Difference between revisions of "TD05 (2145)"

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{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Ruva
 
{{Storm active|name=Tropical Storm Ruva
 
|colour=storm
 
|colour=storm
|local time=0330
+
|local time=0600
 
|date=March 4
 
|date=March 4
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=110 km NW of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
+
|location=15 km s of [[Loyalty Bay]], [[PopularFreedom]]
 
|windmph=60
 
|windmph=60
 
|windkph=95
 
|windkph=95
 
|windtype=1-minute mean
 
|windtype=1-minute mean
|pressurehPa=990
+
|pressurehPa=999
|cmHg=74.25
+
|cmHg=74.93
|inHg=29.23
+
|inHg=29.50
|direction=Southeast
+
|direction=South
|movemph=30
+
|movemph=10
|movekph=50
+
|movekph=17
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
----
 
----
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 005
+
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 006
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
  MSHPC OREAN HQ
 
  MSHPC OREAN HQ
  3 AM HPT... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME... 1 AM PAX MAR 4 2145
+
  SPECIAL ADVISORY... DOES NOT COUNT TOWARDS ACE VALUE
 +
5:30 AM HPT... 6 AM LOCAL TIME... 3:30 AM PAX MAR 4 2145
 
   
 
   
  THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED.
+
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS MADE LANDFALL SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM...
  LATEST ANALYSES AND WIND REPORTS HAVE SUGGESTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47–61
+
  AND IS NOW LOCATED 15 KM... 25 MILES... SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY. RECENT SATELLITE
  KT... AND BEING CONSERVATIVE... THE MSHPC WILL SET INITIAL INTENSITY TO 50 KT...
+
  IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THIS STORM WILL NOT SURVIVE OVER THE LOYALTY MOUNTAINS...
  LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS... REPEAT...
+
HOWEVER... A RECENT ON-GROUND REPORT REPORTED A 999 HPA MIN SLP... 74.93 CMHG
 +
  OR 29.50 INHG. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LOYALTY BAY IS STILL IN EFFECT...
 +
FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTHWARDS 50 KM. THE REST OF THE WARNING NORTH OF THAT TO
 +
PEARSON CLIFFS... HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... HOWEVER... HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR
 +
HURRICANE ABADDON REMAIN IN EFFECT. THREE DEATHS HAVE BEEN REPORTED SO FAR FROM
 +
THIS SYSTEM.
 
   
 
   
  LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THREE HOURS.
+
  A BUOY READING FROM 03P... THIRTY MINUTES BEFORE LANDFALL... FROM NORTHWEST
 +
OFF THE COAST... REPORTED 55 KT SUSTAINED WINDS... AS SUCH... THE INITIAL
 +
INTENSITY IS RETAINED AT 50 KT... 95 KM/H... 60 MPH... FOR THIS ADVISORY. THIS
 +
VALUE DOES NOT COUNT TOWARDS THE ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY VALUE OF RUVA.
 +
RUVA MOVEMENT AT 175/09... SOUTHWARDS AT 17 KM/H... 10 MPH.
 
   
 
   
  RUVA IS NOW CENTRED JUST 110 KM... 70 MILES... NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM.
+
  THIS CYCLONE IS UNLIKELY TO SURVIVE MORE THAN 12 HOURS OVER THE LOYALTY MTNS...
  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM
+
  AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DISSIPATES IT WITHIN 18 HOURS.
LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
+
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM ABOUT 150 KM
+
SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY... TO ABOUT 100 KM NORTH OF LOYALTY BAY.
+
 
   
 
   
  RUVA HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 95 KM/H... 65 MPH... GUSTING TO 65 KT... FURTHER
+
  REPEATING THE 5:30 AM HPT POSITION... 15 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM
STRENGTHENING IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 990
+
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... GUSTING TO 115 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
  HPA... 74.25 CMHG OR 29.23 INHG. RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H... 30 MPH.
+
  999 HPA... RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHWARDS AT 17 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
  TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
+
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 AM LOCAL TIME...
THREE HOURS... REPEAT...
+
  9 AM HPT... 7 AM PAX.
+
RUVA LANDFALL WITHIN THREE HOURS...
+
+
DIRECT HIT ON LOYALTY BAY VERY LIKELY...
+
   
+
PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED.
+
+
REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 110 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM
+
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... GUSTING TO 120 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 HPA...
+
RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 KM/H.
+
+
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT LANDFALL.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER RINDLI
 
  FORECASTER RINDLI

Revision as of 06:56, 16 July 2006

Current storm status
Tropical Storm Ruva
As of: 0600 local time March 4, 2145
Location: 15 km s of Loyalty Bay, PopularFreedom
Winds: 95 km/h (60 mph) (1-minute mean)
Pressure: 999 hPa/mbar (74.93 cmHg, 29.50 inHg)
Movement: South at 17 km/h (10 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 006
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC OREAN HQ
SPECIAL ADVISORY... DOES NOT COUNT TOWARDS ACE VALUE
5:30 AM HPT... 6 AM LOCAL TIME... 3:30 AM PAX MAR 4 2145

TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS MADE LANDFALL SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULARFREEDOM...
AND IS NOW LOCATED 15 KM... 25 MILES... SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY. RECENT SATELLITE
IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THIS STORM WILL NOT SURVIVE OVER THE LOYALTY MOUNTAINS...
HOWEVER... A RECENT ON-GROUND REPORT REPORTED A 999 HPA MIN SLP... 74.93 CMHG
OR 29.50 INHG. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LOYALTY BAY IS STILL IN EFFECT...
FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTHWARDS 50 KM. THE REST OF THE WARNING NORTH OF THAT TO
PEARSON CLIFFS... HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... HOWEVER... HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR
HURRICANE ABADDON REMAIN IN EFFECT. THREE DEATHS HAVE BEEN REPORTED SO FAR FROM
THIS SYSTEM.

A BUOY READING FROM 03P... THIRTY MINUTES BEFORE LANDFALL... FROM NORTHWEST
OFF THE COAST... REPORTED 55 KT SUSTAINED WINDS... AS SUCH... THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS RETAINED AT 50 KT... 95 KM/H... 60 MPH... FOR THIS ADVISORY. THIS
VALUE DOES NOT COUNT TOWARDS THE ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY VALUE OF RUVA.
RUVA MOVEMENT AT 175/09... SOUTHWARDS AT 17 KM/H... 10 MPH.

THIS CYCLONE IS UNLIKELY TO SURVIVE MORE THAN 12 HOURS OVER THE LOYALTY MTNS...
AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DISSIPATES IT WITHIN 18 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 5:30 AM HPT POSITION... 15 KM SOUTH OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KM/H... GUSTING TO 115 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
999 HPA... RUVA IS MOVING SOUTHWARDS AT 17 KM/H.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 AM LOCAL TIME...
9 AM HPT... 7 AM PAX.

FORECASTER RINDLI