Difference between revisions of "TD01 (2145)"
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{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Veiru | {{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Veiru | ||
|colour=storm | |colour=storm | ||
| − | |local time= | + | |local time=0800 |
|date=February 6 | |date=February 6 | ||
|year=2145 | |year=2145 | ||
| − | |location=45 miles (75 km) northwest of [[Sealdre]], [[Dashake]] | + | |location=45 miles (75 km) west-northwest of [[Sealdre]], [[Dashake]] |
| − | |windmph= | + | |windmph=55 |
| − | |windkph= | + | |windkph=90 |
| − | |pressurehPa= | + | |pressurehPa=988 |
| − | |cmHg= | + | |cmHg=74.10 |
| − | |inHg=29. | + | |inHg=29.17 |
|direction=West | |direction=West | ||
| − | |movemph= | + | |movemph=11 |
| − | |movekph= | + | |movekph=18 |
| − | |advisory= | + | |advisory=special intermediate}} |
---- | ---- | ||
<big>Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory</big> | <big>Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory</big> | ||
| − | TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) ADVISORY | + | TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 008A |
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE | ||
[[Orean|OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] HEADQUARTERS | [[Orean|OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] HEADQUARTERS | ||
| − | + | 8 AM LOCAL TIME ... 12 PM HPT FEB 6 2145 | |
| + | JUSTIFICATION FOR ISSUANCE OF SPECIAL ADVISORY: ADD FORECAST TABLE | ||
| − | + | TROPICAL STORM VEIRU IS NOW THE DEADLIEST STORM IN MSHPC HISTORY... 104 DEATHS | |
| − | + | ... BY FAR BREAKING THE OLD RECORD... [[Cyclone Donna|CYCLONE DONNA]]'S 40 FATALITIES. | |
| − | VEIRU | + | VEIRU'S FORWARD SPEED SLOWING... AND STORM IS WEAKENING. |
| − | THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO HEAD WESTWARDS... A DIRECT HIT | + | THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO HEAD WESTWARDS... A DIRECT HIT SEEMS |
| − | + | VERY LIKELY. EVACUATIONS MUST START NOW, AS PORTLAND IS CLOSE | |
TO A WATER SOURCE... WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN THE CITY IF THE STORM MAIN- | TO A WATER SOURCE... WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN THE CITY IF THE STORM MAIN- | ||
TAINS ITS INTENSITY. | TAINS ITS INTENSITY. | ||
| − | + | HURRICANE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN | |
| − | + | KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE | HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE | ||
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. | ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. | ||
| Line 48: | Line 40: | ||
WEATHER OFFICE. | WEATHER OFFICE. | ||
| − | AT | + | AT 8 AM LOCAL TIME... 10 AM PAX TIME OR 12 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE |
| − | CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... 75 KM... 45 MI... | + | CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... 75 KM... 45 MI... WNW OF |
| − | SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND MOVING AT W AT 11 | + | SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND MOVING AT W AT 11 MPH OR 18 KM/H. |
| − | MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE | + | MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KM/H... 55 MPH OR 48 KT... GUSTING TO 65 KT... |
| − | ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS | + | ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 HPA... 74.10 CMHG OR 29.17 INHG. |
| − | REPEATING THE | + | REPEATING THE 8 AM POSITION... 75 KM WNW OF SELDRE, DASHAKE AND MOVING WESTWARDS |
| − | AT | + | AT 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 48 KNOTS... 55 MPH... WITH HIGHER |
| − | GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE | + | GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE |
WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH | WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH | ||
SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. | SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. | ||
| − | THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME. | + | THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME... NO |
| − | FORECASTED BY RINDLI | + | CHANGE TO FORECAST TIMING. |
| + | |||
| + | NEW PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES... | ||
| + | OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE | ||
| + | MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL... IN THIS CASE, FORECAST TIME IS | ||
| + | COUNTED IN HOURS FROM THE LAST FULL ADVISORY... 11 AM HPT... AND NOT FROM THIS | ||
| + | INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY... PLEASE DISREGARD 'HRS FROM ISSUE'. (FCST) MEANS THAT | ||
| + | THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE MAXIMUM SUGGESTED INTENSITY BY OTHER MODELS. | ||
| + | |||
| + | HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)... FCST INTENSITY.... MAX MODEL INT... | ||
| + | 12 HOURS.... 150 SW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE..... 55 KM/H - DEPR... 55 KM/H (FCST) | ||
| + | 24 HOURS.... 500 WSW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE.... 90 KM/H - STORM.. 90 KM/H (FCST) | ||
| + | 36 HOURS.... 400 NE OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE.. 100 KM/H - STORM. 105 KM/H - STORM | ||
| + | 48 HOURS.... 400 N OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE... 125 KM/H - CAT1.. 125 KM/H (FCST) | ||
| + | 72 HOURS.... 520 SE OF MÉRIDA, MEXICO-TLT... 165 KM/H - CAT2.. 180 KM/H - CAT3 | ||
| + | 96 HOURS.... 420 WSW OF MÉRIDA, MEXICO-TLT.. 185 KM/H - CAT3.. 210 KM/H - CAT4 | ||
| + | |||
| + | FORECASTED BY RINDLI/JOHNSON/CALTS/HARDING | ||
Revision as of 08:37, 2 June 2006
| Tropical Storm Veiru | |
|---|---|
| As of: | 0800 local time February 6, 2145 |
| Location: | 45 miles (75 km) west-northwest of Sealdre, Dashake |
| Winds: | 90 km/h (55 mph) ({{{windtype}}}) |
| Pressure: | 988 hPa/mbar (74.10 cmHg, 29.17 inHg) |
| Movement: | West at 18 km/h (11 mph) |
| See special intermediate advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
Tropical Storm Veiru Public Advisory
TROPICAL STORM VEIRU (4501) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 008A LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND HEADQUARTERS 8 AM LOCAL TIME ... 12 PM HPT FEB 6 2145 JUSTIFICATION FOR ISSUANCE OF SPECIAL ADVISORY: ADD FORECAST TABLE TROPICAL STORM VEIRU IS NOW THE DEADLIEST STORM IN MSHPC HISTORY... 104 DEATHS ... BY FAR BREAKING THE OLD RECORD... CYCLONE DONNA'S 40 FATALITIES. VEIRU'S FORWARD SPEED SLOWING... AND STORM IS WEAKENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE STORM TO HEAD WESTWARDS... A DIRECT HIT SEEMS VERY LIKELY. EVACUATIONS MUST START NOW, AS PORTLAND IS CLOSE TO A WATER SOURCE... WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN THE CITY IF THE STORM MAIN- TAINS ITS INTENSITY. HURRICANE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE COKEKILAN ARMY BASE IN KINGKILA... AS WELL AS THE ISLAND OF THE ROYAL AIR FORCE BASE IN KINGKILA. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT CONDITIONS NORMALLY EXPECTED OF AND IN A HURRICANE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM LOCAL TIME... 10 AM PAX TIME OR 12 PM HEARTLAND PRUDENTIA TIME... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM VEIRU WAS LOCATED OVERLAND... 75 KM... 45 MI... WNW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE... AND MOVING AT W AT 11 MPH OR 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KM/H... 55 MPH OR 48 KT... GUSTING TO 65 KT... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 HPA... 74.10 CMHG OR 29.17 INHG. REPEATING THE 8 AM POSITION... 75 KM WNW OF SELDRE, DASHAKE AND MOVING WESTWARDS AT 18 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 48 KNOTS... 55 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HPA. STAY INSIDE SHELTER. HURRICANE WATCHES IN EFFECT. HIGH COASTAL SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT. HIGH WIND AND ROUGH SEAS ADVISORY IN EFFECT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE RELEASED AT 2 PM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME... NO CHANGE TO FORECAST TIMING. NEW PRODUCT RELEASED BY MSHPC... IN CONJUNCTION WITH FULL ADVISORIES... OFFICIAL FORECAST OF LOCATION AND INTENSITY UP TO 96 HOURS... AS WELL AS THE MAXIMUM FORECAST MADE BY ANY OTHER MODEL... IN THIS CASE, FORECAST TIME IS COUNTED IN HOURS FROM THE LAST FULL ADVISORY... 11 AM HPT... AND NOT FROM THIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY... PLEASE DISREGARD 'HRS FROM ISSUE'. (FCST) MEANS THAT THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE MAXIMUM SUGGESTED INTENSITY BY OTHER MODELS. HRS FROM ISSUE... FORECAST LOCATION (KM)... FCST INTENSITY.... MAX MODEL INT... 12 HOURS.... 150 SW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE..... 55 KM/H - DEPR... 55 KM/H (FCST) 24 HOURS.... 500 WSW OF SEALDRE, DASHAKE.... 90 KM/H - STORM.. 90 KM/H (FCST) 36 HOURS.... 400 NE OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE.. 100 KM/H - STORM. 105 KM/H - STORM 48 HOURS.... 400 N OF COKEKILAN ARMY BASE... 125 KM/H - CAT1.. 125 KM/H (FCST) 72 HOURS.... 520 SE OF MÉRIDA, MEXICO-TLT... 165 KM/H - CAT2.. 180 KM/H - CAT3 96 HOURS.... 420 WSW OF MÉRIDA, MEXICO-TLT.. 185 KM/H - CAT3.. 210 KM/H - CAT4 FORECASTED BY RINDLI/JOHNSON/CALTS/HARDING
