Difference between revisions of "TD10 (2145)"

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{{WatchesWarnings map|http://img151.imageshack.us/img151/6303/watchwarnnstd4510ei2.png}}
+
{{WatchesWarnings map|http://img172.imageshack.us/img172/6830/watchwarnnstd4510tg0.png}}
 
{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
 
{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
|category=cat3|type=Category 3 major hurricane
+
|category=cat2|type=Category 2 hurricane
|local time=0000
+
|local time=0600
 
|date=June 15
 
|date=June 15
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 14.2&deg;S 1.3&deg;W]<br/>About 420 km (265 miles) east of [[Puerto Nuevo]], [[Vassfforcia]]
+
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 14.1&deg;S 2.3&deg;W]<br/>About 195 km (120 miles) east of [[Puerto Nuevo]], [[Vassfforcia]]
|winds=195 km/h (120 mph)
+
|winds=165 km/h (105 mph)
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
|pressure=937 hPa
+
|pressure=951 hPa
|movement=W at 39 km/h (24 mph)
+
|movement=W at 42 km/h (26 mph)
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
----
 
----
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR
  HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 018
+
  HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 019
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
  1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 12 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145
+
  7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 6 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145
 
   
 
   
  GRIEL NOW A CATEGORY THREE... LANDFALL WITHIN NINE HOURS...
+
  GRIEL VERY CLOSE TO LANDFALL... NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...
 
   
 
   
  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PRUBDABLIA
+
  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PRUBDABLIA SOUTHWARD
  SOUTHWARD FOR 130 KM. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING PREVIOUSLY
+
  FOR 130 KM... AS WELL AS FOR THE IBPORTIAN COAST ALONG THE BAY
  IN EFFECT FURTHER SOUTH TO THE BAY OF PAVELLÓS HAS BEEN
+
  OF PAVELLÓS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
  UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
+
CITY-STATE OF PUERTO NUEVO AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE BAY
 +
  OF PAVELLÓS...NORTHWARD TO 13 SOUTH 1.8 WEST.  
 
   
 
   
  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE IBPORTIAN
+
  LANDFALL IN ABOUT TWO OR THREE HOURS...
COAST ALONG THE BAY OF PAVELLÓS.
+
 
   
 
   
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CITY-STATE OF
+
  AT 9 AM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 SOUTH
PUERTO NUEVO AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE BAY OF PAVELLÓS.
+
  LONGITUDE 2.3 WEST... OR ABOUT 195 KM... 120 MILES EAST OF
+
THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE BAY OF PAVELLÓS IS NOW REPORTING
+
HURRICANE-FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS.
+
+
  AT 3 AM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 SOUTH
+
  LONGITUDE 1.3 WEST... OR ABOUT 420 KM... 265 MILES EAST OF
+
 
  PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
 
  PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
  TO ABOUT 195 KM/H... 120 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A
+
  TO ABOUT 165 KM/H... 105 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A
  CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...
+
  CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
  AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE
+
  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE WEST AT 42 KM/H OR 26 MPH... MINIMUM
WEST AT 39 KM/H OR 24 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
+
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 HECTOPASCALS OR MBAR.
937 HECTOPASCALS OR MBAR. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 9 HOURS.  
+
 
   
 
   
 
  TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 480 KM...
 
  TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 480 KM...
Line 48: Line 41:
 
  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 280 KM...
 
  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 280 KM...
 
  175 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.
 
  175 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.
 +
 +
HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 12 INCHES... 305 MM... ARE
 +
POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA NEAR THE COAST. AS A NEW WEATHER
 +
SYSTEM IS PUSHING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST FROM DASHAKE IT SHOULD
 +
CAUSE GRIEL TO TAKE A NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY TURN BEFORE ABSORBING IT.
 +
CITIES AND TOWNS NEAR RIVERS... ESPECIALLY THE RIVER ZULFÍA...
 +
SHOULD BE PREPARED IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.
 
   
 
   
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST
  INITIAL TIME IS 15/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT
+
  INITIAL TIME IS 15/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT
   INITIAL... 14.2 S 01.3 W...105 KT... CAT 3
+
   INITIAL... 14.1 S 02.3 W... 90 KT... CAT 2 NEAR LANDFALL
15/0900H... 14.1 S 02.3 W... 95 KT... CAT 2 NEAR LANDFALL
+
 
  15/1500H... 13.5 S 03.6 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
 
  15/1500H... 13.5 S 03.6 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
 
  15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM
 
  15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM
 
   
 
   
  REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 14.2 SOUTH 1.3 WEST. MAXIMUM
+
  REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... 14.1 SOUTH 2.3 WEST. MAXIMUM
  SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 195 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
+
  SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 165 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
  PRESSURE 937 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 39 KM/H.
+
  PRESSURE 951 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 42 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT...
+
  AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT TIME OF
FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT TIME OF LANDFALL.
+
LANDFALL... FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT 3 PM HPT.
 
   
 
   
  FORECASTER HUNTER
+
  FORECASTERS JONHSON/LAVAL

Revision as of 06:42, 17 October 2006

Current warnings and watches
watchwarnnstd4510tg0.png
Latest storm information
Hurricane Griel
Category 2 hurricane
As of: 0600 local time June 15, 2145
Location: 14.1°S 2.3°W
About 195 km (120 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia
Maximum
winds:
165 km/h (105 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 951 hPa
Movement: W at 42 km/h (26 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4510 TCWC HPCOR
HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 019
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 6 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145

GRIEL VERY CLOSE TO LANDFALL... NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PRUBDABLIA SOUTHWARD
FOR 130 KM... AS WELL AS FOR THE IBPORTIAN COAST ALONG THE BAY
OF PAVELLÓS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
CITY-STATE OF PUERTO NUEVO AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE BAY
OF PAVELLÓS...NORTHWARD TO 13 SOUTH 1.8 WEST. 

LANDFALL IN ABOUT TWO OR THREE HOURS...

AT 9 AM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 SOUTH
LONGITUDE 2.3 WEST... OR ABOUT 195 KM... 120 MILES EAST OF
PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
TO ABOUT 165 KM/H... 105 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE WEST AT 42 KM/H OR 26 MPH... MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 HECTOPASCALS OR MBAR.

TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 480 KM...
300 MILES FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CENTRE... WHILE
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 280 KM...
175 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 12 INCHES... 305 MM... ARE
POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA NEAR THE COAST. AS A NEW WEATHER
SYSTEM IS PUSHING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST FROM DASHAKE IT SHOULD
CAUSE GRIEL TO TAKE A NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY TURN BEFORE ABSORBING IT.
CITIES AND TOWNS NEAR RIVERS... ESPECIALLY THE RIVER ZULFÍA...
SHOULD BE PREPARED IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME IS 15/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 14.1 S 02.3 W... 90 KT... CAT 2 NEAR LANDFALL
15/1500H... 13.5 S 03.6 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM

REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... 14.1 SOUTH 2.3 WEST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 165 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 951 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 42 KM/H.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT TIME OF
LANDFALL... FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT 3 PM HPT.

FORECASTERS JONHSON/LAVAL