Difference between revisions of "Atlantian Oceania tropical cyclones/Past advisories"
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IN 48 HRS... ABOUT 1600 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS... CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE | IN 48 HRS... ABOUT 1600 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS... CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE | ||
IN 72 HRS... ABOUT 750 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS | IN 72 HRS... ABOUT 750 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS | ||
+ | FURTHER... FORECAST PEAK AT...65 KNOTS | ||
+ | |||
+ | LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR | ||
+ | //FORECAST TEAM ALPHA// | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Advisory 2=== | ||
+ | SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION "PETROS" ADVISORY 002...CORRECTED | ||
+ | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE | ||
+ | MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR | ||
+ | TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 6 PM HPT MARCH 6, 2145 | ||
+ | LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. | ||
+ | CORRECTED CURRENT SYSTEM INTENSITY. | ||
+ | |||
+ | SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY OVER GEISENFRIED HAS NOW EMERGED INTO WATER AND STRENGTHENED. IT | ||
+ | IS STILL NOT FULLY WARM-CORE... BUT HAS ENOUGH TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TO BE CALLED | ||
+ | A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE BAZALONIAN GOVERNMENT HAS NAMED THIS STORM SYSTEM "PETROS". | ||
+ | CURRENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. PETROS IS EXPECTED TO | ||
+ | START TO TURN TO THE WEST WHILE MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 26 KM/H... THIS STORM WILL | ||
+ | START TO SPEED UP TO NEAR 70 KM/H IN FORWARD SPEED... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY | ||
+ | SOON BE NEEDED. | ||
+ | |||
+ | SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION PETROS IS EXPECTED TO THEN THREATEN BEREFORD AND FAUXHAN, BAZALONIA. | ||
+ | |||
+ | THIS IS AN UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY AS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND DOES NOT HAVE OFFICIAL JURISDICTION | ||
+ | IN ATLANTIAN OCEANIA. WITH THE CURRENT THREAT IN CHACOR... THE MSHPC BRANCH IN PORT | ||
+ | HARVEY CANNOT FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS OUT AT THIS TIME... THEREFORE... THE TRACK AND | ||
+ | INTENSITY OF THIS CYCLONE WILL BE GREATLY EXTRAPOLATED. | ||
+ | |||
+ | FROM DVORAK TECHNIQUE... THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE SYSTEM IS ESTIMATED AT | ||
+ | 1004 HECTOPASCALS. | ||
+ | |||
+ | FORECAST... | ||
+ | CURRENTLY... OVER WATER... 30 KNOTS | ||
+ | IN 9 HRS... OVER WATER... 35 KNOTS | ||
+ | IN 21 HRS... ABOUT 250 KM NE OF BEREFORD... 40 KNOTS | ||
+ | IN 33 HRS... ABOUT 660 KM NW OF BEREFORD... 50 KNOTS | ||
+ | IN 45 HRS... ABOUT 1600 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 60 KNOTS | ||
+ | IN 69 HRS... ABOUT 750 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS | ||
FURTHER... FORECAST PEAK AT...65 KNOTS | FURTHER... FORECAST PEAK AT...65 KNOTS | ||
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR | LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR | ||
//FORECAST TEAM ALPHA// | //FORECAST TEAM ALPHA// |
Revision as of 05:05, 12 August 2006
Advisory 1
SPECIAL ADVISORY UN-NAMED SYSTEM ADVISORY 001...CORRECTED LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 3 PM HPT MARCH 6, 2145 LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. CORRECTED FOR FORECAST PARAGRAPH OVERLAND SYSTEM NOTED OVER GEISENFRIED. CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHWEST... AND EXPECTED TO EMERGE INTO OPEN WATER BY 12 HRS. CURRENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH A MORE GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST. SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE REPORTED BY A BAZALONIAN NAVY VESSEL TO BE NEAR 33 DEG C... PERFECT FOR RAPID STRENGTHENING... DESPITE THE RELATIVE SOUTH- NESS OF THE CENTRE OF THE STORM, IN A SUBTROPICAL RATHER THAN A TROPICAL REGION FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WILL BE ISSUED WHEN NECESSARY. IF IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM... AS THERE IS NO SET NAMING SCHEME FOR ATLANTIAN OCEANIA... THIS STORM WILL EITHER GO UNNAMED... BE NAMED BY THE BAZALONIAN GOVERNMENT... OR BE NAMED AMY FROM THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMING LIST IF REQUESTED BY THE BAZALONIAN GOVERNMENT. THIS IS AN UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY AS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND DOES NOT HAVE OFFICIAL JURISDICTION IN ATLANTIAN OCEANIA. WITH THE CURRENT THREAT IN CHACOR... THE MSHPC BRANCH IN PORT HARVEY CANNOT FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS OUT AT THIS TIME... THEREFORE... THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS CYCLONE WILL BE GREATLY EXTRAPOLATED. FORECAST... CURRENTLY... OVER GEISENFRIED... 25 KNOTS IN 12 HRS... OVER WATER... 35 KNOTS... TROPICAL STORM IN 24 HRS... ABOUT 250 KM NE OF BEREFORD... 45 KNOTS IN 36 HRS... ABOUT 660 KM NW OF BEREFORD... 55 KNOTS IN 48 HRS... ABOUT 1600 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS... CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE IN 72 HRS... ABOUT 750 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS FURTHER... FORECAST PEAK AT...65 KNOTS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR //FORECAST TEAM ALPHA//
Advisory 2
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION "PETROS" ADVISORY 002...CORRECTED LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC BRANCH... PORT HARVEY, CHACOR TIME IN LIVERPOOL ENGLAND FOR ADVISORY... 6 PM HPT MARCH 6, 2145 LOCAL TIME MAY DIFFER. CORRECTED CURRENT SYSTEM INTENSITY. SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY OVER GEISENFRIED HAS NOW EMERGED INTO WATER AND STRENGTHENED. IT IS STILL NOT FULLY WARM-CORE... BUT HAS ENOUGH TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TO BE CALLED A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE BAZALONIAN GOVERNMENT HAS NAMED THIS STORM SYSTEM "PETROS". CURRENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. PETROS IS EXPECTED TO START TO TURN TO THE WEST WHILE MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 26 KM/H... THIS STORM WILL START TO SPEED UP TO NEAR 70 KM/H IN FORWARD SPEED... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY SOON BE NEEDED. SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION PETROS IS EXPECTED TO THEN THREATEN BEREFORD AND FAUXHAN, BAZALONIA. THIS IS AN UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY AS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND DOES NOT HAVE OFFICIAL JURISDICTION IN ATLANTIAN OCEANIA. WITH THE CURRENT THREAT IN CHACOR... THE MSHPC BRANCH IN PORT HARVEY CANNOT FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS OUT AT THIS TIME... THEREFORE... THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS CYCLONE WILL BE GREATLY EXTRAPOLATED. FROM DVORAK TECHNIQUE... THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE SYSTEM IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 HECTOPASCALS. FORECAST... CURRENTLY... OVER WATER... 30 KNOTS IN 9 HRS... OVER WATER... 35 KNOTS IN 21 HRS... ABOUT 250 KM NE OF BEREFORD... 40 KNOTS IN 33 HRS... ABOUT 660 KM NW OF BEREFORD... 50 KNOTS IN 45 HRS... ABOUT 1600 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 60 KNOTS IN 69 HRS... ABOUT 750 KM E OF FAUXHAN... 65 KNOTS FURTHER... FORECAST PEAK AT...65 KNOTS LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE/PORT HARVEY, CHACOR //FORECAST TEAM ALPHA//