TD13 (2145)/Past

Tropical Depression Thirteen

4513 TCWC HPCOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN (4513) ADVISORY 1...CORRECTED
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUATERS OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 12 2145
CORRECTED TO ADD ISSUANCE CENTRE

SYSTEM THAT MOVED OFF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA COAST NOW A DEPRESSION...
THERE WAS A LOT OF ANIMATED DISCUSSION ON WHETHER OR NOT THIS WAS FULLY
TROPICAL AND WHETHER OR NOT TO INITIATE ADVISORIES. WHILE THIS IS PROBABLY
MORE SUBTROPICAL THAN TROPICAL... ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED AT 30 KT ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
... AND TURN EXTRATROPICAL.

AT 9 AM HPT TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.2 NORTH 
LONGITUDE 25.6 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KM/H... 35 MPH...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 HPA. SYSTEM MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 11 KM/H...
7 MPH.

THERE IS A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR TD-THIRTEEN TO STRENGTHEN INTO
A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL OR ABSORBED.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME 12/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 47.2 N 25.6 E... 30 KT
12/1500H... 47.1 N 25.4 E... 35 KT
12/2100H... 47.0 N 25.3 E... 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
13/0900H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM

FORECASTER CALTS

Tropical Storm Mirscqy

Advisory 2

4513 TCWC HPCOR
TROPICAL STORM MIRSCQY ADVISORY 002
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUATERS OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 12 2145

QUIKSCAT PASS REPORTED SOME HARD-TO-BELIEVE 45-KT VECTORS... POSSIBLY 
CONTAMINATED... AS WELL AS SOME BELIEVABLE 30-KT VECTORS NEAR THE CORE.
EVEN THOUGH DVORAK ESTIMATES DO NOT YET JUSTIFY TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
... TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN IS ELEVATED TO TROPICAL STORM MIRSQY...
THE 11TH NAMED STORM THIS SEASON.

MIRSCQY IS DETERIORATING ON SATELLITE IMAGERY... ITS CORE IS EXPOSED ON
THE NORTHWEST... CLASSIC FIRST SIGNS OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. IT
COULD BE FULLY EXTRATROPICAL BY LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW.

AT 3 PM HPT TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.0 NORTH 
LONGITUDE 25.4 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KM/H... 40 MPH...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. SYSTEM MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 KM/H...
6 MPH.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME 12/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 47.0 N 25.4 E... 35 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
12/2100H... 46.8 N 25.3 E... 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED
13/0300H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM

FORECASTER JARVINEN

Tropical Depression GAMMA.03 (LLIWO)

GA03 TCWC LLIWO
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY
ADVISORY NO. 1 ON SYSTEM
SYSTEM IS TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA
MSHPC DESIGNATION TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
LOCAL TIME IS JUNE 12 2145 AT 0930H
PAX TIME IS JUNE 12 2145 AT 0700H

SPECIAL ADVISORY
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA FORMS BUT IS NOT A THREAT TO THE ISLAND.

ADVISORY NO. 1 ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA
TCWC MSHPC ADVISORY WAS ISSUED AT 0930H LST ON TD-THIRTEEN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE LOCATED NEAR LAT +47.2 LON +25.6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED 55 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WIND GUSTS REPORTED 65 KM/H
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT 212 DEG SOUTHWEST APPROX 6 KT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 HPA

NO WARNINGS OR WATCHES IN EFFECT.

THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM BUT
NOT AFFECT ANY LAND.

NEXT ADVISORY ON SYSTEM WHEN IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM OR
WHEN IT BECOMES THREAT TO LAND. IF IT DOES NEITHER THIS IS THE
FIRST AND ONLY ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM FROM TCWC LLIWO.

ISSUED BY GORDON