Difference between revisions of "Atlantian Oceania tropical cyclones"

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[[/Past advisories|See also all past AO TC advisories]]__TOC__
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[[/Past advisories|See also all past AO TC advisories]]
 
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==AO-Two Allani-Dagon==
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==AO-Three Charles-Lydia==
  AOTC LEMS HPCPH
+
  CHTC LEMS HPCPH
  HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON ADVISORY 004
+
  TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHARLES-LYDIA ADVISORY 6... FINAL ADVISORY
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
 
  MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 12, 2145
+
  TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 PM HPT JUNE 14, 2145
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
  LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
 
   
 
   
  ALLANI/DAGON UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...
+
  ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED.
 
   
 
   
  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO
+
  AT 9 PM HPT JUNE 14... THE REMNANTS OF WHAT WAS ONCE HURRICANE
  HURRICANE WARNINGS... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS FOR
+
  CHARLES-LYDIA WERE LOCATED INLAND NEAR THE BORDER WHICH SEPERATES
  ENTIRE SMALL ISLAND OF CASARI... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR
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NORTHWIND-LINCOLNSHIRE-PEDRIANA. IT IS DISSIPATING INLAND... MOVING
  COAST OF BIG ISLAND OF CASARI FROM ASTRA NORTHWARD TO KELSIA... TROPICAL
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  SOUTHWEST AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...
STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.
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  35 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HPA/MBAR.  
 
   
 
   
  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 26 METRES.
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  THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
 +
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
 
   
 
   
  WIND RADII...
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  FORECAST WINDS AND POSITION...
34-KT
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  INITIAL... 30 KT... DISSIPATING
160 KM NE QUADRANT
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  12 HOURS...DISSIPATED
175 KM NW QUADRANT
+
150 KM SE QUADRANT
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155 KM SW QUADRANT
+
 
   
 
   
50-KT
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  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
105 KM NE QUADRANT
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PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
120 KM NW QUADRANT
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  //FORECAST TEAM ALPHA//  
  90 KM SE QUADRANT
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  90 KM SW QUADRANT
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+
64-KT
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60 KM NE QUADRANT
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70 KM NW QUADRANT
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45 KM SE QUADRANT
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40 KM SW QUADRANT
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+
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCED IN CARLTON, CASARI.
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+
PROGNOSTIC REASONING//
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HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON
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INTENSITY:
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A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENT INTENSITY +85 KT 100 MPH 155 KM/H+ 972 HPA MBAR
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B - INTENSITY FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... +80 KT 95 MPH 150 KM/H+ 976 HPA MBAR
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POSITIONING:
+
A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENTLY CENTRED ABOUT 25 KM 15 MILES EAST OF CARLTON CASARI.
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B - POSITION FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... 480 KM 300 MI EAST OF ADDISON CASARI.
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C - LANDFALL FORECAST: LANDFALL ON CARLTON CASARI WITHIN NEXT HOUR.
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D - WARNINGS: HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE SMALL ISLAND OF CASARI.
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              TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR COAST OF CASARI FROM ASTRA
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              NORTHWARD TO KELSIA.
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MOVEMENT:
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A - ALLANI-DAGON MOVEMENT OVER LAST 12 HOURS WEST AT NEAR 24 KM/H 15 MPH.
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B - FORECAST MOVEMENT OVER NEXT TWELVE HOURS... WEST AT 24 KM/H 15 MPH.
+
+
COMMENTS:
+
ALLANI-DAGON ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL. ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIVES AND
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LIMIT DAMAGE SHOULD BE COMPLETE.
+
+
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND DOES NOT HAVE OFFICIAL WARNING JURISDICTION IN ATLANTIAN
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OCEANIA... SO THIS ADVISORY IS WHOLLY UNOFFICIAL AND PROVIDED ONLY AS A
+
WARNING/FORECAST.
+
+
NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 AM LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME.
+
+
FORECAST... KM/MILES/DIR. FROM CLOSEST CITY... WINDSPEED
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                                              KT/MPH/KM/H
+
CURRENTLY...  25 KM  15 MI EAST CARLTON CAS... 85/100/155 CAT 2
+
IN 12 HRS... 150 KM  95 MI WEST  DALKAR CAS... 65/75/120 CAT 1
+
IN 24 HRS... 480 KM 300 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 80/95/150 CAT 1
+
IN 36 HRS...  55 KM  35 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 90/105/165 CAT 2
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IN 48 HRS...  INLAND VERY NEAR  INSLOW CAS... 50/60/95
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IN 72 HRS... INLAND VERY NEAR WILLINGBY CAS... 35/40/60
+
+
  LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
+
  //FORECAST TEAM CHARLIE//
+
 
+
----
+
==AO-Three==
+
LCLW CHCM AOTC
+
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE WEATHER ADVISORY NR 001...CORRECTED
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CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC
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TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 12, 2145
+
LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
+
CORRECTED TO ADD NEXT ISSUANCE
+
+
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE CHACOR COAST IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
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THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION... TAGGED AO-THREE... CURRENTLY POSES A THREAT
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TO CHACOR. LOCAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTH-
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WESTERN AREAS OF CHACOR... AS WELL AS THE FORMER DEMILITARISED ZONE/
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DJACOR-RYSONIA.
+
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AS OF 9 AM HPT JUNE 12... TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE WAS LOCATED FAR
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EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA... VERY NEAR THE COAST OF CHACOR. IT
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IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
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ARE 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 HPA/MBAR.
+
+
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 80 MM... THREE INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE
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OVER SOUTHWESTERN CHACOR... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 100 MM...
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FIVE INCHES. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST.
+
+
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM CHACOR...
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AND WILL LIKELY STOP IMPACTING THE COUNTRY WITHIN 48 HOURS. AS WATERS ARE
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WARM... STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. THEREFORE... COASTAL TROPICAL STORM
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WATCHES ARE BEING PUT INTO PLACE FOR THE ENTIRE CHACOR COAST.
+
+
FURTHER IN THE FORECAST... PEDRIANA, MAINLAND BEDISTAN AND THE OFF-SHORE
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ISLANDS OF SARZONIA SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER
+
THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
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CRYSTILAKERE CHANNEL.
+
+
REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT JUNE 12 POSITION... TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE
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JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF CHACOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KT
+
AND MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 HPA. MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 6 KT.
+
+
RESIDENTS OF PEDRIANA... MAINLAND BEDISTAN... AS WELL AS OFFSHORE SARZONIA
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SHOULD CONSULT LOCAL AUTHORITIES FOR FURTHER FORECAST INFORMATION UNTIL
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THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM CHACOR AS THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WILL
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START TO ISSUE FORECASTS THEN.
+
 
+
THE NEXT FULL LOCAL WARNING ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE FROM THE CHACOR
+
WEATHER AND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT LIVERPOOL
+
ENGLAND TIME... WITH AN INTERMEDIATE LOCAL WARNING AT 3 PM HPT.
+
 
+
ISSUED BY FORECASTER INDILBA
+
  
 
[[Category:Atlantian Oceania]]
 
[[Category:Atlantian Oceania]]

Latest revision as of 00:04, 11 October 2006

See also all past AO TC advisories


AO-Three Charles-Lydia

CHTC LEMS HPCPH
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHARLES-LYDIA ADVISORY 6... FINAL ADVISORY
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 PM HPT JUNE 14, 2145
LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.

ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED.

AT 9 PM HPT JUNE 14... THE REMNANTS OF WHAT WAS ONCE HURRICANE
CHARLES-LYDIA WERE LOCATED INLAND NEAR THE BORDER WHICH SEPERATES
NORTHWIND-LINCOLNSHIRE-PEDRIANA. IT IS DISSIPATING INLAND... MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...
35 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HPA/MBAR. 

THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.

FORECAST WINDS AND POSITION...
  INITIAL... 30 KT... DISSIPATING
 12 HOURS...DISSIPATED

LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
PORT HARVEY, CHACOR
//FORECAST TEAM ALPHA//