Difference between revisions of "TD10 (2145)"
From NSwiki, the NationStates encyclopedia.
| Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
| − | {{Storm active2|name= | + | {{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel |
| − | |category= | + | |category=cat1|type=Category 1 hurricane |
| − | |local time= | + | |local time=2100 |
|date=June 11 | |date=June 11 | ||
|year=2145 | |year=2145 | ||
| − | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 13.8°S 8. | + | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 13.8°S 8.0°E]<br/>About 3000 km (1875 miles) east of [[Puerto Nuevo]], [[Vassfforcia]] |
| − | |winds= | + | |winds=120 km/h (75 mph) |
|windtype=1-minute sustained | |windtype=1-minute sustained | ||
| − | |pressure= | + | |pressure=984 hPa |
| − | |movement=West at | + | |movement=West at 27 km/h (17 mph) |
|advisory=latest}} | |advisory=latest}} | ||
---- | ---- | ||
4510 TCWC HPCLC | 4510 TCWC HPCLC | ||
| − | + | HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 005 | |
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | ||
MSHPC LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU | MSHPC LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU | ||
| − | + | 7 PM PAX... 9 PM HPT/LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 | |
| − | + | ||
| − | GRIEL | + | GRIEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... |
| − | + | FOR ONCE... THE MSHPC IS RIGHT ON WITH FORECASTING THIS STORM... | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | GRIEL IS NOW A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. THE VALUE OF 65 KT FOR THIS | |
| − | + | ADVISORY WAS REACHED BASED ON CONSENSUS T-NUMBERS OF 4.0 FROM BOTH | |
| − | + | HDCW AND UHWF. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | AT | + | AT 9 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LONGITUDE 13.8 SOUTH |
| − | LATITUDE 8. | + | LATITUDE 8.0 EAST... OR ABOUT 3000 KM... 1875 MILES EAST OF PUERTO |
| − | NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR | + | NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 KM/H... 75 MPH... |
| − | WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MOVING WEST AT | + | WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- |
| − | + | SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 27 KM/H OR 17 | |
| − | + | MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 HPA/MBAR. THIS GENERAL WESTWARD | |
| + | MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. | ||
THE SERVICIO METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL OF VASSFFORCIA HAS ISSUED TROPICAL | THE SERVICIO METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL OF VASSFFORCIA HAS ISSUED TROPICAL | ||
| Line 39: | Line 36: | ||
PAYS DU GÜENDABAL AS WELL AS THE AREAS SURROUNDING THE RIVER ZULFÍA. | PAYS DU GÜENDABAL AS WELL AS THE AREAS SURROUNDING THE RIVER ZULFÍA. | ||
EVACUATION ORDERS MAY SOON BE ISSUED BY THE VASSFFORCIAN AUTHORITIES... | EVACUATION ORDERS MAY SOON BE ISSUED BY THE VASSFFORCIAN AUTHORITIES... | ||
| − | PLEASE CONSULT LOCAL OFFICIALS. | + | PLEASE CONSULT LOCAL OFFICIALS. |
| − | + | TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 KM... 100 | |
| − | + | MILES FROM THE CENTRE... AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND | |
| − | + | OUTWARD UP TO 45 KM... 30 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. ON THIS FORECAST | |
| − | + | TRACK... WHICH IS SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF MODEL CONSENSUS... TROPICAL | |
| − | + | STORM WATCHES MAY SOON BE NEEDED FOR VASSFFORCIA. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | OFFICIAL FORECAST | |
| − | + | INITIAL TIME IS 11/2100H... ALL TIMES HPT | |
| − | + | INITIAL... 13.8 S 08.0 E... 65 KT... CAT 1 | |
| + | 12/0300H... 13.8 S 07.4 E... 75 KT | ||
| + | 12/0900H... 13.9 S 06.9 E... 80 KT <!-- 12/1500H... 13.9 S 06.2 E... 85 KT... CAT 2 --> | ||
| + | 12/2100H... 13.9 S 05.7 E... 90 KT... CAT 2 <!-- 13/0300H... 13.9 S 05.2 E... 95 KT --> | ||
| + | 13/0900H... 13.8 S 04.6 E...100 KT... CAT 3 <!-- 13/1500H... 13.8 S 03.9 E...105 KT... CAT 3 --> | ||
| + | 13/2100H... 13.8 S 03.4 E...105 KT <!-- 14/1500H... 13.8 S 02.2 E...110 KT --> | ||
| + | 14/2100H... 13.9 S 01.5 E...115 KT... CAT 4 <!-- 15/1500H... 13.9 S 00.3 W...105 KT --> | ||
| + | 15/2100H... 13.9 S 00.8 W...105 KT | ||
| − | THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT | + | THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT. |
| − | + | FORECASTER RINDLI | |
Revision as of 04:46, 10 September 2006
| Hurricane Griel | |
|---|---|
| Category 1 hurricane | |
| As of: | 2100 local time June 11, 2145 |
| Location: | 13.8°S 8.0°E About 3000 km (1875 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia |
| Maximum winds: |
120 km/h (75 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 984 hPa |
| Movement: | West at 27 km/h (17 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4510 TCWC HPCLC HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 005 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 7 PM PAX... 9 PM HPT/LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 GRIEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... FOR ONCE... THE MSHPC IS RIGHT ON WITH FORECASTING THIS STORM... GRIEL IS NOW A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. THE VALUE OF 65 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY WAS REACHED BASED ON CONSENSUS T-NUMBERS OF 4.0 FROM BOTH HDCW AND UHWF. AT 9 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LONGITUDE 13.8 SOUTH LATITUDE 8.0 EAST... OR ABOUT 3000 KM... 1875 MILES EAST OF PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 KM/H... 75 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 27 KM/H OR 17 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 HPA/MBAR. THIS GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SERVICIO METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL OF VASSFFORCIA HAS ISSUED TROPICAL STORM ADVISORIES FOR THE REGIONS OF PUERTO NUEVO... VILLE DE FOGRES... PAYS DU GÜENDABAL AS WELL AS THE AREAS SURROUNDING THE RIVER ZULFÍA. EVACUATION ORDERS MAY SOON BE ISSUED BY THE VASSFFORCIAN AUTHORITIES... PLEASE CONSULT LOCAL OFFICIALS. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 KM... 100 MILES FROM THE CENTRE... AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 KM... 30 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... WHICH IS SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF MODEL CONSENSUS... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY SOON BE NEEDED FOR VASSFFORCIA. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 11/2100H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 13.8 S 08.0 E... 65 KT... CAT 1 12/0300H... 13.8 S 07.4 E... 75 KT 12/0900H... 13.9 S 06.9 E... 80 KT 12/2100H... 13.9 S 05.7 E... 90 KT... CAT 2 13/0900H... 13.8 S 04.6 E...100 KT... CAT 3 13/2100H... 13.8 S 03.4 E...105 KT 14/2100H... 13.9 S 01.5 E...115 KT... CAT 4 15/2100H... 13.9 S 00.8 W...105 KT THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT. FORECASTER RINDLI
