Difference between revisions of "TD10 (2145)"

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{| class="infobox" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="background:transparent;text-align:center; font-size:95%; width:12.6em; float:right;"
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{{Storm active2|name=Extra-tropical Storm Griel
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|+ colspan="7" nowrap="nowrap"| <small>Current warnings and watches</small>
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|category=storm|type=Extratropical storm
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|-
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|local time=1200
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|http://img241.imageshack.us/img241/1498/watchwarnnstd4510nm6.png
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|date=June 15
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|}
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{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
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|category=cat4|type=Category 4 major hurricane
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|local time=1400
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|date=June 13
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|year=2145
 
|year=2145
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|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 13.8&deg;S 3.9&deg;E]<br/>About 1870 km (1170 miles) east of [[Puerto Nuevo]], [[Vassfforcia]]
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|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 12.0&deg;S 4.0°W]<br/>About 450 km (280 miles) south-southeast of [[Vassfforcia la Serenísima]], [[Vassfforcia]]
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|winds=240 km/h (150 mph)
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|winds=100 km/h (65 mph)
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
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|pressure=928 hPa
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|pressure=970 hPa
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|movement=West at 22 km/h (14 mph)
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|movement=NNW at 81 km/h (50 mph)
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|advisory=latest}}
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|advisory=final}}
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
----
 
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  4510 TCWC HPCOR
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR
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  HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 012
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  TROPICAL STORM GRIEL (4510) FINAL ADVISORY 020
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
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  1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 2 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 13 2145
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  1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 12 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145
 
   
 
   
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  GRIEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... NOW A VERY DANGEROUS HIGH-END
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  GRIEL BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... ALL REMAINING WARNINGS AND
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  CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... NEW RECORD MINIMUM PRESSURE IN THE
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  WATCHES DISCONTINUED.
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REGION...
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  AT 3 PM HPT THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR ANIMUS ANI-01
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  AT 3 PM HPT... THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE GRIEL
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  HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
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WERE CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 SOUTH LONGITUDE 4.0 WEST... OR ABOUT
 +
450 KM... 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VASSFFORCIA CITY, VASSFFORCIA.
 +
  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IS 970 HPA...
 +
AND IT HAS SUSTAINED GALES OF UP TO 110 KM/H... 65 MPH. THE SYSTEM IS
 +
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H... 50 MPH.
 
   
 
   
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  AT 3 PM HPT THE HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN
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  34-KNOT... OR STORM-FORCE... WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 350 KM...
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  SOUTHWEST COAST OF VENERATIO VEN-01 HAVE BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL
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  220 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 INCHES...
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  STORM WARNINGS... WHILE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND HURRICANE
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  100 MM... ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA. CITIES AND TOWNS
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  WATCHES FOR THE REST OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO
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  NEAR RIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.
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HURRICANE WARNINGS.
+
 
   
 
   
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  AT 3 PM HPT THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FROM PRUBDABLIA SOUTHWARD
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  GRIEL SHOULD BECOME ABSORBED BY THE LARGER FRONT PUSHING IN FROM THE
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HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING... A TROPICAL
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  SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT.
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STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PRUBDABLIA SOUTHWARD TO THE
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  CAPE OF MONTAURA... WHILE A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
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MUCH OF THE SAME STRETCH OF COASTLINE.
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AT 3 PM HPT A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF
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VASSFFORCIA NEAR THE CAPE OF IBPORTIA... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
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AND HURRICANE WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CAPE OF IBPORTIA.
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AT 3 PM HPT THE GOVERNMENT OF VASSFFORCIA HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL
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STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FOR CIUDAD ESTADO DE
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PUERTO NUEVO AND THE ADJACENT COASTLINE TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
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TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE
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POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
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TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MEAN THAT TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE
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EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
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LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE SPED UP. HURRICANE WATCHES
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MEAN THAT HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...
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GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF
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LIFE SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT
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HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
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HOURS. ALL PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE
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COMPLETE.
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AT 3 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 SOUTH
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LONGITUDE 3.9 EAST... OR ABOUT 1870 KM... 1170 MILES EAST OF PUERTO
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NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
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240 KM/H... 150 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A DANGEROUS
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CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...
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AND FURTHER STRENGTHENING INTO A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED.
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THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 22 KM/H OR 14 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL
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PRESSURE IS 928 HPA/MBAR.
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−
+
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AN AIR FORCE (AFLE) RECONNAISANCE AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE
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THIS SYSTEM. DETAILS WILL BE KNOWN BY THE 3 AM ADVISORY.
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GRIEL IS A LARGE SYSTEM... TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND
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OUTWARD UP TO 520 KM... 325 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE
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WEST AND NORTH...  WHILE HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD
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UP TO 330 KM... 205 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...
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THE CAPES OF IBPORTIA AND MONTAURA MAY FEEL TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
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IN ABOUT 24 HOURS.
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  OFFICIAL FORECAST
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST
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  INITIAL TIME IS 13/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT
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  INITIAL TIME IS 15/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT
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   INITIAL... 13.8 S 03.9 E...130 KT... CAT 4
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   INITIAL... 12.0 S 4.0 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
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13/2100H... 13.8 S 03.4 E...135 KT
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  15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM
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14/0300H... 13.8 S 02.8 E...140 KT... CAT 5 <!-- 14/0900H... 13.8 S 02.3 E...145 KT... CAT 5 -->
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14/1500H... 13.8 S 01.8 E...150 KT <1-- 14/2100H... 13.9 S 01.4 E...155 KT -->
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15/0300H... 13.9 S 01.0 E...145 KT <!-- 15/0900H... 13.9 S 00.4 E...135 KT... CAT 4 -->
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15/1500H... 13.9 S 00.3 W...120 KT... CAT 4 <!-- 15/2100H... 13.9 S 00.8 W...105 KT  16/0300H... 13.8 S 01.4 W...105 KT... CAT 3  16/0900H... 13.7 S 02.0 W... 95 KT... CAT 2 NEAR LANDFALL -->
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16/1500H... 13.6 S 02.5 W... 85 KT... CAT 2 NEAR LANDFALL <!-- 16/2100H... 13.0 S 03.5 W... 50 KT... INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 17/0300H... 11.0 S 05.2 W... 25 KT... EXTRATROPICAL/DISSIPATING INLAND -->
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  17/1500H...DISSIPATED OVER WATER NORTH OF VASSFORCIA LA SERENÍSIMA
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  REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT POSITION... 13.8 SOUTH 3.9 EAST. MAXIMUM
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  REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT POSITION... 12.0 SOUTH 4.0 WEST. MAXIMUM
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  SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 240 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
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  SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HPA.
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PRESSURE 928 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 22 KM/H.
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SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
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  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT.
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  THIS WILL BE THE FINAL MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR FURTHER
 +
INFORMATION ON THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM AND THE NEW WEATHER FRONT
 +
PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL INFORMATION OR THE HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE'S
 +
BULLETINS.
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER HUNTER
 
  FORECASTER HUNTER
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----
 
−
ITGV1 TCWC HPCOR
 
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INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE REGARDING HURRICANE GRIEL (4510)
 
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[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
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MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
 
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INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE...
 
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FOR THE GOVERNMENTS OF LIVERPOOL ENGLAND... AND VASSFFORCIA... AS WELL
 
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AS OTHER HEARTLAND GOVERNMENTS CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF
 
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HURRICANE GRIEL...
 
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POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE GRIEL IS SPINNING TOWARDS VASSFFORCIA...
 
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ENSURE FULL EVACUATION OF LOW-LYING AREAS. AREAS AT AN ALTITUDE OF BELOW
 
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SEA LEVEL WILL FACE MAJOR FLOODING PROBLEMS CAUSED BY STORM SURGE.
 
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GRIEL WILL LIKELY MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... WEAKENING
 
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FROM ITS CURRENT STRENGTH. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY SOON BE NEEDED FOR
 
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THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MONTAURA.
 
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ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
 
−
DIRECTOR MIKE JOHNS
 
−
JUNE 13, 2145
 

Latest revision as of 07:01, 20 October 2006

Latest storm information
Extra-tropical Storm Griel
Extratropical storm
As of: 1200 local time June 15, 2145
Location: 12.0°S 4.0°W
About 450 km (280 miles) south-southeast of Vassfforcia la Serenísima, Vassfforcia
Maximum
winds: 		100 km/h (65 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 970 hPa
Movement: NNW at 81 km/h (50 mph)
See final advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here 
4510 TCWC HPCOR
TROPICAL STORM GRIEL (4510) FINAL ADVISORY 020
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 12 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145

GRIEL BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... ALL REMAINING WARNINGS AND
WATCHES DISCONTINUED.

AT 3 PM HPT... THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE GRIEL
WERE CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 SOUTH LONGITUDE 4.0 WEST... OR ABOUT
450 KM... 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VASSFFORCIA CITY, VASSFFORCIA.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IS 970 HPA...
AND IT HAS SUSTAINED GALES OF UP TO 110 KM/H... 65 MPH. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H... 50 MPH.

34-KNOT... OR STORM-FORCE... WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 350 KM... 
220 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 INCHES...
100 MM... ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA. CITIES AND TOWNS
NEAR RIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.

GRIEL SHOULD BECOME ABSORBED BY THE LARGER FRONT PUSHING IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME IS 15/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 12.0 S 4.0 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM

REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT POSITION... 12.0 SOUTH 4.0 WEST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HPA.
SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM AND THE NEW WEATHER FRONT
PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL INFORMATION OR THE HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE'S
BULLETINS.

FORECASTER HUNTER
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