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− | [[/Past advisories|See also all past AO TC advisories]]__TOC__ | + | [[/Past advisories|See also all past AO TC advisories]] |
| ---- | | ---- |
− | ==AO-Two Allani-Dagon== | + | ==AO-Three Charles-Lydia== |
− | AOTC LEMS HPCPH | + | CHTC LEMS HPCPH |
− | HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON ADVISORY 004 | + | TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHARLES-LYDIA ADVISORY 6... FINAL ADVISORY |
| [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE | | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE |
| MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR | | MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR |
− | TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 12, 2145 | + | TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 PM HPT JUNE 14, 2145 |
| LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. | | LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. |
| | | |
− | ALLANI/DAGON UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... | + | ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED. |
| | | |
− | THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO | + | AT 9 PM HPT JUNE 14... THE REMNANTS OF WHAT WAS ONCE HURRICANE |
− | HURRICANE WARNINGS... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS FOR | + | CHARLES-LYDIA WERE LOCATED INLAND NEAR THE BORDER WHICH SEPERATES |
− | ENTIRE SMALL ISLAND OF CASARI... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR | + | NORTHWIND-LINCOLNSHIRE-PEDRIANA. IT IS DISSIPATING INLAND... MOVING |
− | COAST OF BIG ISLAND OF CASARI FROM ASTRA NORTHWARD TO KELSIA... TROPICAL | + | SOUTHWEST AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H... |
− | STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.
| + | 35 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HPA/MBAR. |
| | | |
− | MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 26 METRES. | + | THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY |
| + | MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. |
| | | |
− | WIND RADII... | + | FORECAST WINDS AND POSITION... |
− | 34-KT
| + | INITIAL... 30 KT... DISSIPATING |
− | 160 KM NE QUADRANT
| + | 12 HOURS...DISSIPATED |
− | 175 KM NW QUADRANT
| + | |
− | 150 KM SE QUADRANT
| + | |
− | 155 KM SW QUADRANT
| + | |
| | | |
− | 50-KT
| + | LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE |
− | 105 KM NE QUADRANT
| + | PORT HARVEY, CHACOR |
− | 120 KM NW QUADRANT
| + | //FORECAST TEAM ALPHA// |
− | 90 KM SE QUADRANT
| + | |
− | 90 KM SW QUADRANT
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | 64-KT
| + | |
− | 60 KM NE QUADRANT
| + | |
− | 70 KM NW QUADRANT
| + | |
− | 45 KM SE QUADRANT
| + | |
− | 40 KM SW QUADRANT
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCED IN CARLTON, CASARI.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | PROGNOSTIC REASONING//
| + | |
− | HURRICANE ALLANI-DAGON
| + | |
− | INTENSITY:
| + | |
− | A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENT INTENSITY +85 KT 100 MPH 155 KM/H+ 972 HPA MBAR
| + | |
− | B - INTENSITY FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... +80 KT 95 MPH 150 KM/H+ 976 HPA MBAR
| + | |
− | POSITIONING:
| + | |
− | A - ALLANI-DAGON CURRENTLY CENTRED ABOUT 25 KM 15 MILES EAST OF CARLTON CASARI.
| + | |
− | B - POSITION FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS... 480 KM 300 MI EAST OF ADDISON CASARI.
| + | |
− | C - LANDFALL FORECAST: LANDFALL ON CARLTON CASARI WITHIN NEXT HOUR.
| + | |
− | D - WARNINGS: HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE SMALL ISLAND OF CASARI.
| + | |
− | TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR COAST OF CASARI FROM ASTRA
| + | |
− | NORTHWARD TO KELSIA.
| + | |
− | MOVEMENT:
| + | |
− | A - ALLANI-DAGON MOVEMENT OVER LAST 12 HOURS WEST AT NEAR 24 KM/H 15 MPH.
| + | |
− | B - FORECAST MOVEMENT OVER NEXT TWELVE HOURS... WEST AT 24 KM/H 15 MPH.
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− |
| + | |
− | COMMENTS:
| + | |
− | ALLANI-DAGON ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL. ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIVES AND
| + | |
− | LIMIT DAMAGE SHOULD BE COMPLETE.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | LIVERPOOL ENGLAND DOES NOT HAVE OFFICIAL WARNING JURISDICTION IN ATLANTIAN
| + | |
− | OCEANIA... SO THIS ADVISORY IS WHOLLY UNOFFICIAL AND PROVIDED ONLY AS A
| + | |
− | WARNING/FORECAST.
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− |
| + | |
− | NEXT ADVISORY AT 9 AM LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TIME.
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− |
| + | |
− | FORECAST... KM/MILES/DIR. FROM CLOSEST CITY... WINDSPEED
| + | |
− | KT/MPH/KM/H
| + | |
− | CURRENTLY... 25 KM 15 MI EAST CARLTON CAS... 85/100/155 CAT 2
| + | |
− | IN 12 HRS... 150 KM 95 MI WEST DALKAR CAS... 65/75/120 CAT 1
| + | |
− | IN 24 HRS... 480 KM 300 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 80/95/150 CAT 1
| + | |
− | IN 36 HRS... 55 KM 35 MI EAST ADDISON CAS... 90/105/165 CAT 2
| + | |
− | IN 48 HRS... INLAND VERY NEAR INSLOW CAS... 50/60/95
| + | |
− | IN 72 HRS... INLAND VERY NEAR WILLINGBY CAS... 35/40/60
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR | + | |
− | //FORECAST TEAM CHARLIE// | + | |
− | | + | |
− | ----
| + | |
− | ==AO-Three==
| + | |
− | LCLW CHCM AOTC
| + | |
− | TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE WEATHER ADVISORY NR 001...CORRECTED
| + | |
− | CHACOR MET SERVICE IN CO-ORDINATION WITH THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC
| + | |
− | TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 9 AM HPT JUNE 12, 2145
| + | |
− | LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER.
| + | |
− | CORRECTED TO ADD NEXT ISSUANCE
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− |
| + | |
− | TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE CHACOR COAST IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
| + | |
− | THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION... TAGGED AO-THREE... CURRENTLY POSES A THREAT
| + | |
− | TO CHACOR. LOCAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTH-
| + | |
− | WESTERN AREAS OF CHACOR... AS WELL AS THE FORMER DEMILITARISED ZONE/
| + | |
− | DJACOR-RYSONIA.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | AS OF 9 AM HPT JUNE 12... TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE WAS LOCATED FAR
| + | |
− | EAST-NORTHEAST OF ÚSTIN, PEDRIANA... VERY NEAR THE COAST OF CHACOR. IT
| + | |
− | IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
| + | |
− | ARE 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 HPA/MBAR.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 80 MM... THREE INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE
| + | |
− | OVER SOUTHWESTERN CHACOR... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 100 MM...
| + | |
− | FIVE INCHES. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM CHACOR...
| + | |
− | AND WILL LIKELY STOP IMPACTING THE COUNTRY WITHIN 48 HOURS. AS WATERS ARE
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− | WARM... STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. THEREFORE... COASTAL TROPICAL STORM
| + | |
− | WATCHES ARE BEING PUT INTO PLACE FOR THE ENTIRE CHACOR COAST.
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− |
| + | |
− | FURTHER IN THE FORECAST... PEDRIANA, MAINLAND BEDISTAN AND THE OFF-SHORE
| + | |
− | ISLANDS OF SARZONIA SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER
| + | |
− | THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
| + | |
− | CRYSTILAKERE CHANNEL.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT JUNE 12 POSITION... TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE
| + | |
− | JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF CHACOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KT
| + | |
− | AND MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 HPA. MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 6 KT.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | RESIDENTS OF PEDRIANA... MAINLAND BEDISTAN... AS WELL AS OFFSHORE SARZONIA
| + | |
− | SHOULD CONSULT LOCAL AUTHORITIES FOR FURTHER FORECAST INFORMATION UNTIL
| + | |
− | THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM CHACOR AS THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE WILL
| + | |
− | START TO ISSUE FORECASTS THEN.
| + | |
− | | + | |
− | THE NEXT FULL LOCAL WARNING ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION AO-THREE FROM THE CHACOR
| + | |
− | WEATHER AND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT LIVERPOOL
| + | |
− | ENGLAND TIME... WITH AN INTERMEDIATE LOCAL WARNING AT 3 PM HPT.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | ISSUED BY FORECASTER INDILBA
| + | |
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| [[Category:Atlantian Oceania]] | | [[Category:Atlantian Oceania]] |