LANDFALL ON CARLTON CASARI WITHIN NEXT HOUR. D - WARNINGS: HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE SMALL ISLAND OF CASARI. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR COAST OF CASARI FROM ASTRA NORTHWARD TO KELSIA. MOVEMENT: A - ALLANI-DAGON MOVEMENT OVER LAST 12 HOURS WEST AT NEAR 24 KM/H 15 MPH. B - FORECAST MOVEMENT OVER NEXT TWELVE HOURS... WEST AT 24 KM/H 15 MPH. COMMENTS: ALLANI-DAGON ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL. ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIVES AND LIMIT DAMAGE SHOULD BE COMPLETE. LIVERPOOL ENGLAND DOES NOT HAVE OFFICIAL WARNING JURISDICTION IN ATLANTIAN OCEANIA... SO THIS ADVISORY IS WHOLLY UNOFFICIAL AND PROVIDED ONLY AS A WARNING/FORECAST. NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 AM LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME. FORECAST... KM/MILES/DIR. FROM CLOSEST CITY... WINDSPEED KT/MPH/KM/H CURRENTLY... 25 KM 15 MI EAST CARLTON CAS... 85/100/155 CAT 2 IN 12 HRS... 150 KM 95 MI WEST DALKAR CAS... 65/75/120 CAT 1 IN 24 HRS... 480 KM 300 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 80/95/150 CAT 1 IN 36 HRS... 55 KM 35 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 90/105/165 CAT 2 IN 48 HRS... INLAND VERY NEAR INSLOW CAS... 50/60/95 IN 72 HRS... INLAND VERY NEAR WILLINGBY CAS... 35/40/60 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR //FORECAST TEAM CHARLIE//
AO-Three
LCLW CHCM AOTC TROPICAL STORM CHARLES WEATHER ADVISORY NR 001A... INTERMEDIATE BEDISTANI/PEDRIAN DESIGNATION TROPICAL STORM LYDIA CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 3 PM HPT JUNE 12, 2145 LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. INTERMEDIATE BULLETIN A BOUT OF SUDDEN RAPID STRENGTHENING MEANS TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO3 IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM CHARLES POSES A THREAT TO CHACOR. LOCAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN AREAS OF CHACOR... INCLUDING THE FORMER DMZ/DJACOR-RYSONIA. AT 3 PM HPT JUNE 12... TROPICAL STORM CHARLES (LYDIA) WAS LOCATED FAR EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA... VERY NEAR THE COAST OF CHACOR. IT IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 KM/H... 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 HPA/MBAR. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 80 MM... THREE INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN CHACOR... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 100 MM... FIVE INCHES. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM CHACOR... AND WILL LIKELY STOP IMPACTING THE COUNTRY WITHIN 60 HOURS. AS WATERS ARE WARM... STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES SOUTH OF PORT HARVEY, CHACOR HAVE BEEN CHANGED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF CHACOR SOUTH OF PORT HARVEY. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF CHACOR NORTH OF PORT HARVEY. FURTHER IN THE FORECAST... PEDRIANA, MAINLAND BEDISTAN AND THE OFF-SHORE ISLANDS OF SARZONIA SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE CRYSTILAKERE CHANNEL. COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE SARZONIAN ISLANDS. REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT JUNE 12 POSITION... TROPICAL STORM CHARLES/LYDIA JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF CHACOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KT AND MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 HPA. MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 KT. RESIDENTS OF PEDRIANA... MAINLAND BEDISTAN... AS WELL AS OFFSHORE SARZONIA SHOULD CONSULT LOCAL AUTHORITIES FOR FURTHER FORECAST INFORMATION UNTIL THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM CHACOR AS THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WILL START TO ISSUE FORECASTS THEN. THE NEXT FULL LOCAL WARNING ON TROPICAL STORM CHARLES FROM THE CHACOR WEATHER AND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME... FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE LOCAL WARNING AT 3 AM HPT. ISSUED BY FORECASTER INDILBA
