TD11 (2145)

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Latest storm information
Tropical Storm Nitschke
Tropical storm
As of: 0400 local time June 11, 2145
Location: 37.3°N 23.9°E
About 550 km (345 miles) southwest of Victory Union, PopularFreedom
Maximum
winds:
75 km/h (45 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 1002 hPa
Movement: Northeast at 26 km/h (16 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4511 TCWC HPCOR
TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY 002
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145

RECON FLIGHT REPORTED 37 KT SUSTAINED WINDS. RECENTLY-UPPED T-NUMBERS OF
2.5 FROM BOTH HDCW AND UHWF... PLUS GENERAL APPEARANCE OF SYSTEM... INITIAL
ADVISORY IS UPPED AND SET... PERHAPS A BIT STRONGLY... AT 40 KT.

MOST COMPUTER MODELS STILL TAKE NITSCHKE INTO A LOOP. ALL SEVEN OF THEM
ALSO MAKE IT EXTRATROPICAL AND FOUR SUGGEST IT BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE
FUTURE... THE QUESTION IS HOW QUICKLY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY
TENTATIVE... BUT WILL ASSUME EXTRATROPICALITY AT THE EARLIEST SUGGESTED
BY THE AFLE... 24 HOURS.

AT 3 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR 37.3N 23.9E...
OR ABOUT 550 KM... 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT 26 KM/H.

OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST...
1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H
INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 37.3 N 23.9 E... 40 KT
11/0900H... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT
11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
12/1500H... 37.2 N 24.4 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED
12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM

THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT.

FORECASTER HUNTER