Difference between revisions of "TD05 (2145)"

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{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Ruva
 
{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Ruva
 
|colour=storm
 
|colour=storm
|local time=0030
+
|local time=0330
 
|date=March 4
 
|date=March 4
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=240 km NW of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
+
|location=110 km NW of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
|windmph=45
+
|windmph=60
|windkph=75
+
|windkph=95
 
|windtype=1-minute mean
 
|windtype=1-minute mean
|pressurehPa=996
+
|pressurehPa=990
|cmHg=74.70
+
|cmHg=74.25
|inHg=29.42
+
|inHg=29.23
 
|direction=Southeast
 
|direction=Southeast
|movemph=25
+
|movemph=30
|movekph=40
+
|movekph=50
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
----
 
----
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 004
+
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 005
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
  HPD 26 HEARTLAND WEATHER BUREAU IN ASSOCIATION WITH MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
+
  MSHPC OREAN HQ
  12 AM HPT... 12:30 AM LOCAL TIME MAR 4 2145... 10 PM PAX MAR 3
+
  3 AM HPT... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 1 AM PAX MAR 4 2145
 
   
 
   
  THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS INTENSIFIED. AFLE MODEL
+
  THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED.
  SUGGESTS 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF A HURRICANE... 65 KT OR GREATER... BEFORE LANDFALL
+
  LATEST ANALYSES AND WIND REPORTS HAVE SUGGESTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47–61
IN SIX HOURS... AS IT GREATLY INTENSIFIES THIS STORM. UNIVERSAL HEARTLAND WEATHER
+
KT... AND BEING CONSERVATIVE... THE MSHPC WILL SET INITIAL INTENSITY TO 50 KT...
FORECAST... UHWF MODEL... SUGGESTS CURRENT INTENSITY BETWEEN 38–47 KT... AND
+
  LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS... REPEAT...
BEING CONSERVATIVE... THE MSHPC WILL SET THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY
+
  TO 40 KT SUSTAINED WINDS...
+
 
   
 
   
  RUVA IS NOW CENTRED JUST 240 KM... 150 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM.
+
  LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM
+
LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS.
+
 
   
 
   
  RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND SOME
+
RUVA IS NOW CENTRED JUST 110 KM... 70 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM.
  FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 996
+
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM
  HPA... 74.70 CMHG OR 29.42 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H... 25 MPH.
+
LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
 +
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM ABOUT 150 KM
 +
SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY... TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF LOYALTY BAY.
 +
 +
  RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 95 KM/H... 65 MPH... GUSTING TO 65 KT... FURTHER
 +
  STRENGTHENING IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 990
 +
  HPA... 74.25 CMHG OR 29.23 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H... 30 MPH.
 
   
 
   
 
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
 
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
  SIX HOURS... PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED.
+
  THREE HOURS... REPEAT...
 +
 +
RUVA LANDFALL WITHIN THREE HOURS...
 +
 +
DIRECT HIT ON LOYALTY BAY VERY LIKELY...
 
   
 
   
  THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
+
  PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED.
  INITIAL... 240 KM  NW LOYALTY BAY... 40 KT
+
  6 HOURS... JUST    NW LOYALTY BAY... 50 KT
+
12 HOURS... INLAND  SE LOYALTY BAY... 25 KT...DISSIPATED
+
 
   
 
   
  REPEATING THE 12 AM HPT POSITION... 240 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM
+
  REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 110 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM
  SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 HPA...
+
  SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... GUSTING TO 120 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 HPA...
  RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 KM/H.
+
  RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
  THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME.
+
  THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT LANDFALL.
 
   
 
   
  FORECASTER CALTS/HARDING/LTG IRWIN
+
  FORECASTER RINDLI

Revision as of 03:13, 15 July 2006

Current storm status
Tropical Storm Ruva
As of: 0330 local time March 4, 2145
Location: 110 km NW of Loyalty Bay, PopularFreedom
Winds: 95 km/h (60 mph) (1-minute mean)
Pressure: 990 hPa/mbar (74.25 cmHg, 29.23 inHg)
Movement: Southeast at 50 km/h (30 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 005
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC OREAN HQ
3 AM HPT... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 1 AM PAX MAR 4 2145

THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED.
LATEST ANALYSES AND WIND REPORTS HAVE SUGGESTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47–61
KT... AND BEING CONSERVATIVE... THE MSHPC WILL SET INITIAL INTENSITY TO 50 KT...
LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS... REPEAT...

LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS.

RUVA IS NOW CENTRED JUST 110 KM... 70 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM
LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM ABOUT 150 KM
SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY... TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF LOYALTY BAY.

RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 95 KM/H... 65 MPH... GUSTING TO 65 KT... FURTHER
STRENGTHENING IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 990
HPA... 74.25 CMHG OR 29.23 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H... 30 MPH.

TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
THREE HOURS... REPEAT...

RUVA LANDFALL WITHIN THREE HOURS...

DIRECT HIT ON LOYALTY BAY VERY LIKELY...

PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED.

REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 110 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... GUSTING TO 120 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 HPA...
RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT LANDFALL.

FORECASTER RINDLI