TD09 (2145)/Past/LLIWO

Tropical Depression BETA.02

Advisory and Forecast 1

BA02 TCWC LLIWO
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY
ADVISORY NO. 1 ON SYSTEM
SYSTEM IS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
LOCAL TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 1500H
PAX TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 1230H

ADVISORY NO. 1 ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED NEAR LAT +47.1 LON +24.6
DISTANCE TO CITY ABOUT 470 KM ENE OF AL-JOHARI LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED 55 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WIND GUSTS REPORTED 70 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT 045 DEG NORTHEAST APPROX 11 KT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 HPA
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FOR WESTERN COAST OF GULP MTN PENINSULA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA IS NOT EXPECTED TO THREATEN THE ISLAND.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN INSTITUTED FOR THE WESTERN COAST
OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA ALTHOUGH BETA.02 IS NOT EXPECTED
TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM.

ON ITS CURRENT TRACK BETA.02 WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN 12 TO 18 HOURS.

NEXT ADVISORY ON SYSTEM AT LOCAL TIME 2100H.

ADVISORY ISSUED BY GORDON.

BF02 TCWC LLIWO
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY
FORECAST NO. 1 ON SYSTEM
SYSTEM IS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
LOCAL TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 1500H
PAX TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 1230H

FORECAST NO. 1 ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED 470 KM ENE OF AL-JOHARI
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT 045 DEG NORTHEAST APPROX 11 KT

SIX HOUR FORECAST
ACCURACY ESTIMATE 85%
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED 185 KM SW OF GULP MTN PN COAST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED 55 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT ESTIMATE 041 DEG NE APPROX 13 KT

TWELVE HOUR FORECAST
ACCURACY ESTIMATE 70%
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED 40 KM SOUTH OF GULP MTN PN COAST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED 55 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT ESTIMATE 004 DEG NORTH APPROX 6 KT

TWENTY-FOUR HOUR FORECAST
ACCURACY ESTIMATE 80%
DISSIPATED.

NEXT OFFICIAL FORECAST DUE IN SIX HOURS AT LOCAL TIME 2100H.

FORECAST ISSUED BY GORDON.

Advisory and Forecast 2

BA02 TCWC LLIWO
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY
ADVISORY NO. 2 ON SYSTEM
SYSTEM IS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
LOCAL TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 2100H
PAX TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 1830H

ADVISORY NO. 2 ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED NEAR LAT +47.2 LON +25.3
DISTANCE TO CITY ABOUT 590 KM ENE OF AL-JOHARI LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED 55 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WIND GUSTS REPORTED 70 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT 042 DEG NORTHEAST APPROX 12 KT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 HPA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA IS NOT EXPECTED TO THREATEN LOX LAND.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE WESTERN COAST
OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA.

ON ITS CURRENT TRACK BETA.02 WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN 6 TO 9 HOURS.

NEXT ADVISORY ON SYSTEM AT LOCAL TIME 0300H.

ADVISORY ISSUED BY NITKAN.

BF02 TCWC LLIWO
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY
FORECAST NO. 2 ON SYSTEM
FINAL FORECAST
SYSTEM IS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
LOCAL TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 2100H
PAX TIME IS APRIL 14 2145 AT 1830H

FORECAST NO. 2 ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED 590 KM ENE OF AL-JOHARI
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT 042 DEG NORTHEAST APPROX 12 KT

SIX HOUR FORECAST
ACCURACY ESTIMATE 80%
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED 50 KM SSW OF GULP MTN PN COAST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED 55 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT ESTIMATE 004 DEG NORTH APPROX 10 KT

TWELVE HOUR FORECAST
ACCURACY ESTIMATE 80%
DISSIPATED

THIS IS THE FINAL FORECAST PACKAGE FROM TCWC LLIWO ON BETA.02.

FORECAST ISSUED BY NITKAN.

Advisory 3

BA02 TCWC LLIWO
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY
ADVISORY NO. 3 ON SYSTEM
SYSTEM IS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
MSHPC DESIGNATION TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
LOCAL TIME IS APRIL 15 2145 AT 0300H
PAX TIME IS APRIL 15 2145 AT 0030H

ADVISORY NO. 3 ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA
TCWC MSHPC ADVISORY WAS ISSUED AT 2230H LST ON TD-NINE
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED NEAR LAT +47.5 LON +25.7
DISTANCE TO CITY ABOUT 680 KM NE OF AL-JOHARI LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED 55 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WIND GUSTS REPORTED 70 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT 042 DEG NORTHEAST APPROX 13 KT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 HPA

NO WARNINGS OR WATCHES IN EFFECT. LANDFALL WITHIN SIX HOURS.

OFFICIAL MSHPC ADVISORIES ARE AVAILABLE UNDER HEARTLAND BULLETIN
NUMBER 4509 TCWC HPCOR.

NEXT ADVISORY ON SYSTEM AT LOCAL TIME 0900H.

ADVISORY ISSUED BY NITKAN.