TD05 (2145)/Past
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ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones. |
Contents
Tropical Depression Five
Advisory 1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE (4505) ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE SCHIMPOL, LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MSHPC OREAN HQ 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 3 PM HPT... 1 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORMS ALMOST 400 KM EAST OF SCHIMPOL... OFFICIAL ADVISORY CENTRES THE STORM 380 KM... 240 MILES... EAST OF SCHIMPOL. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM... FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR LOX LAND ISLAND HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA IS STILL UNDER TROPICAL STORM WATCHES. AS OF 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 3 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS LOCATED 380 KM - 240 MILES - EAST OF SCHIMPOL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KM/H... 35 MPH... MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS MOVING EAST AT 19 KM/H... 12 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 6 PM HPT... 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTER GUNTHER
Tropical Storm Ruva
Advisory 2
TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM HPT... 4 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145 BASED ON RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY... DVORAK DATA... AS WELL AS MODEL FORECASTS... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM RUVA... THE NAME SUBMITTED BY KOMPA RU. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 35 KT... JUST PASSING IT AS A TROPICAL STORM. THE AFLE... LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE... MODEL ESTIMATES IT AS A 45-KT TROPICAL STORM... WITH ONE OF ITS SMALL BANDS BREAKING AWAY IN A CIRCULATION OF ITS OWN. AS FAR AS THE MSHPC GOES... THERE ARE NO SIGNS TO SUGGEST THIS OCCURRENCE... AND IT WILL BE DISREGARDED. TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS INCREASED DRASTICALLY IN FORWARD SPEED... NOW MOVING AT 140/25 - SOUTHEAST AT 25 KT... 45 KM/H. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. AS OF 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS LOCATED 480 KM - 300 MILES - NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULAR FREEDOM... AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA ... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG. WIND GUSTS OF 50 KT HAVE BEEN RECORDED... AND FOR THIS ADVISORY RUVA'S WINDS WILL BE ESTIMATED TO BE GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 46 KM/H... 28 MPH. TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN 12 HOURS... UNLESS A DRASTIC CHANGE IN COURSE OCCURS. THE MSHPC FORECAST DOES NOT EXPECT THAT... AND PRECAUTIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE UNDERWAY. THE EXTENDED FORECAST... INITIAL... 480 KM NNW LOYALTY BAY... 35 KT 6 HOURS... 115 KM NW LOYALTY BAY... 40 KT 12 HOURS... INLAND NEAR LOYALTY BAY... 30 KT... DISSIPATING REPEATING THE 6 PM POSITION... 480 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 46 KM/H. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT... 9:30 PM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTER GUNTHER/RINDLI
Advisory 3
TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 003 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS 9:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 9 PM HPT... 7 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145 LATEST DATA... DVORAK ANALYSIS... AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT THE DECISION TO HOLD RUVA'S INTENSITY IS THE RIGHT ONE. AS SUCH... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RETAINED AT 35 KT. THE AFLE... LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE... MODEL ESTIMATES IT AS A 40-KT TROPICAL STORM... AND THE PREDICTION THAT ONE OF ITS SMALL BANDS BREAKING AWAY IN A CIRCULATION OF ITS OWN HAS MATERIALISED... AND RESIDENTS SHOULD NOW WATCH OUT FOR BOTH TROPICAL STORM RUVA... AS WELL AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX. TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS DECREASED IN FORWARD SPEED... NOW MOVING 135/20... SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT... 40 KM/H. WITH A SLIGHT READJUSTMENT OF THE STORM'S POSITION... RUVA IS CENTRED ABOUT 360 KM... 225 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS. RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H... 25 MPH. TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN 9 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION BEHIND IT... STILL UNDER INFLUENCE OF THE MUCH LARGER SYSTEM ... SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS IS A DANGEROUS BAND OF CLOUDS AS IT HARBOURS TWO... NOT ONE... TROPICAL CYCLONES... BOTH WITH THE POWER TO KILL. PLEASE TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. THE EXTENDED FORECAST... INITIAL... 360 KM NW LOYALTY BAY... 35 KT 6 HOURS... 115 KM NW LOYALTY BAY... 45 KT 12 HOURS... INLAND NEAR LOYALTY BAY... 30 KT... DISSIPATING REPEATING THE 9:30 PM POSITION... 360 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 12 AM HPT... 12:30 AM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTER GUNTHER/RINDLI
Advisory 4
TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 004 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE HPD 26 HEARTLAND WEATHER BUREAU IN ASSOCIATION WITH MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS 12 AM HPT... 12:30 AM LOCAL TIME MAR 4 2145... 10 PM PAX MAR 3 THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS INTENSIFIED. AFLE MODEL SUGGESTS 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF A HURRICANE... 65 KT OR GREATER... BEFORE LANDFALL IN SIX HOURS... AS IT GREATLY INTENSIFIES THIS STORM. UNIVERSAL HEARTLAND WEATHER FORECAST... UHWF MODEL... SUGGESTS CURRENT INTENSITY BETWEEN 38–47 KT... AND BEING CONSERVATIVE... THE MSHPC WILL SET THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY TO 40 KT SUSTAINED WINDS... RUVA IS NOW CENTRED JUST 240 KM... 150 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS. RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 996 HPA... 74.70 CMHG OR 29.42 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H... 25 MPH. TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN SIX HOURS... PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED. THE EXTENDED FORECAST... INITIAL... 240 KM NW LOYALTY BAY... 40 KT 6 HOURS... JUST NW LOYALTY BAY... 50 KT 12 HOURS... INLAND SE LOYALTY BAY... 25 KT...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 12 AM HPT POSITION... 240 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 HPA... RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME. FORECASTER CALTS/HARDING/LTG IRWIN
Advisory 5
TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 005 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HQ 3 AM HPT... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 1 AM PAX MAR 4 2145 THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED. LATEST ANALYSES AND WIND REPORTS HAVE SUGGESTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47–61 KT... AND BEING CONSERVATIVE... THE MSHPC WILL SET INITIAL INTENSITY TO 50 KT... LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS... REPEAT... LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS. RUVA IS NOW CENTRED JUST 110 KM... 70 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM ABOUT 150 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY... TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF LOYALTY BAY. RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 95 KM/H... 65 MPH... GUSTING TO 65 KT... FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 990 HPA... 74.25 CMHG OR 29.23 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN THREE HOURS... REPEAT... RUVA LANDFALL WITHIN THREE HOURS... DIRECT HIT ON LOYALTY BAY VERY LIKELY... PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED. REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 110 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... GUSTING TO 120 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 HPA... RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT LANDFALL. FORECASTER RINDLI
Advisory 6
TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 006 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HQ SPECIAL ADVISORY... DOES NOT COUNT TOWARDS ACE VALUE 5:30 AM HPT... 6 AM LOCAL TIME... 3:30 AM PAX MAR 4 2145 TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS MADE LANDFALL SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM... AND IS NOW LOCATED 15 KM... 25 MILES... SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THIS STORM WILL NOT SURVIVE OVER THE LOYALTY MOUNTAINS... HOWEVER... A RECENT ON-GROUND REPORT REPORTED A 999 HPA MIN SLP... 74.93 CMHG OR 29.50 INHG. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LOYALTY BAY IS STILL IN EFFECT... FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTHWARDS 50 KM. THE REST OF THE WARNING NORTH OF THAT TO PEARSON CLIFFS... HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... HOWEVER... HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR HURRICANE ABADDON REMAIN IN EFFECT. THREE DEATHS HAVE BEEN REPORTED SO FAR FROM THIS SYSTEM. A BUOY READING FROM 03P... THIRTY MINUTES BEFORE LANDFALL... FROM NORTHWEST OFF THE COAST... REPORTED 55 KT SUSTAINED WINDS... AS SUCH... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RETAINED AT 50 KT... 95 KM/H... 60 MPH... FOR THIS ADVISORY. THIS VALUE DOES NOT COUNT TOWARDS THE ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY VALUE OF RUVA. RUVA MOVEMENT AT 175/09... SOUTHWARDS AT 17 KM/H... 10 MPH. THIS CYCLONE IS UNLIKELY TO SURVIVE MORE THAN 12 HOURS OVER THE LOYALTY MTNS... AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DISSIPATES IT WITHIN 18 HOURS. REPEATING THE 5:30 AM HPT POSITION... 15 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... GUSTING TO 115 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 HPA... RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHWARDS AT 17 KM/H. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 AM LOCAL TIME... 9 AM HPT... 7 AM PAX. FORECASTER RINDLI
Advisory 7
TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 007 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC OREAN HQ 9 AM HPT... 10 AM LOCAL TIME... 7 AM PAX MAR 4 2145 TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS QUICKLY WEAKENING INLAND... AND IS NOW LOCATED 80 KM... SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY. DO NOT COME OUT OF SHELTER TO INSPECT DAMAGE YET... HURR. WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR HURR. ABADDON. TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOYALTY BAY... AS WELL AS THE COAST FOR 50 KM SOUTH. THE WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR LOYALTY BAY NORTHWARDS FOR 50 KM HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. EIGHT DEATHS HAVE BEEN REPORTED SO FAR FROM THIS SYSTEM... WHICH THE FORECAST DISSIPATES INSIDE 12 HOURS. ON LAND... OVER THE LAST THREE AND A HALF HOURS... VARIOUS REPORTS OF WINDSPEED HAVE RANGED FROM 27-41 KT... AND BASED ON THE AFLE MODEL... WHICH CURRENTLY HAS RUVA AS A 33-KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION... THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR RUVA IS LOWERED TO 35 KT... 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... FOR THIS ADVISORY... JUST BARELY KEEPING IT AS A TROPICAL STORM. RUVA MOVEMENT AT 177/10... SOUTHWARDS AT 19 KM/H... 12 MPH. EXTENDED FORECAST... STORM DISSIPATES WITHIN 12 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THREE HOURS... FINAL ADVISORY WITHIN SIX HOURS. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 4 PM LOCAL TIME... 3 PM HPT. FORECASTER RINDLI
