TD20 (2145)
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| Tropical Storm Douglas | |
|---|---|
| Tropical storm | |
| As of: | 1400 local time September 21, 2145 |
| Location: | 44.7°N 5.3°E About 2145 km (1340 miles) west of Cyclonesville About 1320 km (825 miles) west-northwest of North Podgorica City |
| Maximum winds: |
75 km/h (45 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1000 hPa |
| Movement: | North at 9 km/h (6 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
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Current warnings and watches
4520 TCWC HPCWT TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS (4520) ADVISORY/DISCUSSION 004 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC CYCLONESVILLE, WT WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU 1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 2 PM LOCAL TIME SEP 21 2145 SUBTROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS BECOMES TROPICAL AS IT STRENGTHENS... QUIKSCAT INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM NOW HAS HIGHER SUSTAINED WINDS... WITH A 45-KT VECTOR OBTAINED... AS WELL AS MANY 40-KT VECTORS. THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF DOUGLAS HAS IMPROVED... AND THIS IS JUSTIFICATION FOR DECLARING DOUGLAS FULLY TROPICAL AT 40 KT. IT NOW SEEMS THAT THE NW/W TURN WILL NOT OCCUR... AND A SLOW CLOCKWISE MOVEMENT IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS CULMINATING IN LANDFALL NEAR 60 HOURS. DUE TO AN EXPANDING WINDFIELD... AND WITH FURTHER EXPANSION OF STRONGEST WINDS RADII EXPECTED... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN INITIATED FOR MUCH OF THE WESTERN COAST OF THE WESTERN TERRITORIES. AT 3 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 44.7 NORTH LONGITUDE 5.3 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 2145 KM... 1340 MI... WEST OF CYCLONESVILLE, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND... OR ABOUT 1320 KM... 825 MILES... WEST-NORTHWEST OF NORTH PODGORICA CITY, CRNA GORA LIV ENG. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FROM 46.8N 6.9E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 1775 KM NORTHWEST OF CYCLONESVILLE SOUTHWARD TO 43.7N 7.3E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 710 KM WEST OF NORTH PODGORICA CITY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS CONCURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FROM 46.2N 7.0E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 550 KM WEST OF THE WT COMMEMORATION LANDMARK... SOUTHWARD TO 44.9N 7.2E... ALONG THE COAST ABOUT 1615 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CYCLONESVILLE. IT IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTH AT ABOUT 9 KM/H OR 6 MPH... AND A SLOW CLOCKWISE TURN IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 72 HOURS OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 KM/H... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 HPA. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 385 KM... 240 MI... FROM THE CENTRE OF THE STORM. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THIS WIND FIELD WILL EXPAND AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST. THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING HAS BEEN TOTALLY WRONGED. TS4520 IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE... AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO UNTIL LANDFALL AROUND TAU60... LIKELY AS A HURRICANE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST... WHILE TAKING INTO ACCOUNT 24C SSTS AND GROWING SHEAR... WILL CALL FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATERS TO ITS NORTHEAST... REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT... LIKELY RAPID WEAKENING ONCE INLAND. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 21/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 44.7 N 05.3 E... 40 KT 21/2100H... 44.9 N 05.3 E... 40 KT 22/0300H... 45.1 N 05.4 E... 45 KT 22/1500H... 45.5 N 05.8 E... 55 KT 23/0300H... 45.8 N 06.4 E... 60 KT 23/1500H... 45.4 N 06.8 E... 65 KT 24/1500H... 44.5 N 07.8 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 25/1500H...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT POSITION... 44.7 N 5.3 E. MOVEMENT...NORTHWARD NEAR 9 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 HPA. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MSHPC IN CYCLONESVILLE AT 9 PM HPT. FORECASTER STELIVA
LOCAL WARNING ISSUED VIA LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WEATHER CENTRE WT6 LOCAL WARNING 1 FOR TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS 4520 ISSUED AT 1900 WESTERN DAYLIGHT TIME... 7 PM HPT THIS LOCAL WARNING AFFECTS ONLY THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF SWC WT6 JURISDICTION... TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL IN UNDER 72 HOURS. THIS LOCAL WARNING AFFECTS THE FOLLOWING REGIONS: DISTRICT OF SREZENECA... NORTHWEST AREA ONLY INFORMATION: PREPARE TO TAKE SHELTER IF NECESSARY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED EARLY TOMORROW. FINAL ADVISORY. TROPICAL STORM ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED WHEN NECESSARY. END WARNING SWC WT6//
TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY ISSUED VIA LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WEATHER CENTRE WT7 TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY 1 FOR T.S. 4520/DOUGLAS ISSUED AT 1900 WESTERN DAYLIGHT TIME... 7 PM HPT THIS TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY AFFECTS THE FOLLOWING REGIONS: DISTRICT OF DANYEVICA VOMETIVA DISTRICT... WESTERN AREA ONLY TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY: TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE SOON. A COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE... REFER TO MSHPC BULLETINS. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BOTH DANYEVICA... AS WELL AS THE WESTERN PORTION OF VOMETIVA. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE GUSTS ABOVE 64 KM/H ARE EXPECTED INTERMITTENTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS INLAND ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS... ALTHOUGH AT THIS POINT MORE LIKELY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. NEXT ADVISORY WITHIN 24 HOURS. END WARNING SWC WT7//
INLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE STATEMENT LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE ISSUED BY MET SERVICE HEADQUARTERS FOLENISA ISSUED AT 7 PM HPT SEPTEMBER 21 2145 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS IS STRENGTHENING. LOCAL ADVISORIES MAY BE IN EFFECT. NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY-DISCUSSION IN TWO HOURS. END WARNING FORECASTER HUNTER
