TD11 (2145)
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Tropical Storm Nitschke | |
---|---|
Tropical storm | |
As of: | 0400 local time June 11, 2145 |
Location: | 37.3°N 23.9°E About 550 km (345 miles) southwest of Victory Union, PopularFreedom |
Maximum winds: |
75 km/h (45 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
Pressure: | 1002 hPa |
Movement: | Northeast at 26 km/h (16 mph) |
See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here |
4511 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND 1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 RECON FLIGHT REPORTED 37 KT SUSTAINED WINDS. RECENTLY-UPPED T-NUMBERS OF 2.5 FROM BOTH HDCW AND UHWF... PLUS GENERAL APPEARANCE OF SYSTEM... INITIAL ADVISORY IS UPPED AND SET... PERHAPS A BIT STRONGLY... AT 40 KT. MOST COMPUTER MODELS STILL TAKE NITSCHKE INTO A LOOP. ALL SEVEN OF THEM ALSO MAKE IT EXTRATROPICAL AND FOUR SUGGEST IT BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE FUTURE... THE QUESTION IS HOW QUICKLY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY TENTATIVE... BUT WILL ASSUME EXTRATROPICALITY AT THE EARLIEST SUGGESTED BY THE AFLE... 24 HOURS. AT 3 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR 37.3N 23.9E... OR ABOUT 550 KM... 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT 26 KM/H. OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 37.3 N 23.9 E... 40 KT 11/0900H... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT 11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 12/1500H... 37.2 N 24.4 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED 12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER