TD17 (2145)
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| Tropical Storm Brent | |
|---|---|
| Tropical storm | |
| As of: | 0500 local time July 29, 2145 |
| Location: | 41.6°N 34.2°E 50 km (30 miles) east of Magna Carta, PopularFreedom |
| Maximum winds: |
65 km/h (40 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1007 hPa |
| Movement: | Almost stationary |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4517 TCWC MSHPC TROPICAL STORM BRENT (4517) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU HPCLC CYCLONESVILLE WT LIVERPOOL ENGLAND WARNING CENTRE HPCWT 1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 5 AM LOCAL TIME JUL 29 2145 WHILST STILL MEANDERING OFF THE COAST OF POPULARFREEDOM NEAR MAGNA CARTA... TD-SEVENTEEN HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM BRENT... THE 15TH OF THE SEASON. IT IS STILL A MIDGET SYSTEM... SO MAJOR INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. AT 2 AM LOCAL TIME... 12 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES WERE INITIATED. AT 3 AM HPT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CITY OF MAGNA CARTA AND THE IMMEDIATE ADJACENT COAST... AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT NORTHWARD TO... AND INCLUDING... THE CITY OF LOCKE HARBOR. AT 3 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN WAS LOCATED BY CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 34.2 EAST... OR ABOUT 50 KM... 30 MILES... EAST OF MAGNA CARTA POPULARFREEDOM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 65 KM/H OR 40 MPH... AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THIS SYSTEM IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 HPA. AN AFLE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT IS SCHEDULED TO FLY THIS SYSTEM AT 0615 HPT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS STATIONARY. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO JUST 25 KM... 15 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 200 MM... 8 IN... ARE POSSIBLE OVER MAGNA CARTA... AND OF UP TO 100 MM... 4 INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE NEAR LOCKE HARBOR. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BOTH CITIES. WILL BORROW FROM PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC... GIVEN THE APPARENT LACK OF ANY STEERING MECHANISM AT THIS POINT...HAVE KEPT THE STORM STATIONARY FOR THE FIRST SIX HOURS OR SO. BY THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW LOOP... EGGED ON BY A NICE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE SW. TROPICAL STORM BRENT IS IN AN AREA OF 10-15 KNOT SHEAR... AND 27-28 DEGREE C SSTS. THESE ARE SIGNS OF POSSIBLE STRENGTHENING... AND WITH SUCH A MIDGET SYSTEM - NO MORE THAN 50 NM... 95 KM... ACROSS... RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE. ACCORDINGLY... THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A MINIMAL HURRICANE BEFORE WEAKENING DUE TO IT RECROSSING ITS PATH OF COOLER SSTS. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 29/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT. INITIAL... 41.6 N 34.2 E... 35 KT 29/0900H... 41.6 N 34.2 E... 45 KT 29/1500H... 41.7 N 34.3 E... 50 KT 30/0300H... 41.7 N 34.5 E... 65 KT 30/1500H... 41.6 N 34.3 E... 60 KT 31/0300H... 41.8 N 33.8 E... 35 KT...OVER WATER POST-LANDFALL 01/0300H... 42.4 N 36.9 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 01/0900H...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 41.6 N 34.2 E... ABOUT 50 KM EAST OF MAGNA CARTA, POPULARFREEDOM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 HPA. THE SYSTEM IS STATIONARY. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY HPCLC AT 9 AM HPT. FORECASTERS LAVAL/FRABANK
