TD01 (2146)
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| Tropical Depression One | |
|---|---|
| Tropical depression | |
| As of: | 0300 HPT March 30, 2146 |
| Location: | 2.8°N 38.9°E About 3420 km (2135 mi) southeast of the former settlement of Rechon, Holy Socks |
| Maximum winds: |
45 km/h (30 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1001 hPa |
| Movement: | West-southwest very slowly |
| Past advisories and discussions available here | |
TCAD1 HPCOR 300345 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE (4601) ADVISORY 003 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS 3 AM HPT MARCH 30 2146... 1 AM PAX TIME TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE STARTS TO WEAKEN... RECONNAISSANCE DATA FROM A FLIGHT IN AT 2 AM HPT SUGGESTS THAT THE DEPRESSION LOCATED EAST OF THE BLUDRAGON EMBASSY TERRITORY HAS WEAKENED SINCE THE LAST FLIGHT AT 5 PM. CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED... AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED. LLCC CONTINUES TO ATTEMPT TO CONSOLIDATE. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM HDCW IS T2.0/30 KT... UHWF ESTIMATE IS DOWN TO A T1.5/25 KT. BASED ON WEAKENING SYSTEM... INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KT... ALTHOUGH THIS MAY BE A BIT CONSERVATIVE AND ACTUAL INTENSITY MAY STILL BE 30 KT. THE RECON FAILED TO GET A GOOD WIND SPEED READING. INITIAL MOTION IS 255/01. AT 3:00 AM HPT THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 2.8 NORTH LONGITUDE 38.9 EAST... OR ABOUT 3420 KM... 2135 MILES... SOUTHEAST OF THE SETTLEMENT THAT WAS FORMERLY RECHON, HOLY SOCKS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 KM/H... 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 1001 HPA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST VERY SLOWLY. SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES AROUND THE DEPRESSION ARE STARTING TO FALL AS THE SYSTEM USES UP THE HEAT CONTENT IN THE WATER. SHEAR REMAINS A BEARABLE 20 KT... BUT GROWS TO 40 KT EITHER SIDE OF THE DEPRESSION. ALL THIS SPELLS A QUICK END FOR THE DEPRESSION IN SIGHT. HDCW STALLS THE SYSTEM AND WEAKENS IT TO A REMNANT LOW OF AROUND 1010 HPA IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. UHWF CONTINUES TO CALL FOR STRENGTHENING... ALTHOUGH NOT AS BULLISH AS LAST TIME AROUND... AND NOW ONLY CALLS FOR A 35-KT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE HDCW IN DROPPING THE SYSTEM TO A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN 72 HOURS... BUT DISSIPATION COULD OCCUR QUICKER THAN THAT. OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL TIME... 30/0300H INITIAL... 02.8 N 38.9 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING 30/1500H... 02.8 N 38.8 E... 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 31/0300H... 02.8 N 38.8 E... 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 31/1500H... 02.7 N 38.7 E... 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 01/0300H... 02.7 N 38.7 E... 15 KT...REMNANT LOW 02/0300H...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION... 02.8 NORTH 38.9 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA... SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST VERY SLOWLY. THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 0945 HPT. FORECASTER JARVINEN
BPCT1 HPCOR 300400 DÉPRESSION TROPICALE 1 (4601)... BULLETIN NUMERO 3 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND/CENTRE DE PRÉVISION D'OURAGAN À L'OREAN BULLETIN À 03 HEURES HPT, 30 MARS 2146 DÉPRESSION TROPICALE 1/4601 [1001 HPA]. POSITION LE 30 MARS A 03 HEURES HPT: 02.8 NORD / 38.9 EST (DEUX DEGRES HUIT NORD ET TRENTE-HUIT DEGRES NEUF EST) DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST À 1 KT DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTÈME.
