TD01 (2145)/Past
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ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones. |
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Tropical Depression Veiru
Advisory 10
Tropical Depression Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL DEPRESSION VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 010 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 1 PM LOCAL TIME ... 5 PM HPT FEB 6 2145 TROPICAL STORM VEIRU... DEADLIEST STORM IN MSHPC HISTORY... WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS EXPECTED... BUT HAS TURNED TO THE SOUTH AND EMERGED BACK OVER OPEN WATERS. THESE WATERS ARE COOLER THAN THEY WERE DUE TO VEIRU'S WAKE... AND SHOULD NOT BE WARM ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN A LOT OF DEVELOPMENT. DESPITE THIS... VEIRU IS FORECAST TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH FOR A SHORT WHILE. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST NO LONGER EXPECTS A DIRECT HIT ON PORTLAND... AND INSTEAD DISSIPATES IT VERY NEAR ITS CURRENT LOCATION... IN 48 HOURS. THIS COULD BRING A LOT OF RAIN TO THE AREA... AND HAMPER RELIEF EFFORTS. MUDSLIDES AND LANDSLIDES ARE TO BE EXPECTED. THE HURRICANE WATCHES N EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA... HAVE BEEN CANCELLED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM LOCAL TIME... 3 PM PAX TIME OR 5 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVER OPEN WATER... 400 KM... 250 MI... WEST OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND THE STORM IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KM/H... 35 MPH ... GUSTING TO 65 KM/H... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 HPA... 75.08 CMHG OR 29.56 INHG. THE STORM IS QUITE BIG IN DIAMETER... 450 KM... UNUSUALLY SO FOR A DEPRESSION ... BUT ITS TROPICAL STORM-FORCE GUSTS EXTEND OUTWARDS ONLY 20 MILES FROM ITS CENTRE. HOWEVER, DUE TO THE SIZE OF THIS STORM... RAINFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN PORTLAND AND SEALDRE... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1 PM FORECAST... 400 KM WEST OF SEALDRE AND STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H... 35 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. NO ADVISORIES IN EFFECT... TORNADO WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTLAND SOON. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 PM HPT... 4 PM LOCAL TIME. PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES... OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL... HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)... FCST INTENSITY.... MAX MODEL INT... 12 HOURS.... 400 W OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE...... 65 KM/H - STORM.. 65 KM/H (FCST) 24 HOURS.... 400 W OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE...... 65 KM/H - STORM.. 70 KM/H - STORM 36 HOURS.... 400 W OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE...... 60 KM/H - DEPR... 70 KM/H - STORM 48 HOURS.... DISSIPATING 400 W OF SEALDRE... 45 KM/H - DEPR... 60 KM/H - DEPR 72 HOURS.... DISSIPATED..................... 35 KM/H - DEPR... 55 KM/H - DEPR 96 HOURS.... ............................... ................. DISSIPATED FURTHER BEYOND 96 HOURS... SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE DISSIPATED. NO LONGER POSING A THREAT TO COKEKILAN ALLIANCE OR MEXICO-T. FORECASTED BY JOHNSON/CALTS/HARDING/RYAN
Subtropical Storm Veiru
Advisory 1
Subtropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) BULLETIN ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 4 AM LOCAL TIME... 8 AM HPT FEB 5 2145 GALE-FORCE SYSTEM FIRST REFERENCED IN TWU HAS GAINED ENOUGH SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TO BE DESIGNATED A SUBTROPICAL STORM... THE FIRST STORM OF THE SEASON... AND STRONG ENOUGH TO BE NAMED VEIRU, THE NAME CONTRIBUTED BY EAST KOMPA RU. THIS STORM IS NOT A BIG SYSTEM, AND IS NOT CURRENTLY AFFECTING LAND... HOWEVER, AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST IT IS EXPECTED TO GROW IN SIZE, STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN FORWRD SPEED, MAKING THE COASTS OF ALCEDONIA AND STABILITAS EXTREMELY VULNERABLE TO ROUGH SEAS AND HIGH SURF... AND THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HEARTLAND WEATHER CENTRE BASED ON HPD 26 HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF COASTAL ADVICE FOR COKEKILA, DASHAKE AND KINGKILA. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FIRST ISSUED BY THE MSHPC CYCLONESVILLE WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU NOW REMAIN IN EFFECT ONLY FOR DASHAKE. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR COKEKILA EAST TO KINGKILA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 AM LOCAL TIME... 6 AM PAX TIME OR 8 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 KM... 625 MILES... 540 NM NORTH OF NORTH BOSTON, COKEKILA AND MOVING AT 077 DEG... ROUGHLY EAST BY EAST-NORTHEAST ... AT 2 KT... 2 MPH OR 4 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 41 MPH OR 35 KT... GUSTING TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA... 74.85 CMHG OR 29.47 INCHES. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION... 1000 KM NORTH OF NORTH BOSTON AND MOVING EAST BY EAST-NORTHEAST AT 4 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME... WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 AM HPT.
Advisory 1A
Subtropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 001A LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 7 AM LOCAL TIME... 11 AM HPT FEB 5 2145 SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU STRENGTHENS A LITTLE... STILL SUBTROPICAL. AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEAST IT IS EXPECTED TO GROW IN SIZE, STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, MAKING THE COASTS OF ALCEDONIA AND STABILITAS EXTREMELY VULNERABLE TO ROUGH SEAS AND HIGH SURF... HIGH SURF COASTAL ADVICE IN EFFECT FOR COKEKILA, DASHAKE AND KINGKILA. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FIRST ISSUED BY THE MSHPC CYCLONESVILLE WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU REMAIN IN EFFECT OR DASHAKE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 AM LOCAL TIME... 9 AM PAX TIME OR 11 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1010 KM... 630 MILES... NORTH OF NORTH BOSTON, COKEKILA AND MOVING AT EAST-NORTHEAST AT 3 KT... 3 MPH OR 5 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KM/H... 45 MPH OR 38 KT... GUSTING TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 HPA... 74.85 CMHG OR 29.47 INCHES. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION... 1010 KM NORTH OF NORTH BOSTON AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 4 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY CALTS
Tropical Storm Veiru
Advisory 2
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 10 AM LOCAL TIME... 2 PM HPT FEB 5 2145 SUBTROPICAL STORM VEIRU STRENGTHENS SOME MORE... GAINS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. STORM HAS TAKEN A SHARP TURN TO THE NORTH AND IS SPEEDING UP - LANDFALL ON DASHAKE EXPECTED IN 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FIRST ISSUED BY THE MSHPC CYCLONESVILLE WARNINGS SUB-BUREAU IN EFFECT FOR DASHAKE HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNINGS. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM LOCAL TIME... 12 PM PAX TIME OR 2 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1400 KM... 875 MILES... NORTHWEST OF CHERRYTINE, KINGKILA AND MOVING AT NORTH AT 5 KT... 6 MPH OR 10 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KM/H... 55 MPH OR 50 KT... GUSTING TO 75 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 HPA... 74.10 CMHG OR 29.17 INCHES. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION... 1400 KM NORTHWEST OF CHERRYTINE AND MOVING NORTH AT 10 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 PM HPT... 4 PM LOCAL TIME... WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM HPT. FORECASTED BY CALTS
Advisory 2A
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 002A LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 1 PM LOCAL TIME... 5 PM HPT FEB 5 2145 TROPICAL STORM VEIRU CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... AND HAS GAINED FORWARD SPEED... LANDFALL ON DASHAKE EXPECTED WITHIN 18 HOURS AS STORM CONTINUES TO SPEED UP. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM LOCAL TIME... 3 PM PAX TIME OR 5 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 300 KM... 190 MILES... SOUTH OF THE DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING AT NORTH AT 6 KT... 7 MPH OR 11 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 KM/H... 65 MPH OR 57 KT... GUSTING TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 HPA... 73.80 CMHG OR 29.06 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION... 300 KM SOUTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING NORTH AT 11 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 PM HPT... 4 PM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY JOHNSON
Advisory 8
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 008 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 7 AM LOCAL TIME ... 11 AM HPT FEB 6 2145 NOW TROPICAL STORM VEIRU HAS BECOME THE DEADLIEST STORM IN MSHPC HISTORY... 104 REPORTED DEATHS BEATS CYCLONE DONNA'S 40 FATALITIES. VEIRU IS MAINTAINING ITS FORWARD SPEED... AND AHS NOW TAKEN A MORE WESTERLY TURN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO HEAD WESTWARDS... A DIRECT HIT ON PORTLAND CANNOT BE RULED OUT. EVACUATIONS MUST START NOW, AS PORTLAND IS CLOSE TO A WATER SOURCE... WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN THE CITY IF THE STORM MAIN- TAINS ITS INTENSITY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO RE-EMERGE INTO THE COKEKILAN STRAIT WITHIN 12 HOURS AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... OR LOW-END TROPICAL STORM... THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO TURN SOUTH AFTER NEARING PORTLAND. THE 120-HOUR FORECAST HAS VEIRU MAKING LANDFALL ON THE ISLAND OF THE COKEKILAN ROYAL AFB... EVACUATIONS TO REMOVE ALL PERSONNEL SHOULD ALSO BEGIN. ALL COASTAL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELLED. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS ... AS WELL AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS... ARE IN EFFECT... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. HURRICANE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 AM LOCAL TIME... 9 AM PAX TIME OR 11 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... 75 KM... 45 MI... NW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND MOVING AT W AT 11 KT... 13 MPH OR 21 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... 65 MPH OR 50 KT... GUSTING TO 70 KT... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 HPA... 73.73 CMHG OR 29.03 INCHES. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION... 75 KM NW OF SELDRE, DASHAKE AND MOVING WESTWARDS AT 21 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KNOTS... 65 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY RINDLI AND JOHNSON
Advisory 8A
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 008A LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 8 AM LOCAL TIME ... 12 PM HPT FEB 6 2145 JUSTIFICATION FOR ISSUANCE OF SPECIAL ADVISORY: ADD FORECAST TABLE TROPICAL STORM VEIRU IS NOW THE DEADLIEST STORM IN MSHPC HISTORY... 104 DEATHS ... BY FAR BREAKING THE OLD RECORD... CYCLONE DONNA'S 40 FATALITIES. VEIRU'S FORWARD SPEED SLOWING... AND STORM IS WEAKENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO HEAD WESTWARDS... A DIRECT HIT SEEMS VERY LIKELY. EVACUATIONS MUST START NOW, AS PORTLAND IS CLOSE TO A WATER SOURCE... WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN THE CITY IF THE STORM MAIN- TAINS ITS INTENSITY. HURRICANE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM LOCAL TIME... 10 AM PAX TIME OR 12 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... 75 KM... 45 MI... WNW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND MOVING AT W AT 11 MPH OR 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KM/H... 55 MPH OR 48 KT... GUSTING TO 65 KT... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 HPA... 74.10 CMHG OR 29.17 INHG. REPEATING THE 8 AM POSITION... 75 KM WNW OF SELDRE, DASHAKE AND MOVING WESTWARDS AT 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 48 KNOTS... 55 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME... NO CHANGE TO FORECAST TIMING. NEW PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES... OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL... IN THIS CASE, FORECAST TIME IS COUNTED IN HOURS FROM THE LAST FULL ADVISORY... 11 AM HPT... AND NOT FROM THIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY... PLEASE DISREGARD 'HRS FROM ISSUE'. (FCST) MEANS THAT THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE MAXIMUM SUGGESTED INTENSITY BY OTHER MODELS. HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)... FCST INTENSITY.... MAX MODEL INT... 12 HOURS.... 150 SW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE..... 55 KM/H - DEPR... 55 KM/H (FCST) 24 HOURS.... 500 WSW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE.... 90 KM/H - STORM.. 90 KM/H (FCST) 36 HOURS.... 400 NE OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE.. 100 KM/H - STORM. 105 KM/H - STORM 48 HOURS.... 400 N OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE... 125 KM/H - CAT1.. 125 KM/H (FCST) 72 HOURS.... 520 SE OF MÉRIDA, MEXICO-TLT... 165 KM/H - CAT2.. 180 KM/H - CAT3 96 HOURS.... 420 WSW OF MÉRIDA, MEXICO-TLT.. 185 KM/H - CAT3.. 210 KM/H - CAT4 FORECASTED BY RINDLI/JOHNSON/CALTS/HARDING
Advisory 9
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 009 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 10 AM LOCAL TIME ... 2 PM HPT FEB 6 2145 TROPICAL STORM VEIRU... DEADLIEST STORM IN MSHPC HISTORY... 121 REPORTED DEATHS ... BY FAR BREAKING THE OLD RECORD... CYCLONE DONNA'S 40 FATALITIES. VEIRU'S FORWARD SPEED HAS REMAINED AT 11 MPH... STORM WEAKENING HAS ALSO SLOWED... HOWEVER... BY THE TIME IT RECHES PORTLAND... IN ABOUT 20 HOURS... IF IT CONTINUES ON THIS WESTWARD TRACK... THE STORM SHOULD BE A DEPRESSION... OR SHOULD HAVE DISSIPATED. HOWEVER... OFFICIAL FORECASTS... AS WELL AS A GOOD NUMBER OF MODELS ... TAKE THIS STORM BACK OUT TO SEA... AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... THUS RETAINING THE NAME VEIRU... RATHER THAN DISSIPATING IT. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR A DIRECT HIT ON PORTLAND AS A 25-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION... HOWEVER, AS THERE IS A LARGE-ISH WATER SOURCE NEAR PORTLAND... FLOODING COULD BE DEVASTATING... AND THE WATER SOURCE COULD CONTRIBUTE ENOUGH STRENGTH TO THE DEPRESSION TO MOVE BACK OUT TO SEA RATHER THAN DYING OFF INLAND... HURRICANE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM LOCAL TIME... 12 PM PAX TIME OR 2 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... 385 KM... 240 MI... E OF PORTLAND, DASHAKE... AND MOVING AT W AT 11 MPH OR 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KM/H... 50 MPH OR 45 KT... GUSTING TO 65 KT... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 HPA... 74.10 CMHG OR 29.17 INHG. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION... 385 KM EAST OF PORTLAND AND MOVING WESTWARDS AT 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KNOTS... 50 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 5 PM HPT... 1 PM LOCAL TIME. NEW PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES... OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL... (FCST) MEANS THAT THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE MAXIMUM SUGGESTED INTENSITY BY OTHER MODELS... OR THAT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS THE MAXIMUM SUGGESTED INTENSITY AGAINST ALL OTHER MODELS. NOTE THAT A LANDFALL IS FORECAST ON THE ISLAND OF THE KINGKILAN RAFB... BUT THE STORM IS FORECAST TO BE TRAVELLING AT NEARLY 35 KM/H... OVER 20 MPH... AND THE TIME SPENT ON THE ISLAND IS THEREFORE NOT REFLECTED BELOW. HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)... FCST INTENSITY.... MAX MODEL INT... 12 HOURS.... 180 E OF PORTLAND, DASHAKE..... 60 KM/H - DEPR... 60 KM/H (FCST) 24 HOURS.... 200 SW OF PORTLAND, DASHAKE.... 60 KM/H - DEPR... 75 KM/H - STORM 36 HOURS.... 480 NE OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE.. 100 KM/H - STORM. 105 KM/H - STORM 48 HOURS.... 180 N OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE... 125 KM/H - CAT1.. 125 KM/H (FCST) 72 HOURS.... 300 ENE OF KINGKEV NAVAL BASE.. 165 KM/H - CAT2.. 180 KM/H - CAT3 96 HOURS.... 75 W OF KINGKEV NAVAL BASE..... 125 KM/H - CAT1.. 210 KM/H - CAT4 FURTHER BEYOND 96 HOURS... STORM IS EXPECTED TO HEAD NORTHWEST BEYOND THE KINGKEV NAVAL BASE... TOWARDS CAMPECHE AND OAXACA... WITH LANDFALL POSSIBLE ANYWHERE FROM TAMPICO TO MÉRIDA. PREPARATIONS SHOULD START... BUT EVACUATIONS COULD CAUSE LOGISTICAL PROBLEMS AS THE STORM IS STILL FAR AWAY. FORECASTED BY JOHNSON/CALTS/HARDING/RYAN
Advisory 11
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 011 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 4 PM LOCAL TIME ... 8 PM HPT FEB 6 2145 VEIRU REGAINS STRENGTH AS EXPECTED AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. PER PREVIOUS FORECAST, STORM IS STATIONARY... BUT WATERS ARE NOT WARM ENOUGH... CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE... FOR THE LIFE OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST DISSIPATES VEIRU VERY NEAR ITS CURRENT LOCATION ... IN UNDER 48 HOURS. THIS COULD BRING A LOT OF RAIN TO THE AREA... AND HAMPER RELIEF EFFORTS. MUDSLIDES AND LANDSLIDES ARE TO BE EXPECTED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM PAX TIME OR 8 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVER OPEN WATER... 400 KM... 250 MI... WEST OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND THE STORM IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH ... GUSTING TO 75 KM/H... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 HPA... 75.08 CMHG OR 29.56 INHG. THE STORM IS QUITE BIG IN DIAMETER... 450 KM... UNUSUALLY LARGE FOR A STORM ... BUT ITS TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARDS ONLY 120 MILES FROM ITS CENTRE. HOWEVER, DUE TO THE SIZE OF THIS STORM... RAINFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN PORTLAND AND SEALDRE... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES. REPEATING THE 4 PM FORECAST... 400 KM WEST OF SEALDRE AND STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. NO ADVISORIES IN EFFECT... TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTLAND UP TILL 8 PM LOCAL TIME. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 AM HPT... 10 PM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY JOHNSON/CALTS/HARDING/RYAN
Advisory 12
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 012...CORRECTED LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 10 PM LOCAL TIME FEB 6... 2 AM HPT FEB 7 2145 CORRECTION: ADD DEATH TOLL VEIRU MAINTAINS TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY... AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH UNTIL DISSIPATION. STORM IS THE DEADLIEST IN RECORDED HISTORY... 124 CONFIRMED DEATHS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM LOCAL TIME... 12 AM PAX TIME OR 2 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVER OPEN WATER... 400 KM... 250 MI... WEST OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND THE STORM IS DRIFTING SLIGHTLY SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH ... GUSTING TO 70 KM/H... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 HPA... 75.08 CMHG OR 29.56 INHG. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARDS 120 MILES FROM ITS CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN PORTLAND AND AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5 INCHES IN SEALDRE... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES. REPEATING THE 10 PM FORECAST... 400 KM WEST OF SEALDRE AND DRIFTING SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY HARDING/RYAN
Hurricane Veiru
Advisory 3
Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory
HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 003... CORRECTED LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 4 PM LOCAL TIME... 8 PM HPT FEB 5 2145 JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED STRENGTH OF STORM TROPICAL STORM VEIRU REACHES HURRICANE STRENGTH... CONTINUES TO GAIN FORWARD SPEED... CATEGORY ONE LANDFALL ON DASHAKE EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS AS STORM CONTINUES TO SPEED UP. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM PAX TIME OR 8 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 265 KM... 165 MILES... SOUTH OF THE DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING AT NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KT... 9 MPH OR 15 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 KM/H... 75 MPH OR 65 KT... GUSTING TO 85 KT... MAKING VEIRU A MINIMAL CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 HPA... 73.58 CMHG OR 28.97 INCHES. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION... 265 KM SOUTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING NNE AT 15 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 HPA. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 11 PM HPT... 7 PM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY JOHNSON
Advisory 4
Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory
HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 004 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 7 PM LOCAL TIME... 11 PM HPT FEB 5 2145 HURRICANE VEIRU CONTINUES TO GAIN FORWARD SPEED MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST... CATEGORY ONE LANDFALL ON DASHAKE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT NINE HOURS AS STORM CONTINUES TO SPEED UP. PLEASE TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM LOCAL TIME... 9 PM PAX TIME OR 11 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 215 KM... 135 MILES... SOUTH OF THE DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING AT NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KT... 11 MPH OR 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 KM/H... 80 MPH OR 70 KT... GUSTING TO 85 KT... MAKING VEIRU A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 HPA... 73.43 CMHG OR 28.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION... 215 KM SOUTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING NNE AT 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KNOTS...80 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 HPA. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 AM HPT... 10 PM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY RINDLI
Advisory 5
Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory
HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 005 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 10 PM LOCAL TIME FEB 5 2145... 2 AM HPT FEB 6 2145 HURRICANE VEIRU CONTINUES TO GAIN FORWARD SPEED... STORM HAS TURNED BACK NORTH. CATEGORY ONE... POSSIBLY CATEGORY TWO LANDFALL ON DASHAKE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT SEVEN HOURS AS STORM CONTINUES TO SPEED UP. PLEASE TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. COMPUTER MODELS TAKE THE STORM OVER LAND FOR LESS THAN SIX HOURS... BEFORE TURNING WEST AND HEADING BACK OUT TO SEA. IF THIS OCCURS... IT WOULD KEEP THE NAME VEIRU... UNLESS IT LOSES CIRCULATION OVER LAND... WHICH IS NOT EXPECTED... UNLESS IT DISSIPATES INLAND. THE OFFICIAL MSHPC MODEL AGREES WITH THE COMPUTER MODELS AND TRACKS IT BACK OUT INTO THE COKEKILAN STRAIT HEADING WEST... MAINTANING ITS FORWARD MOVING SPEED... AND EMERGING INTO THE OPEN WATERS AS AT THE VERY LEAST A HIGH-END TROPICAL STORM. AS SUCH, HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED... FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE. THE MSHPC WILL WRITE TO THE KINGKILAN/COKEKILAN GOVERNMENT REQUESTING PERMISSION TO FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS INTO THE MILITARY NO-FLY ZONE OVER KING KEV NAVAL BASE IF NECESSARY. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST. WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM LOCAL TIME... 12 AM PAX TIME OR 2 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 155 KM... 97 MILES... SOUTH OF THE DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING AT NORTH AT 12 KT... 14 MPH OR 23 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 135 KM/H... 85 MPH OR 75 KT... GUSTING TO 90 KT... MAKING VEIRU A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 HPA... 73.43 CMHG OR 28.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION... 155 KM SOUTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING NORTH AT 23 KM/H. LANDFALL WITHIN... SEVEN HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KNOTS...85 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 HPA. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 5 AM HPT... 1 AM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY RINDLI
Advisory 6
Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory
HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 006 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 1 AM LOCAL TIME ... 5 AM HPT FEB 6 2145 HURRICANE VEIRU CONTINUES TO GAIN FORWARD SPEED... STORM HAS STRENGTHENED TO A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM... CATEGORY TWO LANDFALL ON DASHAKE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT THREE TO FOUR HOURS AS STORM CONTINUES TO SPEED UP. PLEASE TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. COMPUTER MODELS TAKE THE STORM OVER LAND FOR LESS THAN THREE HOURS... BEFORE TURNING WEST AND HEADING BACK OUT TO SEA. IF THIS OCCURS... IT WOULD KEEP THE NAME VEIRU... UNLESS IT LOSES CIRCULATION OVER LAND... WHICH IS NOT EXPECTED... UNLESS IT DISSIPATES INLAND. THE OFFICIAL MSHPC MODEL AGREES WITH THE COMPUTER MODELS AND TRACKS IT BACK OUT INTO THE COKEKILAN STRAIT HEADING WEST... MAINTANING ITS FORWARD MOVING SPEED... AND EMERGING INTO THE OPEN WATERS AS AT THE VERY LEAST A LOW-END CAT 1 HURRICANE. AS SUCH, HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED... FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE. THE MSHPC HAS WRITTEN TO THE KINGKILAN/COKEKILAN GOVERNMENT REQUESTING PERMISSION TO FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS INTO THE MILITARY NO-FLY ZONE OVER KING KEV NAVAL BASE IF NECESSARY. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST. WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 AM LOCAL TIME... 3 AM PAX TIME OR 5 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED ABOUT 85 KM... 53 MILES... SOUTH OF THE DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING AT NORTH AT 14 KT... 16 MPH OR 25 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 150 KM/H... 95 MPH OR 80 KT... GUSTING TO 100 KT... MAKING VEIRU A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 HPA... 72.83 CMHG OR 28.67 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION... 85 KM SOUTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING NORTH AT 25 KM/H. LANDFALL WITHIN... FOUR HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KNOTS...95 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 HPA. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 8 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME... WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY IF NEEDED IF LANDFALL MADE BEFORE NEXT ADVISORY. FORECASTED BY RINDLI
Advisory 7
Hurricane Veiru Public Advisory
HURRICANE VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY 007 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 4 AM LOCAL TIME ... 8 AM HPT FEB 6 2145 HURRICANE VEIRU HAS MADE LANDFALL. STORM MADE LANDFALL ON THE DASHAKE COAST AS A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM... AT APPROXIMATELY 3:51 AM LOCAL TIME... WITHIN THE LAST FIFTEEN MINUTES. DEVASTATING NEWS OF A FURTHER 81 FATALITIES IN ADDITION TO THE EARLIER THREE HAS COME IN. STORM HAS TURNED WEST-NORTHWEST... AND HAS SLOWED IN FORWARD SPEED... BUT IT IS STILL MOVING RELATIVELY RAPIDLY. COMPUTER MODELS NOW TAKE THE STORM OVER LAND FOR SIX HOURS... BEFORE IT HEADS BACK OUT TO SEA. CIRCULATION COULD POSSIBLY BE LOST... BRINGING UP THE QUESTION OF WHAT TO NAME A POSSIBLE REGENERATION OF THE STORM... VEIRU... OR THE NEXT NAME ON THE LIST, GEORGE... SUBMITTED BY GRAYS HARBOR. THE OFFICIAL MSHPC MODEL TRACKS IT WEST INTO THE COKEKILAN STRAIT... BUT NOT LOSING CIRCULATION RETAINING THE NAME VEIRU... EMERGING INTO THE OPEN WATERS AS AT LEAST A LOW-END TROPICAL STORM. CURRENTLY, THE STORM HAS WEAKENED UPON LANDFALL TO A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. THE MSHPC HAS WRITTEN TO THE KINGKILAN/COKEKILAN GOVERNMENT REQUESTING PERMISSION TO FLY HURRICANE HUNTERS INTO THE MILITARY NO-FLY ZONE OVER KING KEV NAVAL BASE IF NECESSARY... HOWEVER... DUE TO A LACK OF RESPONSE... THE MSHPC HAS SEEKED THE HELP OF THE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND GOVERNMENT... AND HAS APPEALED TO THE SUPREME COURT OF THE HEARTLAND. HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN DASHAKE COAST... ALTHOUGH THESE SHOULD BE CANCELLED WITHIN TWELVE HOURS AS THE STORM EXITS LAND AND HEADS AWAY TO THE WEST. WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA INSIDE 24 HOURS. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE DUE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 AM LOCAL TIME... 6 AM PAX TIME OR 8 AM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... JUST NORTH OF THE DASHAKE COAST HAVING MADE LANDFALL AND MOVING AT WNW AT 11 KT... 13 MPH OR 21 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 KM/H... 75 MPH OR 65 KT... GUSTING TO 75 KT... MAKING VEIRU A MINIMAL CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 HPA... 73.73 CMHG OR 29.03 INCHES. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION... JUST NORTH OF DASHAKE COAST AND MOVING WNW AT 21 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KNOTS... 75 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 11 AM HPT... 7 AM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTED BY RINDLI AND JOHNSON
