Difference between revisions of "TD01 (2145)"

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{{Storm active|name=Hurricane Veiru
 
{{Storm active|name=Hurricane Veiru
|colour=cat2
+
|colour=cat1
|local time=0100
+
|local time=0400
 
|date=February 6
 
|date=February 6
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=85 km south of Dashake
+
|location=inland, just north of Dashake coast
|windmph=95
+
|windmph=75
|windkph=150
+
|windkph=120
|pressurehPa=971
+
|pressurehPa=983
|cmHg=72.83
+
|cmHg=73.73
|inHg=28.67
+
|inHg=29.03
|direction=North
+
|direction=West-northwest
|movemph=16
+
|movemph=13
|movekph=25 <!--14 kt-->
+
|movekph=21 <!--11 kt-->
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
----
 
----
 
<big>Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory</big>
 
<big>Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory</big>
  HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 006
+
  HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 007
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Orean|OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] HEADQUARTERS
 
  [[Orean|OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] HEADQUARTERS
  1 AM LOCAL TIME ... 5 AM HPT FEB 6 2145
+
  4 AM LOCAL TIME ... 8 AM HPT FEB 6 2145
 
   
 
   
  HURRICANE VEIRU CONTINUES TO GAIN FORWARD SPEED... STORM HAS STRENGTHENED TO
+
  HURRICANE VEIRU HAS MADE LANDFALL. STORM MADE LANDFALL ON THE DASHAKE COAST AS
  A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM... CATEGORY TWO LANDFALL ON DASHAKE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
+
  A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM... AT APPROXIMATELY 3:51 AM LOCAL TIME... WITHIN THE LAST
  NEXT THREE TO FOUR HOURS AS STORM CONTINUES TO SPEED UP. PLEASE TAKE SHELTER
+
  FIFTEEN MINUTES. DEVASTATING NEWS OF A FURTHER 81 FATALITIES IN ADDITION TO
  IMMEDIATELY.
+
THE EARLIER THREE HAS COME IN. STORM HAS TURNED WEST-NORTHWEST... AND HAS SLOWED
 +
  IN FORWARD SPEED... BUT IT IS STILL MOVING RELATIVELY RAPIDLY.
 
   
 
   
  COMPUTER MODELS TAKE THE STORM OVER LAND FOR LESS THAN THREE HOURS... BEFORE
+
  COMPUTER MODELS NOW TAKE THE STORM OVER LAND FOR SIX HOURS... BEFORE IT HEADS
  TURNING WEST AND HEADING BACK OUT TO SEA. IF THIS OCCURS... IT WOULD KEEP THE
+
  BACK OUT TO SEA. CIRCULATION COULD POSSIBLY BE LOST... BRINGING UP THE QUESTION
  NAME VEIRU... UNLESS IT LOSES CIRCULATION OVER LAND... WHICH IS NOT EXPECTED...
+
  OF WHAT TO NAME A POSSIBLE REGENERATION OF THE STORM... VEIRU... OR THE NEXT
UNLESS IT DISSIPATES INLAND. THE OFFICIAL MSHPC MODEL AGREES WITH THE COMPUTER
+
NAME ON THE LIST, GEORGE... SUBMITTED BY GRAYS HARBOR. THE OFFICIAL MSHPC MODEL
  MODELS AND TRACKS IT BACK OUT INTO THE COKEKILAN STRAIT HEADING WEST... MAINTANING
+
  TRACKS IT WEST INTO THE COKEKILAN STRAIT... BUT NOT LOSING CIRCULATION RETAINING
  ITS FORWARD MOVING SPEED... AND EMERGING INTO THE OPEN WATERS AS AT THE VERY
+
  THE NAME VEIRU... EMERGING INTO THE OPEN WATERS AS AT LEAST A LOW-END TROPICAL
LEAST A LOW-END CAT 1 HURRICANE. AS SUCH, HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED...
+
  STORM. CURRENTLY, THE STORM HAS WEAKENED UPON LANDFALL TO A MINIMAL CATEGORY
  FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND
+
  1 HURRICANE.
  OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  THE MSHPC HAS WRITTEN TO THE KINGKILAN/COKEKILAN GOVERNMENT REQUESTING PERMISSION
 
  THE MSHPC HAS WRITTEN TO THE KINGKILAN/COKEKILAN GOVERNMENT REQUESTING PERMISSION
 
  TO FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS INTO THE MILITARY NO-FLY ZONE OVER KING KEV NAVAL BASE
 
  TO FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS INTO THE MILITARY NO-FLY ZONE OVER KING KEV NAVAL BASE
  IF NECESSARY.
+
  IF NECESSARY... HOWEVER... DUE TO A LACK OF RESPONSE... THE MSHPC HAS SEEKED
 +
THE HELP OF THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND GOVERNMENT... AND HAS APPEALED TO THE
 +
SUPREME COURT OF THE HEARTLAND.
 
   
 
   
  HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST. WATCHES
+
  HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST...
  ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL
+
  ALTHOUGH THESE SHOULD BE CANCELLED WITHIN TWELVE HOURS AS THE STORM EXITS
AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA.
+
LAND AND HEADS AWAY TO THE WEST. WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE
 +
COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE
 +
BASE IN KINGKILA.
 
  HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE
 
  HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE
 
  ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS.
 
  ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS.
Line 52: Line 56:
 
  WEATHER OFFICE.
 
  WEATHER OFFICE.
 
   
 
   
  AT 1 AM LOCAL TIME... 3 AM PAX TIME OR 5 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE
+
  AT 4 AM LOCAL TIME... 6 AM PAX TIME OR 8 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE
  CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 85 KM... 53 MILES... SOUTH OF
+
  CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... JUST NORTH OF THE DASHAKE
  THE DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING AT NORTH AT 14 KT... 16 MPH OR 25 KM/H.
+
  COAST HAVING MADE LANDFALL AND MOVING AT WNW AT 11 KT... 13 MPH OR 21 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 150 KM/H... 95 MPH OR 80 KT... GUSTING TO 100 KT...
+
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 KM/H... 75 MPH OR 65 KT... GUSTING TO 75 KT...
  MAKING VEIRU A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
+
  MAKING VEIRU A MINIMAL CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
  ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 HPA... 72.83 CMHG OR 28.67 INCHES.
+
  ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 HPA... 73.73 CMHG OR 29.03 INCHES.
 
   
 
   
  REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION... 85 KM SOUTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING NORTH
+
  REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION... JUST NORTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING WNW
  AT 25 KM/H. LANDFALL WITHIN... FOUR HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80
+
  AT 21 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KNOTS... 75 MPH... WITH HIGHER
KNOTS...95 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 HPA. TAKE
+
GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE
SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT.
+
WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN
HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT.
+
EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT.
 
   
 
   
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME... WITH
+
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 11 AM HPT... 7 AM LOCAL TIME.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY IF NEEDED IF LANDFALL MADE BEFORE NEXT ADVISORY.
+
  FORECASTED BY RINDLI AND JOHNSON
  FORECASTED BY RINDLI
+

Revision as of 04:08, 26 May 2006

Current storm status
Hurricane Veiru
As of: 0400 local time February 6, 2145
Location: inland, just north of Dashake coast
Winds: 120 km/h (75 mph) ({{{windtype}}})
Pressure: 983 hPa/mbar (73.73 cmHg, 29.03 inHg)
Movement: West-northwest at 21 km/h (13 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory

HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 007
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS
4 AM LOCAL TIME ... 8 AM HPT FEB 6 2145

HURRICANE VEIRU HAS MADE LANDFALL. STORM MADE LANDFALL ON THE DASHAKE COAST AS
A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM... AT APPROXIMATELY 3:51 AM LOCAL TIME... WITHIN THE LAST
FIFTEEN MINUTES. DEVASTATING NEWS OF A FURTHER 81 FATALITIES IN ADDITION TO
THE EARLIER THREE HAS COME IN. STORM HAS TURNED WEST-NORTHWEST... AND HAS SLOWED
IN FORWARD SPEED... BUT IT IS STILL MOVING RELATIVELY RAPIDLY.

COMPUTER MODELS NOW TAKE THE STORM OVER LAND FOR SIX HOURS... BEFORE IT HEADS
BACK OUT TO SEA. CIRCULATION COULD POSSIBLY BE LOST... BRINGING UP THE QUESTION
OF WHAT TO NAME A POSSIBLE REGENERATION OF THE STORM... VEIRU... OR THE NEXT
NAME ON THE LIST, GEORGE... SUBMITTED BY GRAYS HARBOR. THE OFFICIAL MSHPC MODEL
TRACKS IT WEST INTO THE COKEKILAN STRAIT... BUT NOT LOSING CIRCULATION RETAINING
THE NAME VEIRU... EMERGING INTO THE OPEN WATERS AS AT LEAST A LOW-END TROPICAL
STORM. CURRENTLY, THE STORM HAS WEAKENED UPON LANDFALL TO A MINIMAL CATEGORY
1 HURRICANE.

THE MSHPC HAS WRITTEN TO THE KINGKILAN/COKEKILAN GOVERNMENT REQUESTING PERMISSION
TO FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS INTO THE MILITARY NO-FLY ZONE OVER KING KEV NAVAL BASE
IF NECESSARY... HOWEVER... DUE TO A LACK OF RESPONSE... THE MSHPC HAS SEEKED
THE HELP OF THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND GOVERNMENT... AND HAS APPEALED TO THE
SUPREME COURT OF THE HEARTLAND.

HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST...
ALTHOUGH THESE SHOULD BE CANCELLED WITHIN TWELVE HOURS AS THE STORM EXITS
LAND AND HEADS AWAY TO THE WEST. WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE
COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE
BASE IN KINGKILA.
HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE
ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE
ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 AM LOCAL TIME... 6 AM PAX TIME OR 8 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE
CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... JUST NORTH OF THE DASHAKE
COAST HAVING MADE LANDFALL AND MOVING AT WNW AT 11 KT... 13 MPH OR 21 KM/H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 KM/H... 75 MPH OR 65 KT... GUSTING TO 75 KT...
MAKING VEIRU A MINIMAL CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 HPA... 73.73 CMHG OR 29.03 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION... JUST NORTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING WNW
AT 21 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KNOTS... 75 MPH... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE
WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN
EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 11 AM HPT... 7 AM LOCAL TIME.
FORECASTED BY RINDLI AND JOHNSON