Difference between revisions of "TD15 (2145)"
From NSwiki, the NationStates encyclopedia.
m |
|||
| Line 2: | Line 2: | ||
---- | ---- | ||
==MSHPC== | ==MSHPC== | ||
| − | {{WatchesWarnings map|http:// | + | {{WatchesWarnings map|http://img92.imageshack.us/img92/329/watchwarn4515mt7.png}} |
| − | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical | + | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical Disturbance Amy |
| − | |category= | + | |category=depression|type=Open trough |
| − | |local time= | + | |local time=0930 |
|date=June 15 | |date=June 15 | ||
|year=2145 | |year=2145 | ||
| − | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png | + | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png Unidentifiable centre] |
| − | |winds= | + | |winds=55 km/h (35 mph) |
|windtype=1-minute sustained | |windtype=1-minute sustained | ||
| − | |pressure= | + | |pressure=1001 hPa |
| − | |movement= | + | |movement=East-northeast at 16 km/h (10 mph) |
| − | |advisory= | + | |advisory=final}}<div style="clear: both"></div> |
---- | ---- | ||
4515 TCWC HPCOR | 4515 TCWC HPCOR | ||
| − | TROPICAL | + | TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AMY (4515) FINAL ADVISORY 005 |
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | ||
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN | MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN | ||
| − | + | 7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145 | |
| − | + | IF I WAS DUMBFOUNDED EARLIER WITH AMY'S REFUSAL TO STRENGTHEN... | |
| − | + | I AM EVEN MORE DUMBFOUNDED NOW. IN 29 DEGREES CELSIUS WATER | |
| − | + | AND 10-KNOT WIND SHEAR... AMY HAS DEGENERATED INTO AN OPEN | |
| + | TROUGH. THIS WILL THEREFORE BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON WHAT IS | ||
| + | LEFT OF AMY. | ||
| − | + | ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. | |
| − | + | THE HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SYSTEM... WHICH | |
| − | + | HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE LIFE-THREATENING AMOUNTS OF | |
| − | + | RAIN OVER THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. IF THIS SYSTEM MANAGES | |
| − | + | TO REGAIN A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND REGENERATE... IT WOULD | |
| − | + | BE RE-NUMBERED AS I CANNOT FIND ANY SIGNS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRC | |
| − | + | CENTRE RIGHT NOW. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | BASED ON GENERAL MOTION OF THE SYSTEM WHILE IT WAS STILL A | |
| − | + | TROPICAL CYCLONE... INITIAL MOTION OF THE TROUGH IS ESTIMATED | |
| − | + | AT 025/9. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | AT | + | AT 9 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM AMY HAS DEGENERATED INTO AN OPEN |
| − | + | TROUGH AND NO CIRCULATION CENTRE CAN BE FOUND ON SATELLITE. | |
| − | + | THE TROUGH HAS MAXIMUM WINDS OF UP TO 30 KT... 55 KM/H/35 MPH... | |
| − | + | MINIMUM PRESSURE READING RETURNED FROM SIX DIFFERENT METERS WAS | |
| − | MINIMUM | + | 1001 HPA. ESTIMATED MOVEMENT OF THE OPEN TROUGH IS NORTH-NORTHEAST |
| − | + | AT 16 KM/H... 10 MPH. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT | OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT | ||
| − | INITIAL TIME... 15/ | + | INITIAL TIME... 15/0900H |
| − | INITIAL... | + | INITIAL... OPEN TROUGH |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | REPEATING THE | + | REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT INFORMATION... AMY HAS DEGENERATED INTO |
| − | + | AN OPEN TROUGH WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF UP TO 55 KM/H. MINIMUM | |
| − | + | PRESSURE REPORTED WAS 1001 HPA... THE TROUGH IS ESTIMATED TO | |
| + | BE MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 16 KM/H. | ||
| − | THE | + | THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE MSHPC ON THIS SYSTEM. |
| + | SHOULD REGENERATION OCCUR... THE SYSTEM WILL BE GIVEN A NEW | ||
| + | DESIGNATION. | ||
FORECASTER HUNTER | FORECASTER HUNTER | ||
| Line 72: | Line 65: | ||
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE | ||
LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY | LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY | ||
| − | ADVISORY NR | + | ADVISORY NR 5 ON SYSTEM |
| − | SYSTEM IS | + | SYSTEM IS THE REMNANTS OF DELTA |
| − | MSHPC DESIGNATION TROPICAL | + | MSHPC DESIGNATION TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AMY |
THIS IS AN OPERATIONAL TEST OF POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE WAY TCWC LLIWO | THIS IS AN OPERATIONAL TEST OF POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE WAY TCWC LLIWO | ||
| Line 80: | Line 73: | ||
GULF SEASON. | GULF SEASON. | ||
| − | ADVISORY NR | + | FINAL ADVISORY NR 5 |
| − | + | REMNANTS OF DELTA (AMY 4515) - HPA | |
| − | INITIAL ANALYSIS AT 15/ | + | INITIAL ANALYSIS AT 15/0930 LST |
| − | POSITION WITHIN | + | POSITION WITHIN 200 NM LAT +46.7 LON +26.4 POOR CONFIDENCE |
| − | + | MAX WINDS GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS WITHIN SYSTEM. | |
| − | + | MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 15 KM/H | |
| − | + | ||
| − | MAX WINDS | + | |
| − | MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST AT | + | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | THIS IS THE FINAL | + | THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ANALYSIS FROM TCWC LLIWO. |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
ISSUED BY GORDON | ISSUED BY GORDON | ||
Revision as of 08:24, 16 October 2006
MSHPC
|
| Tropical Disturbance Amy | |
|---|---|
| Open trough | |
| As of: | 0930 local time June 15, 2145 |
| Location: | Unidentifiable centre |
| Maximum winds: |
55 km/h (35 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1001 hPa |
| Movement: | East-northeast at 16 km/h (10 mph) |
| See final advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4515 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AMY (4515) FINAL ADVISORY 005 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145 IF I WAS DUMBFOUNDED EARLIER WITH AMY'S REFUSAL TO STRENGTHEN... I AM EVEN MORE DUMBFOUNDED NOW. IN 29 DEGREES CELSIUS WATER AND 10-KNOT WIND SHEAR... AMY HAS DEGENERATED INTO AN OPEN TROUGH. THIS WILL THEREFORE BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON WHAT IS LEFT OF AMY. ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SYSTEM... WHICH HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE LIFE-THREATENING AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. IF THIS SYSTEM MANAGES TO REGAIN A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND REGENERATE... IT WOULD BE RE-NUMBERED AS I CANNOT FIND ANY SIGNS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRC CENTRE RIGHT NOW. BASED ON GENERAL MOTION OF THE SYSTEM WHILE IT WAS STILL A TROPICAL CYCLONE... INITIAL MOTION OF THE TROUGH IS ESTIMATED AT 025/9. AT 9 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM AMY HAS DEGENERATED INTO AN OPEN TROUGH AND NO CIRCULATION CENTRE CAN BE FOUND ON SATELLITE. THE TROUGH HAS MAXIMUM WINDS OF UP TO 30 KT... 55 KM/H/35 MPH... MINIMUM PRESSURE READING RETURNED FROM SIX DIFFERENT METERS WAS 1001 HPA. ESTIMATED MOVEMENT OF THE OPEN TROUGH IS NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 16 KM/H... 10 MPH. OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL TIME... 15/0900H INITIAL... OPEN TROUGH REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT INFORMATION... AMY HAS DEGENERATED INTO AN OPEN TROUGH WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF UP TO 55 KM/H. MINIMUM PRESSURE REPORTED WAS 1001 HPA... THE TROUGH IS ESTIMATED TO BE MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 16 KM/H. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE MSHPC ON THIS SYSTEM. SHOULD REGENERATION OCCUR... THE SYSTEM WILL BE GIVEN A NEW DESIGNATION. FORECASTER HUNTER
LLIWO
DA04 TCWC LLIWO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE LOX LAND ISLAND WEATHER OBSERVATORY ADVISORY NR 5 ON SYSTEM SYSTEM IS THE REMNANTS OF DELTA MSHPC DESIGNATION TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AMY THIS IS AN OPERATIONAL TEST OF POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE WAY TCWC LLIWO ISSUES ADVISORIES. THIS TEST WILL RUN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LOX GULF SEASON. FINAL ADVISORY NR 5 REMNANTS OF DELTA (AMY 4515) - HPA INITIAL ANALYSIS AT 15/0930 LST POSITION WITHIN 200 NM LAT +46.7 LON +26.4 POOR CONFIDENCE MAX WINDS GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS WITHIN SYSTEM. MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 15 KM/H THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ANALYSIS FROM TCWC LLIWO. ISSUED BY GORDON
