Difference between revisions of "TD05 (2145)/Past"

Revision as of 05:28, 14 July 2006

Tropical Depression Five

Advisory 1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE (4505) ADVISORY 001
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
SCHIMPOL, LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MSHPC OREAN HQ
3:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 3 PM HPT... 1 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORMS ALMOST 400 KM EAST OF SCHIMPOL... OFFICIAL ADVISORY
CENTRES THE STORM 380 KM... 240 MILES... EAST OF SCHIMPOL.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM...
FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR LOX LAND ISLAND
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA IS STILL UNDER TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES.

AS OF 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 3 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS
LOCATED 380 KM - 240 MILES - EAST OF SCHIMPOL.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KM/H... 35 MPH... MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000
HPA... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS MOVING EAST AT 19 KM/H... 12 MPH.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 6 PM HPT... 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME.

FORECASTER GUNTHER

Tropical Storm Ruva

Advisory 2

TROPICAL STORM RUVA (4505) ADVISORY 003
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC OREAN HEADQUARTERS
6:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM HPT... 4 PM PAX... MAR 3 2145

BASED ON RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY... DVORAK DATA... AS WELL AS MODEL FORECASTS...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM RUVA... THE NAME
SUBMITTED BY KOMPA RU. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 35 KT... JUST PASSING IT
AS A TROPICAL STORM. THE AFLE... LIVERPOOL ENGLAND AIR FORCE... MODEL ESTIMATES
IT AS A 45-KT TROPICAL STORM... WITH ONE OF ITS SMALL BANDS BREAKING AWAY IN A
CIRCULATION OF ITS OWN. AS FAR AS THE MSHPC GOES... THERE ARE NO SIGNS TO SUGGEST
THIS OCCURRENCE... AND IT WILL BE DISREGARDED.

TROPICAL STORM RUVA HAS INCREASED DRASTICALLY IN FORWARD SPEED... NOW MOVING AT
140/25 - SOUTHEAST AT 25 KT... 45 KM/H. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG
THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM FROM LOYALTY BAY NORTH TO PEARSON CLIFFS. 

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AS OF 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME... 6 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS
LOCATED 480 KM - 300 MILES - NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY, POPULAR FREEDOM... AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA
... 75.00 CMHG OR 29.53 INHG. WIND GUSTS OF 50 KT HAVE BEEN RECORDED... AND FOR THIS
ADVISORY RUVA'S WINDS WILL BE ESTIMATED TO BE GUSTING TO 55 KT... AND THIS SYSTEM IS
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 46 KM/H... 28 MPH.

TROPICAL STORM RUVA IS SET TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM WITHIN
12 HOURS... UNLESS A DRASTIC CHANGE IN COURSE OCCURS. THE MSHPC FORECAST DOES NOT
EXPECT THAT... AND PRECAUTIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE UNDERWAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST...
 INITIAL... 480 KM NNW  LOYALTY BAY... 35 KT
 6 HOURS... 115 KM  NW  LOYALTY BAY... 40 KT
12 HOURS... INLAND NEAR LOYALTY BAY... 30 KT... DISSIPATING

REPEATING THE 6 PM POSITION... 480 KM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LOYALTY BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... GUSTING TO 100 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 HPA... RUVA
IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 46 KM/H.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT... 9:30 PM LOCAL TIME.

FORECASTER GUNTHER/RINDLI