TD2 (2140)/Past

Subtropical Storm Mordrel

Special Advisory

SUBTROPICAL STORM MORDREL (4002) SPECIAL ADVISORY
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
5:45 PM LOCAL TIME JAN 26 2140

SYSTEM IN GREAT FOUNDER'S SEA GAINS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IS STRONG ENOUGH
TO BE NAMED... AN EARLY SECOND STORM AHEAD OF HURRICANE SEASON'S START IN MARCH.
UNDER CURRENT NAMING CONVENTIONS... BOWIEKNIFE HAS GIVEN THE NAME FOR THIS STORM...
MORDREL.

AT 5:45 PM SUBTROPICAL STORM MORDREL WAS 295 NAUTICAL MILES NORTHWEST OF PORT
DU POVRE, INEPTIA... 545 KM OR 340 MILES... OUT IN THE OPEN SEA... TRACKING
NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 14 KT IN FORWARD SPEED... 16 MPH OR 26 KM/H
... PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 KT... 45 MPH OR 75 KPH.

FURTHER GAINING OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND STRENGTHENING FORECAST...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 HPA... 74.55 CMHG OR 29.35 INHG.

A FULL ADVISORY ON THIS STORM WILL BE RELEASED AT 7 PM.

FORECASTED BY CALTS

Tropical Storm Mordrel

Advisory 1

TROPICAL STORM MORDREL (4002) BULLETIN ADVISORY 001
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
7 PM LOCAL TIME JAN 26 2140

SUBTROPICAL STORM MORDREL SEEMS TO BE STRENGTHENING AT AN INCREDIBLE RATE FOR
A SYSTEM SO EARLY IN JANUARY UNDER WHAT WOULD BE VERY UNFAVOURABLE CONDITIONS...
A 0.71 HECTOPASCAL PER HOUR DROP IN MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS CONSIDERABLY
HIGH... AND MORDREL HAS NOW GAINED FULL TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... AND STILL
STRENGTHENING. HOWEVER, THIS TREND IS LIKELY TO STOP SOON... PERHAPS PEAKING
AS A LOW-END CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE OR A HIGH-END TROPICAL STORM...

AT 7 PM TROPICAL STORM MORDREL WAS 305 NAUTICAL MILES NORTHWEST OF PORT
DU POVRE, INEPTIA... 560 KM OR 350 MILES... OUT IN THE OPEN SEA... TRACKING
NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 14 KT IN FORWARD SPEED... 16 MPH OR 26 KM/H
... PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 KT... 50 MPH OR 80 KPH. CURRENT MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS... 74.25 CM OF MERCURY OR 29.23 INCHES.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES... MEANING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN 36
HOURS... HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ELDARIO ISLAND OFF CLEARWATER YAGA MINOR... AS WELL
AS THE MAINLAND FROM NEW AMNITY, LOS PAISES LEJANOS NORTHWARD TO CONSTIPOL,
CLEARWATER, INCLUDING THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF CLEARWATER YAGA MINOR.

FURTHER STRENGTHENING FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS... FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING.
REPEATING THE 7 PM FORECAST... 305 NM NW OF PORT DU POIVRE, INEPTIA, MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 14 KT IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS
... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HPA.


THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS STORM WILL BE RELEASED AT 7 AM.

FORECASTED BY CALTS

Advisory 3

TROPICAL STORM MORDREL (4002) BULLETIN ADVISORY 003
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
7 PM LOCAL TIME JAN 27 2140

TROPICAL STORM MORDREL DOES NOT LAST LONG AS A HURRICANE... WEAKENS BACK TO
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. IT HAS HALTED IN FORWARD SPEED AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY
... AND FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY BETWEEN STORM AND HURRICANE STRENGTH IS 
POSSIBLE. MORDREL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STATIONARY FOR UP TO 48 HOURS.

AT 7 PM 02NE.MORDREL WAS 305 NAUTICAL MILES NORTHWEST OF PORT HOPE, GRAYS
HARBOR ... 350 MILES OR 560 KM... AND ABOUT 315 NM... 585 KM OR 365 MILES...
SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF ELDARIO ISLAND. 
IT IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY AND WILL REMAIN SO FOR UP TO TWO DAYS...
AS SUCH TROPICAL STORM WATCHES REFLECTED IN 4002/02 HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.
IT IS PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KT... 60 MPH OR 95 KM/H... MAKING MORDREL
MODERATE-STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM. CURRENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984
HECTOPASCALS... 73.80 CM OF MERCURY OR 29.06 INCHES... RELATIVELY LOW FOR A
TROPICAL STORM.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES... MEANING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN 36
HOURS...  FOR ELDARIO ISLAND OFF CLEARWATER YAGA MINOR... AS WELL AS THE
MAINLAND FROM NEW AMNITY, LOS PAISES LEJANOS NORTHWARD TO CONSTIPOL,
CLEARWATER, INCLUDING THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF CLEARWATER YAGA MINOR, FIRST
REFLECTED IN ADVISOY 1, HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.

REPEATING THE 7 PM FORECAST... 305 NM NW OF PORT HOPE, GRAYS HARBOR, STATIONARY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS ... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HPA.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS STORM WILL BE RELEASED AT 7 AM.

FORECASTED BY JOHNS

Hurricane Mordrel

Advisory 2

HURRICANE MORDREL (4002) BULLETIN ADVISORY 002
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
7 AM LOCAL TIME JAN 27 2140

TROPICAL STORM MORDREL DEFIES THE PREDICTIONS AND EXPECTATIONS OF THE HPC BY
STRENGTHENING INTO A HURRICANE. HOWEVER, THANKFULLY THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ITS
PEAK, AND WEAKENING SHOULD START OCCURRING SOON AS IT NEARS LAND. PLEASE SEEK
SHELTER.

AT 7 AM HURRICANE MORDREL WAS 305 NAUTICAL MILES NORTHWEST OF PORT HOPE, GRAYS
HARBOR ... 350 MILES OR 560 KM... AND ABOUT 315 NM... 585 KM OR 365 MILES...
SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF ELDARIO ISLAND. 
IT IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KT FORWARD SPEED... 12 MPH OR 19 KM/H
... PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KT... 75 MPH OR 120 KM/H... MAKING MORDREL
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. CURRENT MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 HECTOPASCALS... 73.43 CM OF MERCURY OR 28.91 INCHES.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES... MEANING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN 36
HOURS... ARE IN EFFECT FOR ELDARIO ISLAND OFF CLEARWATER YAGA MINOR... AS WELL
AS THE MAINLAND FROM NEW AMNITY, LOS PAISES LEJANOS NORTHWARD TO CONSTIPOL,
CLEARWATER, INCLUDING THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF CLEARWATER YAGA MINOR.

NO FURTHER STRENGTHENING FORECAST ... WEAKENING WILL START SOON AS WIND SHEAR
STRENGTHENS.
REPEATING THE 7 AM FORECAST... 305 NM NW OF PORT HOPE, GRAYS HARBOR, MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS
... CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 HPA.

 THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS STORM WILL BE RELEASED AT 7 PM.

FORECASTED BY JOHNS