Difference between revisions of "Atlantian Oceania tropical cyclones"

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==AO-Two Allani-Dagon==
 
==AO-Two Allani-Dagon==
 
  AOTC LEMS HPCPH
 
  AOTC LEMS HPCPH
−
  HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON ADVISORY 005
+
  HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON ADVISORY 006
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
 
  MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
−
  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 PM HPT JUNE 12, 2145
+
  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 13, 2145
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
   
 
   
−
  ALLANI/DAGON MAKES LANDFALL ON SMALL ISLAND OF CASARI...
+
  ALLANI-DAGON HAS LOST MUCH CONVECTION OVER CASARI...
−
  STILL A POTENT CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE.
+
  THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM.
 
   
 
   
−
  HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF THE SMALL ISLAND.
+
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT... 50 MPH... BUT THESE WINDS ARE DETACHED
−
  HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT ON THE MAIN ISLAND FROM ASTRA NORTHWARD
+
  FROM THE CENTRE. IT IS LIKELY THAT ALLANI-DAGON HAS UNDERGONE SOME UNEXPECTED
−
  TO KELSIA.
+
  EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
 
   
 
   
−
  WIND RADII...
+
  FURTHER WINDS SUSTAINED TO UP TO 55 KT ARE POSSIBLE IN THE COMING DAYS OVER
−
NO READINGS AVAILABLE.
+
  MAINLAND CASARI AND STARBLAYDIA... WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 80 KT IN MOUNTAINOUS
−
+
  REGIONS.
−
HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON
+
−
INTENSITY:
+
−
A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENT INTENSITY +65 KT 75 MPH 120 KM/H+ 986 HPA MBAR
+
−
  B - INTENSITY FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... +90 KT 105 MPH 165 KM/H+ 972 HPA MBAR
+
−
POSITIONING:
+
−
A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENTLY CENTRED INLAND WEST OF DALKAR, CASARI.
+
−
B - POSITION FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... 55 KM 35 MI EAST OF ADDISON CASARI.
+
−
D - WARNINGS: SEE ABOVE.
+
−
MOVEMENT:
+
−
A - ALLANI-DAGON MOVEMENT OVER LAST 12 HOURS WEST AT NEAR 24 KM/H 15 MPH.
+
−
B - FORECAST MOVEMENT OVER NEXT TWELVE HOURS... WEST AT 24 KM/H 15 MPH.
+
−
+
−
NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 AM LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME.
+
−
+
−
FORECAST... KM/MILES/DIR. FROM CLOSEST CITY... WINDSPEED
+
−
                                              KT/MPH/KM/H
+
−
CURRENTLY... 150 KM  95 MI WEST  DALKAR CAS... 65/75/120 CAT 1
+
−
IN 12 HRS... 480 KM 300 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 80/95/150 CAT 1
+
−
  IN 24 HRS...  55 KM  35 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 90/105/165 CAT 2
+
−
IN 36 HRS...  INLAND VERY NEAR  INSLOW CAS... 50/60/95
+
−
IN 60 HRS... INLAND VERY NEAR WILLINGBY CAS... 35/40/60
+
 
   
 
   
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
 
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
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----
 
----
−
==AO-Three==
+
==AO-Three Charles-Lydia==
−
  LCLW CHCM AOTC
+
  CHTC LWMS HPCPH
−
  TROPICAL STORM CHARLES WEATHER ADVISORY NR 002A... INTERMEDIATE
+
  TROPICAL STORM CHARLES-LYDIA ADVISORY 003
 
  BEDISTANI/PEDRIAN DESIGNATION TROPICAL STORM LYDIA
 
  BEDISTANI/PEDRIAN DESIGNATION TROPICAL STORM LYDIA
 
  CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC
 
  CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC
−
  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 3 AM HPT JUNE 13, 2145
+
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 +
MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
 +
  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 13, 2145
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
   
 
   
−
  ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR CHACOR DISCONTINUED. A SMALL
+
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF
−
  CRAFT ADVISORY... HIGH SURF WARNING... AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES
+
SARZONIA. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST
−
REMAIN IN EFFECT. ALL INLAND STORM WARNINGS FOR CHACOR DISCONTINUED.
+
  OF PEDRIANA... FROM THE LOWLAND BORDER SOUTHWARD TO DRESFORD,
 +
BEDISTAN. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY... HIGH SURF WARNING... HIGH
 +
WIND WARNING... AND FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT.  
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 3 AM HPT JUNE 13... TROPICAL STORM CHARLES (LYDIA) WAS LOCATED ABOUT
+
SOUTHWESTERN CHACOR WILL CONTINUE TO FEEL THE HIGH WINDS FROM
−
  800 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA. IT IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST
+
THIS SYSTEM.
−
  AT 24 KM/H... 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH.  
+
−
  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA/MBAR.  
+
  AT 9 AM HPT JUNE 13... TROPICAL STORM CHARLES-LYDIA WAS LOCATED ABOUT
 +
  650 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA. IT IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST
 +
  AT 27 KM/H... 19 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KM/H... 50 MPH.  
 +
  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA/MBAR.  
 
   
 
   
 
  ALTHOUGH CHARLES IS NO LONGER A DIRECT THREAT TO CHACOR... FLASH
 
  ALTHOUGH CHARLES IS NO LONGER A DIRECT THREAT TO CHACOR... FLASH
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  EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE NEXT THREE TO FOUR
 
  EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE NEXT THREE TO FOUR
 
  DAYS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE SARZONIAN
 
  DAYS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE SARZONIAN
−
  ISLANDS.
+
  ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT... AND THE WATCHES FOR
 +
THE SARZONIAN ISLANDS MAY SOON BE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
 
   
 
   
 
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE SARZONIAN ISLANDS.
 
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE SARZONIAN ISLANDS.
 
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR PARTS OF PEDRIANA AND BEDISTAN.
 
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR PARTS OF PEDRIANA AND BEDISTAN.
 
   
 
   
−
  AS TROPICAL STORM CHARLES IS NO LONGER A DIRECT THREAT TO CHACOR... THIS
+
  WIND RADII...
−
  WILL BE THE FINAL WEATHER ADVISORY RELEASED BY THE CHACOR WEATHER AND
+
  34 KT - 180 160 105 90
−
  METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE
+
  50 KT -  40  35  0  0
−
  PREDICTION CENTRE OFFICE IN PORT HARVEY WILL ISSUE THE NEXT TROPICAL
+
−
  CYCLONE WARNING/ADVISORY AT 9 AM HPT... UNLESS CHARLES POSES A NEW THREAT
+
FORECAST WINDS AND POSITION...
−
  TO CHACOR.
+
    INITIAL... 50 KT... 650 KM ENE ÚSTIN
 +
ADVISORY 4... 55 KT... 380 KM NE DRESFORD
 +
  ADVISORY 5... 65 KT... 115 KM  NE DRESFORD
 +
  ADVISORY 6... 30 KT... DISSIPATING INLAND
 
    
 
    
−
  ISSUED BY FORECASTER JOYCE
+
  ADVISORY 4 DUE AT 9 PM HPT LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME.
 +
 +
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
 +
//FORECAST TEAM ALPHA//
  
 
[[Category:Atlantian Oceania]]
 
[[Category:Atlantian Oceania]]

Revision as of 02:01, 25 September 2006

See also all past AO TC advisories

AO-Two Allani-Dagon

AOTC LEMS HPCPH
HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON ADVISORY 006
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 13, 2145
LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.

ALLANI-DAGON HAS LOST MUCH CONVECTION OVER CASARI...
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT... 50 MPH... BUT THESE WINDS ARE DETACHED
FROM THE CENTRE. IT IS LIKELY THAT ALLANI-DAGON HAS UNDERGONE SOME UNEXPECTED
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.

FURTHER WINDS SUSTAINED TO UP TO 55 KT ARE POSSIBLE IN THE COMING DAYS OVER
MAINLAND CASARI AND STARBLAYDIA... WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 80 KT IN MOUNTAINOUS
REGIONS.

LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
//FORECAST TEAM CHARLIE//

AO-Three Charles-Lydia

CHTC LWMS HPCPH
TROPICAL STORM CHARLES-LYDIA ADVISORY 003
BEDISTANI/PEDRIAN DESIGNATION TROPICAL STORM LYDIA
CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 13, 2145
LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF
SARZONIA. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST
OF PEDRIANA... FROM THE LOWLAND BORDER SOUTHWARD TO DRESFORD,
BEDISTAN. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY... HIGH SURF WARNING... HIGH
WIND WARNING... AND FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT. 

SOUTHWESTERN CHACOR WILL CONTINUE TO FEEL THE HIGH WINDS FROM
THIS SYSTEM.

AT 9 AM HPT JUNE 13... TROPICAL STORM CHARLES-LYDIA WAS LOCATED ABOUT
650 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA. IT IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AT 27 KM/H... 19 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KM/H... 50 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA/MBAR. 

ALTHOUGH CHARLES IS NO LONGER A DIRECT THREAT TO CHACOR... FLASH
FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST. FOR THE CRYSTILAKERE
CHANNEL... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND HIGH SURF WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT.
A HIGH WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN PEDRIANA...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF ÚSTIN.

PEDRIANA, MAINLAND BEDISTAN AND THE OFF-SHORE ISLANDS OF SARZONIA SHOULD
EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE NEXT THREE TO FOUR
DAYS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE SARZONIAN
ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT... AND THE WATCHES FOR
THE SARZONIAN ISLANDS MAY SOON BE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE SARZONIAN ISLANDS.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR PARTS OF PEDRIANA AND BEDISTAN.

WIND RADII...
34 KT - 180 160 105 90
50 KT -  40  35   0  0

FORECAST WINDS AND POSITION...
   INITIAL... 50 KT... 650 KM ENE ÚSTIN
ADVISORY 4... 55 KT... 380 KM  NE DRESFORD
ADVISORY 5... 65 KT... 115 KM  NE DRESFORD
ADVISORY 6... 30 KT... DISSIPATING INLAND
 
ADVISORY 4 DUE AT 9 PM HPT LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME.

LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
//FORECAST TEAM ALPHA//
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