Difference between revisions of "TD05 (2145)"

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{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Ruva
 
{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Ruva
 
|colour=storm
 
|colour=storm
−
|local time=1830
+
|local time=2130
 
|date=March 3
 
|date=March 3
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
−
|location=480 km NNW of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
+
|location=360 km NW of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
 
|windmph=40
 
|windmph=40
 
|windkph=65
 
|windkph=65
Line 11: Line 11:
 
|inHg=29.53
 
|inHg=29.53
 
|direction=Southeast
 
|direction=Southeast
−
|movemph=30
+
|movemph=25
−
|movekph=45
+
|movekph=40
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
----
 
----
−
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 001
+
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 003
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
 
  MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
−
  6:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM HPT... 4 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145
+
  9:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 9 PM HPT... 7 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145
 
   
 
   
−
  BASED ON RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY... DVORAK DATA... AS WELL AS MODEL FORECASTS...
+
  LATEST DATA... DVORAK ANALYSIS... AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT THE DECISION
−
  TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM RUVA... THE NAME
+
  TO HOLD RUVA'S INTENSITY IS THE RIGHT ONE. AS SUCH... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RETAINED
−
SUBMITTED BY KOMPA RU. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 35 KT... JUST PASSING IT
+
AT 35 KT. THE AFLE... LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE... MODEL ESTIMATES IT AS A 40-KT
−
AS A TROPICAL STORM. THE AFLE... LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE... MODEL ESTIMATES
+
TROPICAL STORM... AND THE PREDICTION THAT ONE OF ITS SMALL BANDS BREAKING AWAY IN A
−
IT AS A 45-KT TROPICAL STORM... WITH ONE OF ITS SMALL BANDS BREAKING AWAY IN A
+
  CIRCULATION OF ITS OWN HAS MATERIALISED... AND RESIDENTS SHOULD NOW WATCH OUT FOR BOTH
−
  CIRCULATION OF ITS OWN. AS FAR AS THE MSHPC GOES... THERE ARE NO SIGNS TO SUGGEST
+
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA... AS WELL AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX.  
−
  THIS OCCURRENCE... AND IT WILL BE DISREGARDED.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS INCREASED DRASTICALLY IN FORWARD SPEED... NOW MOVING AT
+
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS DECREASED IN FORWARD SPEED... NOW MOVING 135/20... SOUTHEAST
−
140/25 - SOUTHEAST AT 25 KT... 45 KM/H. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG
+
AT 20 KT... 40 KM/H. WITH A SLIGHT READJUSTMENT OF THE STORM'S POSITION... RUVA IS
−
THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS.  
+
CENTRED ABOUT 360 KM... 225 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM.
 +
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM
 +
LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
+
  RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND SOME
−
+
  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000
−
AS OF 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS
+
  HPA... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H... 25 MPH.
−
LOCATED 480 KM - 300 MILES - NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULAR FREEDOM... AND
+
−
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA
+
−
  ... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG. WIND GUSTS OF 50 KT HAVE BEEN RECORDED... AND FOR THIS
+
−
ADVISORY RUVA'S WINDS WILL BE ESTIMATED TO BE GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND THIS SYSTEM IS
+
−
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 46 KM/H... 28 MPH.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
 
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
−
  12 HOURS... UNLESS A DRASTIC CHANGE IN COURSE OCCURS. THE MSHPC FORECAST DOES NOT
+
  9 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION BEHIND IT... STILL UNDER INFLUENCE OF THE MUCH LARGER SYSTEM
−
  EXPECT THAT... AND PRECAUTIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE UNDERWAY.
+
  ... SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS IS A DANGEROUS BAND OF
 +
CLOUDS AS IT HARBOURS TWO... NOT ONE... TROPICAL CYCLONES... BOTH WITH THE POWER TO KILL.
 +
PLEASE TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
   
 
   
 
  THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
 
  THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
−
   INITIAL... 480 KM NNW  LOYALTY BAY... 35 KT
+
   INITIAL... 360 KM   NW LOYALTY BAY... 35 KT
−
   6 HOURS... 115 KM NW LOYALTY BAY... 40 KT
+
   6 HOURS... 115 KM   NW LOYALTY BAY... 45 KT
 
  12 HOURS... INLAND NEAR LOYALTY BAY... 30 KT... DISSIPATING
 
  12 HOURS... INLAND NEAR LOYALTY BAY... 30 KT... DISSIPATING
 
   
 
   
−
  REPEATING THE 6 PM POSITION... 480 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
+
  REPEATING THE 9:30 PM POSITION... 360 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
 
  WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... RUVA
 
  WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... RUVA
−
  IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 46 KM/H.
+
  IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT... 9:30 PM LOCAL TIME.
+
  THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 12 AM HPT... 12:30 AM LOCAL TIME.
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER GUNTHER/RINDLI
 
  FORECASTER GUNTHER/RINDLI

Revision as of 05:40, 14 July 2006

Current storm status
Tropical Storm Ruva
As of: 2130 local time March 3, 2145
Location: 360 km NW of Loyalty Bay, PopularFreedom
Winds: 65 km/h (40 mph) ({{{windtype}}})
Pressure: 1000 hPa/mbar (75.00 cmHg, 29.53 inHg)
Movement: Southeast at 40 km/h (25 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here 
TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 003
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
9:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 9 PM HPT... 7 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145

LATEST DATA... DVORAK ANALYSIS... AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT THE DECISION
TO HOLD RUVA'S INTENSITY IS THE RIGHT ONE. AS SUCH... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RETAINED
AT 35 KT. THE AFLE... LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE... MODEL ESTIMATES IT AS A 40-KT
TROPICAL STORM... AND THE PREDICTION THAT ONE OF ITS SMALL BANDS BREAKING AWAY IN A
CIRCULATION OF ITS OWN HAS MATERIALISED... AND RESIDENTS SHOULD NOW WATCH OUT FOR BOTH
TROPICAL STORM RUVA... AS WELL AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX. 

TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS DECREASED IN FORWARD SPEED... NOW MOVING 135/20... SOUTHEAST
AT 20 KT... 40 KM/H. WITH A SLIGHT READJUSTMENT OF THE STORM'S POSITION... RUVA IS
CENTRED ABOUT 360 KM... 225 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM
LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS.

RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000
HPA... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H... 25 MPH.

TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
9 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION BEHIND IT... STILL UNDER INFLUENCE OF THE MUCH LARGER SYSTEM
... SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS IS A DANGEROUS BAND OF
CLOUDS AS IT HARBOURS TWO... NOT ONE... TROPICAL CYCLONES... BOTH WITH THE POWER TO KILL.
PLEASE TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
 INITIAL... 360 KM   NW LOYALTY BAY... 35 KT
 6 HOURS... 115 KM   NW LOYALTY BAY... 45 KT
12 HOURS... INLAND NEAR LOYALTY BAY... 30 KT... DISSIPATING

REPEATING THE 9:30 PM POSITION... 360 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... RUVA
IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 12 AM HPT... 12:30 AM LOCAL TIME.

FORECASTER GUNTHER/RINDLI
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