Difference between revisions of "TD03 (2146)"

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{{Fakehurricane}}
 
{{Fakehurricane}}
−
{{Active storm|name=Severe Tropical Storm Ehecatl (Epsilon)
 
−
|category=intense|type=Severe tropical storm
 
−
|time=0900 HPT
 
−
|date=May 6
 
−
|year=2146
 
−
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 45.8°N 26.7°E]<br/>About 385 km (240 mi) southwest of Borleai Defence, Gulp Mountain Peninsula
 
−
|winds=95 km/h (60 mph)
 
−
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
−
|pressure=990 hPa
 
−
|movement=North-northeast at 19 kt}}
 
 
----
 
----
−
  TCIA3 WHCO 061835
+
  TCAD3 WHCO 070340
−
  TROPICAL STORM EHECATL (4603) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 4A
+
  TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 6
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
 
  [[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
−
  6 PM HPT MAY 6 2146... 4 PM PAX TIME... 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME
+
  3 AM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 AM PAX TIME... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME
 
   
 
   
−
  ...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING SYSTEM FINDS WEAKER STORM...
+
  ...EHECATL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...FAST LOSING TROPICALITY...THIS WILL
 +
BE THE FINAL ADVISORY...
 
   
 
   
−
  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE GULP
+
  STORM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER LAND...INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT
−
  MOUNTAIN PENINSULA COAST FROM DESINCO EAST TO BORLEAI POINT EAST.
+
BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 FROM AFLE AND UHWF...AND
 +
  T2.0 FROM HDCW...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. EHECATL IS EXPECTED
 +
TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION...045/15.
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 6 PM HPT THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA
+
  AT 3 AM HPT...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ESTIMATED TO BE
−
  COAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
+
INLAND OVER GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 47.5 NORTH LONGITUDE
 +
  28.1 EAST.
 
   
 
   
−
  REFER TO INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL SERVICE WEATHER OFFICE FOR POSSIBLE INLAND
+
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
−
  WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
+
  GALE-FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 6 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL WAS ESTIMATED TO BE
+
  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. THIS
−
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.6 NORTH LONGITUDE 27.4 EAST... ABOUT 130 KM OR 80
+
  VALUE WILL FLUCTUATE AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.
−
  MILES SOUTH OF BORLEAI POINT WEST.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WERE NEAR 85 KM/H...
+
  EHECATL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 26 KM/H...16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
−
  50 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER
+
  WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM
−
  ELEVATIONS OF THE GULP MOUNTAINS.
+
  STARTS TO GAIN IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
   
 
   
−
  EHECATL IS CURRENTLY MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST... WITH AN EAST-NORTHEAST
+
  MOST MODELS HAVE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM MOVING OUT INTO THE NOLAN SOUND...
−
  MOTION EXPECTED IN AROUND 6 TO 12 HOURS. ON THIS CURRENT NORTH-NORTHEAST
+
  POSSIBLY BECOMING A MAJOR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THREE DAYS.
−
MOVEMENT... LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 HOURS... OR AS SOON AS BY THE NEXT
+
−
ADVISORY.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 KM... 215 MILES... FROM THE
+
  OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
−
CENTRE OF THE STORM. AT AROUND 1805 HPT... AN ANEMOMETER ALONG THE COAST
+
INITIAL TIME...07/0300H
−
AT BORLEAI POINT WEST RECORDED A ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEED OF 79 KM/H...
+
  INITIAL...47.5 N 28.1 E... 30 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
−
49 MPH... AND A GUST TO 109 KM/H... 68 MPH.
+
07/1500H...EXTRATROPICAL
 
   
 
   
−
  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
+
  REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...INLAND NEAR 47.5 NORTH 28.1 EAST. MAXIMUM
−
  WAS 992 HPA.
+
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. SYSTEM IS
 +
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 KT.
 
   
 
   
−
  BETWEEN 150 AND 250 MM... 6 AND 10 INCHES... OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE OVER
+
  THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL.
−
THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS... THIS MIGHT FALL IN THE FORM
+
−
OF SNOW OR ICE. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 400 MM... 16 INCHES... IS POSSIBLE.
+
−
BORLEAI DEFENCE POST RAINFALL REPORTS INDICATE THAT UP TO 75 MM HAS FALLEN IN THE
+
−
LAST NINE HOURS... A 24-HOUR AVERAGE OF UP TO 200 MM... 8 INCHES.
+
 
   
 
   
−
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS... THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND
+
  FORECASTER KRUGER
−
MUDSLIDES... AND AVALANCHES AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ONE MINOR AVALANCHE WAS REPORTED
+
−
IN THE GULPS EARLIER TODAY... TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE STORM.
+
−
+
−
REPEAT 6 PM HPT POSITION... 46.6 N 27.4 E... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KM/H.
+
−
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS 992 HPA... AND EHECATL IS MOVING GENERALLY
+
−
NORTHEAST. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... LANDFALL WITHIN SIX HOURS.
+
−
+
−
THIS IS THE FINAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT COMPLETE
+
−
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY 9:40 PM HPT. A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE... UNDER HEADER
+
−
TCUP3 WHCO... WILL BE ISSUED UPON LANDFALL.
+
−
+
−
  FORECASTER HUNTER
+
−
 
+
 
----
 
----
−
TCAD3 HPCOR 061540 CCA
+
  TCTW03 FOLN 070340
−
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 4...CORRECTED
+
−
[[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
+
−
[[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
+
−
3 PM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 PM PAX TIME... 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME
+
−
+
−
...CORRECTED INITIAL 24 HOUR MOTION VECTOR TO 19 KT FROM 35 KT...
+
−
+
−
...SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EHECATL REMAINS ON COURSE FOR LANDFALL SOON...
+
−
+
−
THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT LEFT THE STORM ABOUT TWO HOURS AGO... WITH ANOTHER
+
−
FLIGHT DUE IN IN ABOUT AN HOUR. THE HIGHEST WINDSPEEDS FOUND DURING THAT FLIGHT
+
−
WERE UP TO 65 KNOTS AT FLIGHT LEVEL... WHILE A MANUAL DROPSONDE READING RECORDED
+
−
49 KT WINDS AT AROUND 1245 HPT WHEN THE PLANE WAS ABOUT TO LEAVE THE STORM.
+
−
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY OR MICROWAVE IMAGERY SINCE
+
−
... AND SCATTEROMETER PASSES SHOW CLEAR 50-KNOT WIND VECTORS. INITIAL INTENSITY
+
−
IS RETAINED AT 50 KT. INITIAL 24-HOUR MOTION NOW APPEARS TO BE NORTHEASTWARDS...
+
−
SO 045/19. SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT COULD BE WELL OFF TO THE NORTH OR EAST.
+
−
+
−
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA COAST FROM
+
−
DESINCO EASTWARDS TO BORLEAI POINT EAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
+
−
THIS STRETCH OF COAST.
+
−
+
−
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA COAST FROM
+
−
MOUNTAIN VALLEY EAST SOUTHWARDS TO BORLEAI POINT EAST.
+
−
+
−
REFER TO INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL SERVICE WEATHER OFFICE FOR POSSIBLE INLAND
+
−
WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
+
−
+
−
AT 3 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EHECATL WAS ESTIMATED TO BE
+
−
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 27.2 EAST... ABOUT 225 KM OR 140
+
−
MILES SOUTH OF BORLEAI POINT WEST.
+
−
+
−
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WERE NEAR 95 KM/H...
+
−
60 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER
+
−
ELEVATIONS OF THE GULP MOUNTAINS... POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 185 KM/H... 115 MPH.
+
−
+
−
GENERAL 24-HOUR TRENDS SUGGEST EHECATL IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT
+
−
35 KM/H... 22 MPH. ALONG THIS FORECAST TRACK... LANDFALL IS EXPECTED ON THE
+
−
GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA WITHIN 9 HOURS.
+
−
+
−
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 390 KM... 245 MILES... FROM THE
+
−
CENTRE OF THE STORM... MOSTLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF CENTRE. IN EACH QUADRANT...
+
−
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY. AT AROUND 1140 HPT... AN ANEMOMETER ALONG THE COAST
+
−
AT BORLEAI POINT WEST RECORDED A ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEED OF 68 KM/H...
+
−
42 MPH... AND A GUST TO 105 KM/H... 65 MPH.
+
−
+
−
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
+
−
WAS 990 HPA.
+
−
+
−
BETWEEN 150 AND 250 MM... 6 AND 10 INCHES... OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE OVER
+
−
THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS... THIS MIGHT FALL IN THE FORM
+
−
OF SNOW OR ICE. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 400 MM... 16 INCHES... IS POSSIBLE.
+
−
BORLEAI DEFENCE POST RAINFALL REPORTS INDICATE THAT UP TO 45 MM FELL IN THE
+
−
LAST SIX HOURS... A 24-HOUR AVERAGE OF UP TO 180 MM... 7 INCHES.
+
−
+
−
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS... THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND
+
−
MUDSLIDES... AND AVALANCHES AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AN AVALANCHE WAS CONFIRMED
+
−
TO HAVE OCCURRED AROUND 1348 LOCAL TIME... 1318 HPT... EARLIER TODAY.
+
−
+
−
THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING.
+
−
+
−
OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT
+
−
INITIAL TIME... 06/1500H
+
−
  INITIAL... 46.4 N 27.2 E... 50 KT <!-- 06/2100H... 46.7 N 27.4 E... 45 KT...NEAR LANDFALL -->
+
−
07/0300H... 47.5 N 27.7 E... 30 KT...INLAND <!-- 07/0900H... 48.0 N 28.5 E... 25 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL -->
+
−
07/1500H... 48.6 N 29.4 E... 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
+
−
08/0300H...EXTRATROPICAL
+
−
+
−
REPEATING THE 3 PM POSITION... 46.4 NORTH 27.2 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
+
−
95 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HPA... SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEAST 19 KT.
+
−
+
−
THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY 2145 HPT MAY 6.
+
−
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY 1900 HPT MAY 6.
+
−
+
−
FORECASTER RINDLI
+
−
----
+
−
  TCTW03 FOLN 061545
+
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
−
  ISSUED 1545 HPT MAY 6 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ
+
[[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE]] FOLENISA
−
  ACTIVE TIME:        1500 21460506
+
  ISSUED 0340 HPT MAY 7 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ
−
  TROP CYC CENTRE:   FOLENISA/OREAN
+
  ACTIVE TIME:        0300HPT MAY 7 2146
−
  TROP CYC:           EHECATL
+
  WARNING CENTRE:     FOLENISA
−
  WARNING NR:        4
+
  TROPICAL CYCLONE:   EHECATL
−
  POSITION:          46.4N 27.2E
+
  WARNING NR:        6
−
  ACCURACY:          25NM
+
  POSITION:          47.5N 28.1E...INLAND
−
  MOVEMENT:          NE 19KT
+
  ACCURACY:          45NM
−
  CENT PRES:          990HPA
+
  MOVEMENT:          NE 15KT
−
  MAX WIND:          50KT
+
  CENT PRES:          1001HPA
−
  MAX GUST:          60KT
+
  MAX WIND:          30KT
−
  FCST 12HR:         47.5N 27.7E...INLAND
+
  MAX GUST:          VARIABLE
−
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    30KT GUSTS VARIABLE
+
  FCST 12HR PSTN:     48.5N 29.4E...EXTRATROPICAL
−
  NXT WRN:           2100 21460506=
+
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    35KT EXTRATROPICAL
 +
  NEXT WARNING AT:   NO FURTHER WARNINGS=
 
----
 
----
−
  WXTC01 KBDP 061420
+
  WXTC01 KBDP 070710
−
  TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER ONE...UPDATE
+
  TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER FOUR
−
INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING BULLETIN
+
−
AVALANCHE ADVISORY BULLETIN NUMBER ONE...SUPERSEDES AVALANCHE WATCH
+
−
FLASH FLOOD WARNING BULLETIN NUMBER ONE...UPDATE
+
−
SLEET WARNING BULLETIN NUMBER ONE
+
 
  BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL
 
  BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL
−
  ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA
+
  CC MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA
−
  ISSUED AT 2:50 PM LOCAL TIME... 1420 HPT MAY 6 2146
+
  ISSUED AT 7:40 AM LOCAL TIME...0710 HPT MAY 7 2146
 
  IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA
 
  IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA
 
   
 
   
−
  UPDATE...
+
  CURRENT WARNINGS AND WATCHES...
−
  THIS BULLETIN SUPERSEDES THE AVALANCHE WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.
+
  INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... DISCONTINUED
−
A SLEET WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN GULPS.
+
  SLEET WARNING... DISCONTINUED
−
AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL GULP MOUNTAINS.
+
  AVALANCHE ADVISORY... DISCONTINUED
−
+
  FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7.
−
AN AVALANCHE WAS REPORTED AROUND 1355 LOCAL TIME... AND CONFIRMED BY
+
  INLAND GALE WATCH UNTIL 7 PM HPT MAY 7
−
  MET SERVICE PERSONNEL... NEAR THE MIDDLE GULP RANGE. NO CONFIRMED DEATHS
+
−
  OR INJURIES... WITH LIGHT DAMAGE TO SMALL SUMMER HOUSES... MOSTLY
+
−
  CONFINED TO ROOFS AND CHIMNEYS.
+
−
+
−
AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY SUPERSEDES THE AVALANCHE WATCH UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7.
+
−
  AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY INDICATES THAT AN AVALANCHE HAS OCCURRED... AND FURTHER
+
−
AVALANCHES MAY OCCUR AT ANY TIME. IF WITHIN AVALANCHE ADVISORY AREA... AVOID
+
−
ALL MOUNTAINS... NO MATTER HOW SHORT... AT ALL COSTS. DO NOT RISK GETTING
+
−
CAUGHT IN AN AVALANCHE.
+
−
+
−
THE COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE STATE LINE EASTWARDS TO VALLEY EAST
+
−
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
+
−
+
−
A SLEET WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT... RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS MIXED WITH ICE
+
−
FROM HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAS BEEN REPORTED. PREVIOUS WARNINGS... EXCEPT FOR THE
+
−
AVALANCHE WATCH... AND COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WATCH... REMAIN IN EFFECT...
+
−
+
−
PREVIOUS BULLETIN...
+
−
THE PASSAGE OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EHECATL ACROSS THE PENINSULA IS EXPECTED
+
−
TO CAUSE HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE GULPS. AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS WILL
+
−
FALL AS SNOW... AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AS RAIN OR SLEET.
+
−
+
−
A COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM DESINCO EAST TO BORLEAI
+
−
POINT EAST... A COASTAL HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  A COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM VALLEY EAST EASTWARDS TO
+
  ...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING ... SLEET WARNING ... AVALANCHE ADVISORY
−
  BORLEAI POINT EAST.
+
  DISCONTINUED...
 
   
 
   
−
  AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN DECLARED FOR THE EASTERN GULP
+
  A FLASH FLOOD WARNING... REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA
−
MOUNTAINS. WINDS... ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS... WILL CONSISTENTLY
+
  UNTIL 1:30 PM LOCAL LATER TODAY.
−
GUST TO WELL ABOVE HURRICANE STRENGTH... AT TIMES REACHING UP TO 180 KM/H.
+
−
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS... SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 95 KM/H IS POSSIBLE. THE
+
−
STORM HAS A LARGE WIND RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS... AND IS
+
−
ALREADY AFFECTING PARTS OF THE PENINSULA. THIS WARNING IS EFFECTIVE FOR
+
−
  THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS... BELOW 400 M...
+
  THE INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY AN INLAND
−
  ACROSS THE PENINSULA. UP TO 255 MM... TEN INCHES... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
+
  GALE WATCH... IN EFFECT UNTIL 7:30 PM TONIGHT.
−
AMOUNTS OF UP TO DOUBLE THAT... ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE. MELTING SNOW
+
−
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE. THE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL STORM
+
  GUSTS ABOVE 34 KT... GALE FORCE... ARE POSSIBLE AS THE EXTRATROPICAL
−
CAN CARRY DEADLY DEBRIS. IF IN AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY AREA... AVOID ALL MOUNTAINS
+
  REMNANTS OF THE STORM MOVE OUT TO SEA.
−
AT ALL COSTS. DO NOT RISK GETTING CAUGHT IN AN AVALANCHE. IF YOU SEE OR HEAR
+
−
  AN AVALANCHE... REPORT IT IMMEDIATELY SO A NEW AVALANCHE ADVISORY CAN BE ISSUED.
+
−
IF IN LOW-LYING AREAS... PREPARE TO EVACUATE AT SHORT NOTICE SHOULD FLOODING
+
−
BE A PROBLEM.  
+
 
   
 
   
−
  REPEAT...
+
  A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. RAINFALL IS DIMINISHING... BUT THE THREAT
−
TROPICAL STORM EHECATL WILL BRING SEVERE WEATHER EFFECTS TO THE PENINSULA
+
  OF FLASH FLOODING REMAINS. IF NO FLASH FLOODS OCCUR BY 1 PM HPT... THIS WARNING
−
TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... FOR GUSTS AS STRONG
+
  WILL BE DISCONTINUED.
−
AS 100 KT AT HIGH ELEVATIONS... IS IN EFFECT. AVALANCHES ARE POSSIBLE DUE
+
−
TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION... AND ONE HAS BEEN CONFIRMED. IF YOU SEE OR HEAR
+
−
  ONE... REPORT IT IMMEDIATELY. LOW-LYING AREAS MAY BE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING
+
−
  IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES THROUGH AND BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 7:30 PM... AND MAY BE SUPERSEDED IN
+
  EHECATL NOW FULLY EXTRATROPICAL. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL
−
  THE CASE OF ANY ALTERATIONS TO WARNINGS.
+
  BULLETIN.
 
   
 
   
 
  SWC MTN
 
  SWC MTN

Latest revision as of 00:30, 1 September 2007

50px-Nuvola_apps_important.svg.png ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones. 
TCAD3 WHCO 070340
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 6
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
3 AM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 AM PAX TIME... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME

...EHECATL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...FAST LOSING TROPICALITY...THIS WILL
BE THE FINAL ADVISORY...

STORM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER LAND...INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT
BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 FROM AFLE AND UHWF...AND
T2.0 FROM HDCW...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. EHECATL IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION...045/15.

AT 3 AM HPT...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ESTIMATED TO BE
INLAND OVER GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 47.5 NORTH LONGITUDE
28.1 EAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GALE-FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. THIS
VALUE WILL FLUCTUATE AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.

EHECATL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 26 KM/H...16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM
STARTS TO GAIN IN FORWARD SPEED.

MOST MODELS HAVE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM MOVING OUT INTO THE NOLAN SOUND...
POSSIBLY BECOMING A MAJOR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THREE DAYS.

OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
INITIAL TIME...07/0300H
 INITIAL...47.5 N 28.1 E... 30 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
07/1500H...EXTRATROPICAL

REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...INLAND NEAR 47.5 NORTH 28.1 EAST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. SYSTEM IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 KT.

THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL.

FORECASTER KRUGER

TCTW03 FOLN 070340
TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE FOLENISA
ISSUED 0340 HPT MAY 7 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ
ACTIVE TIME:        0300HPT MAY 7 2146
WARNING CENTRE:     FOLENISA
TROPICAL CYCLONE:   EHECATL
WARNING NR:         6
POSITION:           47.5N 28.1E...INLAND
ACCURACY:           45NM
MOVEMENT:           NE 15KT
CENT PRES:          1001HPA
MAX WIND:           30KT
MAX GUST:           VARIABLE
FCST 12HR PSTN:     48.5N 29.4E...EXTRATROPICAL
FCST 12HR WINDS:    35KT EXTRATROPICAL
NEXT WARNING AT:    NO FURTHER WARNINGS=

WXTC01 KBDP 070710
TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER FOUR
BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL
CC MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA
ISSUED AT 7:40 AM LOCAL TIME...0710 HPT MAY 7 2146
IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA

CURRENT WARNINGS AND WATCHES...
INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... DISCONTINUED
SLEET WARNING... DISCONTINUED
AVALANCHE ADVISORY... DISCONTINUED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7.
INLAND GALE WATCH UNTIL 7 PM HPT MAY 7

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING ... SLEET WARNING ... AVALANCHE ADVISORY
DISCONTINUED...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING... REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA
UNTIL 1:30 PM LOCAL LATER TODAY.

THE INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY AN INLAND
GALE WATCH... IN EFFECT UNTIL 7:30 PM TONIGHT.

GUSTS ABOVE 34 KT... GALE FORCE... ARE POSSIBLE AS THE EXTRATROPICAL
REMNANTS OF THE STORM MOVE OUT TO SEA.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. RAINFALL IS DIMINISHING... BUT THE THREAT
OF FLASH FLOODING REMAINS. IF NO FLASH FLOODS OCCUR BY 1 PM HPT... THIS WARNING
WILL BE DISCONTINUED.

EHECATL NOW FULLY EXTRATROPICAL. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL
BULLETIN.

SWC MTN
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