Difference between revisions of "TD20 (2145)"
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{{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Douglas | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Douglas | ||
|category=storm|type=Tropical storm | |category=storm|type=Tropical storm | ||
− | |local time= | + | |local time=0800 |
|date=September 22 | |date=September 22 | ||
|year=2145 | |year=2145 | ||
− | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 45. | + | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 45.5°N 6.2°E]<br/>About 1160 km (725 miles) northwest of Norpod, Crna Gora Liv Eng |
− | |winds= | + | |winds=65 km/h (40 mph) |
|windtype=1-minute sustained | |windtype=1-minute sustained | ||
− | |pressure= | + | |pressure=1001 hPa |
− | |movement= | + | |movement=Southeast at 11 km/h (7 mph) |
|advisory=latest}} | |advisory=latest}} | ||
<div style="clear: both"></div> | <div style="clear: both"></div> | ||
---- | ---- | ||
4520 TCWC HPCWT | 4520 TCWC HPCWT | ||
− | TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS (4520) ADVISORY/DISCUSSION | + | TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS (4520) ADVISORY/DISCUSSION 007 |
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | ||
MSHPC CYCLONESVILLE, WT WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU | MSHPC CYCLONESVILLE, WT WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU | ||
− | + | 7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 8 AM LOCAL TIME SEP 22 2145 | |
NOTICE - DUE TO THE OPERATIONAL SHUTDOWN OF THE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS | NOTICE - DUE TO THE OPERATIONAL SHUTDOWN OF THE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS | ||
− | NO WARNING GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE FOR WARNING | + | NO WARNING GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE FOR THIS WARNING. |
− | + | ||
− | + | ||
− | TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS | + | TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WEAKENS FURTHER... |
− | THE TROPICAL STORM HAS | + | THE TROPICAL STORM HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST SIX |
− | HOURS AT ALMOST 030/12... AND IS | + | HOURS AT ALMOST 030/12... AND IS NOW IN THE PROCESS OF ITS CLOCKWISE TURN. |
− | + | ANTICIPATED MOTION IS NOW 135/06 OVER SIX HOURS/SOUTHEAST AT 11 KM/H. FURTHER | |
− | + | WEAKENING INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE LANDFALL IS POSSIBLE. | |
− | + | ||
− | + | ||
− | AT | + | AT 9 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE |
− | NEAR LATITUDE 45. | + | NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH LONGITUDE 6.2 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... |
− | + | NORTHWEST OF NORPOD CITY, CRNA GORA LIV ENG. | |
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF LIVERPOOL | A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF LIVERPOOL | ||
Line 40: | Line 36: | ||
SOUTHWARD TO 43.7N 7.3E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 710 KM WEST OF NORPOD CITY. | SOUTHWARD TO 43.7N 7.3E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 710 KM WEST OF NORPOD CITY. | ||
− | + | THE HURRICANE WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. PARTS OF THE TROPICAL | |
− | + | STORM WARNING COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. | |
− | + | ||
− | + | ||
− | IT IS CURRENTLY MOVING | + | IT IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 11 KM/H OR 7 MPH. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL |
− | IS EXPECTED | + | DIRECTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL. |
− | MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR | + | MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 KM/H... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL |
− | PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE | + | PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. |
− | TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO | + | TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 495 KM... 310 MI... FROM THE CENTRE |
− | OF THE STORM... AND THIS | + | OF THE STORM... ALTHOUGH THE STORM IS WEAKENING AND THIS WILL SOON BECOME THE WIND |
− | + | RADIUS OF NEAR-GALE WINDS. | |
− | + | THE OFFICIAL FORECAST NO LONGER CALLS FOR RESTRENGTHENING. DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO | |
− | + | MAINTAIN MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY... OR EVEN WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... | |
− | + | BEFORE LANDFALL AROUND TAU24. | |
− | + | ||
− | + | ||
− | + | SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES: | |
− | + | AFLE: T2.0/2.5 STT:W0.5/06HRS | |
+ | UHWF: T1.5/2.5 STT:W0.5/06HRS | ||
+ | HDCW: T2.5/2.5 STT:S0.0/06HRS | ||
+ | HPCLC: T2.0/2.0 STT:W1.0/12HRS | ||
OFFICIAL FORECAST | OFFICIAL FORECAST | ||
− | INITIAL TIME IS 22/ | + | INITIAL TIME IS 22/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT |
− | INITIAL | + | INITIAL... 45.5 N 06.2 E... 35 KT |
− | + | 22/1500H... 45.6 N 06.6 E... 35 KT | |
− | 22/1500H... 45.6 N 06.6 E... | + | 22/2100H... 45.4 N 06.8 E... 35 KT <!-- 23/0300H... 45.2 N 07.0 E... 35 KT...NEARING LANDFALL --> |
− | + | 23/0900H... 45.0 N 07.3 E... 30 KT...LANDFALL <!-- 23/1500H... 44.5 N 07.8 E... 25 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --> | |
− | + | 23/2100H...EXTRATROPICAL | |
− | + | ||
− | REPEATING THE | + | REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... 45.5 N 6.2 E. MOVEMENT...SOUTHEAST NEAR 11 KM/H. |
− | MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... | + | MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 HPA. |
− | THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MSHPC IN | + | THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MSHPC SATELLITE SUB-BUREAU IN LUNAR CITY |
+ | UNDER STATION HEADER HPCLC AT 3 PM HPT. | ||
− | FORECASTER | + | FORECASTER STELIVA |
---- | ---- | ||
− | INLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NUMBER | + | INLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NUMBER THREE |
ISSUED VIA LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA | ISSUED VIA LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA | ||
ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WEATHER CENTRE WT6 AND WT7 | ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WEATHER CENTRE WT6 AND WT7 | ||
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS 4520 | TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS 4520 | ||
− | ISSUED AT | + | ISSUED AT 0945 WESTERN DAYLIGHT TIME... 9:45 AM HPT SEPT 22 2145 |
AFFECTING THE REGIONS OF... | AFFECTING THE REGIONS OF... | ||
Line 93: | Line 88: | ||
WESTERN VOMETIVA DISTRICT | WESTERN VOMETIVA DISTRICT | ||
− | TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS HAS WEAKENED | + | TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS HAS WEAKENED FURTHER AND IS NOW MAKING A CLOCKWISE TURN, |
− | + | MOVING CLOSER TO THE WT COAST. THE MOST RECENT MSHPC ADVDISC ISSUED AT 0900 WDT | |
− | INDICATES A | + | INDICATES A LARGE WIND FIELD, WITH WINDS OF AT LEAST 34 KNOTS EXTENDING |
− | OUTWARDS UP TO | + | OUTWARDS UP TO NEARLY 500 KM. NO RESTRENGTHENING OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED. |
− | + | ||
− | + | ||
WARNING SIGNAL 1 IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. | WARNING SIGNAL 1 IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. | ||
Line 106: | Line 99: | ||
OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS INLAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. | OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS INLAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. | ||
− | + | WARNING SIGNAL 2 IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE FOR NORTHWESTERN SREZENECA. WARNING SIGNAL 2 | |
− | + | MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 KM/H - 65 KM/H ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING... OR ARE | |
− | + | IMMINENT. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT WITH WARNING SIGNAL 2, | |
− | + | INDICATING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. | |
− | + | ||
− | + | THE WT GOVERNMENT HAS UPGRADED WARNING SIGNAL 2 FOR DANYEVICA AND WESTERN VOMETIVA | |
+ | TO WARNING SIGNAL 2-EMERGENCY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... | ||
+ | AND THE UPGRADED SIGNAL MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KM/H - 80 KM/H ARE CURRENTLY | ||
+ | OCCURRING... OR ARE IMMINENT. | ||
THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO STAY INDOORS AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AGAINST STRONG WINDS AND | THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO STAY INDOORS AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AGAINST STRONG WINDS AND | ||
HEAVY RAIN. | HEAVY RAIN. | ||
− | REPEAT... AT | + | REPEAT... AT 9 AM WDT... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DANYEVICA... |
THE WESTERN PORTION OF VOMETIVA.... AND THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. AN | THE WESTERN PORTION OF VOMETIVA.... AND THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. AN | ||
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. | INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. | ||
THE NEXT INLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN WILL BE JOINTLY ISSUED BY SWC WT6 AND WT7 | THE NEXT INLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN WILL BE JOINTLY ISSUED BY SWC WT6 AND WT7 | ||
− | BY | + | BY 1600 WDT. |
END WARNING | END WARNING | ||
MET SERVICE FOLENISA// | MET SERVICE FOLENISA// |
Revision as of 11:49, 25 December 2006
Tropical Storm Douglas | |
---|---|
Tropical storm | |
As of: | 0800 local time September 22, 2145 |
Location: | 45.5°N 6.2°E About 1160 km (725 miles) northwest of Norpod, Crna Gora Liv Eng |
Maximum winds: |
65 km/h (40 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
Pressure: | 1001 hPa |
Movement: | Southeast at 11 km/h (7 mph) |
See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here |
4520 TCWC HPCWT TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS (4520) ADVISORY/DISCUSSION 007 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC CYCLONESVILLE, WT WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU 7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 8 AM LOCAL TIME SEP 22 2145 NOTICE - DUE TO THE OPERATIONAL SHUTDOWN OF THE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS NO WARNING GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE FOR THIS WARNING. TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WEAKENS FURTHER... THE TROPICAL STORM HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AT ALMOST 030/12... AND IS NOW IN THE PROCESS OF ITS CLOCKWISE TURN. ANTICIPATED MOTION IS NOW 135/06 OVER SIX HOURS/SOUTHEAST AT 11 KM/H. FURTHER WEAKENING INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE LANDFALL IS POSSIBLE. AT 9 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH LONGITUDE 6.2 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 1160 KM... 725 MI... NORTHWEST OF NORPOD CITY, CRNA GORA LIV ENG. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FROM 46.8N 6.9E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 1775 KM NORTHWEST OF CYCLONESVILLE SOUTHWARD TO 43.7N 7.3E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 710 KM WEST OF NORPOD CITY. THE HURRICANE WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. PARTS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. IT IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 11 KM/H OR 7 MPH. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 KM/H... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 495 KM... 310 MI... FROM THE CENTRE OF THE STORM... ALTHOUGH THE STORM IS WEAKENING AND THIS WILL SOON BECOME THE WIND RADIUS OF NEAR-GALE WINDS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST NO LONGER CALLS FOR RESTRENGTHENING. DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY... OR EVEN WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... BEFORE LANDFALL AROUND TAU24. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES: AFLE: T2.0/2.5 STT:W0.5/06HRS UHWF: T1.5/2.5 STT:W0.5/06HRS HDCW: T2.5/2.5 STT:S0.0/06HRS HPCLC: T2.0/2.0 STT:W1.0/12HRS OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 22/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 45.5 N 06.2 E... 35 KT 22/1500H... 45.6 N 06.6 E... 35 KT 22/2100H... 45.4 N 06.8 E... 35 KT 23/0900H... 45.0 N 07.3 E... 30 KT...LANDFALL 23/2100H...EXTRATROPICAL REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... 45.5 N 6.2 E. MOVEMENT...SOUTHEAST NEAR 11 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 HPA. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MSHPC SATELLITE SUB-BUREAU IN LUNAR CITY UNDER STATION HEADER HPCLC AT 3 PM HPT. FORECASTER STELIVA
INLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NUMBER THREE ISSUED VIA LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WEATHER CENTRE WT6 AND WT7 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS 4520 ISSUED AT 0945 WESTERN DAYLIGHT TIME... 9:45 AM HPT SEPT 22 2145 AFFECTING THE REGIONS OF... WT6... WESTERN SREZENECA DISTRICT WT7... DANYEVICA DISTRICT WESTERN VOMETIVA DISTRICT TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS HAS WEAKENED FURTHER AND IS NOW MAKING A CLOCKWISE TURN, MOVING CLOSER TO THE WT COAST. THE MOST RECENT MSHPC ADVDISC ISSUED AT 0900 WDT INDICATES A LARGE WIND FIELD, WITH WINDS OF AT LEAST 34 KNOTS EXTENDING OUTWARDS UP TO NEARLY 500 KM. NO RESTRENGTHENING OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED. WARNING SIGNAL 1 IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. WARNING SIGNAL 1 INCLUDES AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND INDICATES TROPICAL STORM-FORCE GUSTS ABOVE 34 KT - 64 KM/H - ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA INTERMITTENTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT ALSO INDICATES THE POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS INLAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. WARNING SIGNAL 2 IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE FOR NORTHWESTERN SREZENECA. WARNING SIGNAL 2 MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 KM/H - 65 KM/H ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING... OR ARE IMMINENT. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT WITH WARNING SIGNAL 2, INDICATING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.
THE WT GOVERNMENT HAS UPGRADED WARNING SIGNAL 2 FOR DANYEVICA AND WESTERN VOMETIVA TO WARNING SIGNAL 2-EMERGENCY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... AND THE UPGRADED SIGNAL MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KM/H - 80 KM/H ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING... OR ARE IMMINENT. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO STAY INDOORS AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AGAINST STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN. REPEAT... AT 9 AM WDT... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DANYEVICA... THE WESTERN PORTION OF VOMETIVA.... AND THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF SREZENECA. THE NEXT INLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN WILL BE JOINTLY ISSUED BY SWC WT6 AND WT7 BY 1600 WDT. END WARNING MET SERVICE FOLENISA//