TD17 (2145)
From NSwiki, the NationStates encyclopedia.
Revision as of 04:10, 4 November 2006 by Liverpool England (Talk | contribs)
|
| Tropical Storm Brent | |
|---|---|
| Tropical storm | |
| As of: | 1100 local time July 29, 2145 |
| Location: | 41.5°N 34.0°E Inland near or over Magna Carta, PopularFreedom |
| Maximum winds: |
65 km/h (40 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1005 hPa |
| Movement: | WNW slowly |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4517 TCWC HPCLC TROPICAL STORM BRENT (4517) ADVISORY 003 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 11 AM LOCAL TIME JUL 29 2145 VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTRE OF TS-BRENT MADE LANDFALL AT ABOUT 1017H LOCAL TIME. THE MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM IS HARD TO PREDICT. SINCE BRENT IS A MIDGET SYSTEM... IT IS POSSIBLE THAT IT COULD LOSE ITS IDENTITY INLAND. AT THIS POINT... ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE BEING DISCONTINUED. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH PREVIOUSLY ACTIVE STAYS IN EFFECT AS A PRECAUTION. AT 9 AM HPT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MAGNA CARTA NORTHWARD TO... AND INCLUDING... THE CITY OF LOCKE HARBOR. AT 9 AM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRENT WAS LOCATED BY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE CITY OF MAGNA CARTA, POPULARFREEDOM ... OR LATITUDE 41.5 NORTH LONGITUDE 34.0 EAST. AT THIS TIME... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 KM/H... 40 MPH... AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE SYSTEM IS 1005 HPA. THE AFLE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT FOR 0615 HPT WAS CANCELLED DUE TO THE STORM'S EXTREME PROXIMITY TO LAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNDER THE WEAK INFLUENCE OF A STEERING RIDGE PATTERN... BUT IF IT DOESN'T LOSE ITS IDENTITY IT SHOULD RE-EMERGE INTO OPEN WATER... WHICH IS JUSTIFICATION FOR RETAINING TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO JUST 15 KM... 10 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 200 MM... 8 IN... ARE POSSIBLE OVER MAGNA CARTA... AND OF UP TO 100 MM... 4 INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE NEAR LOCKE HARBOR. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BOTH CITIES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL BRING IT BACK INTO OPEN WATER AS A REMNANT LOW. WHETHER IT REGENERATES IS THE QUESTION HERE. GIVEN THE INCREASINGLY UNFAVOURABLE CONDITIONS... NOT CONFIDENT THAT WILL HAPPEN... AND WILL DISSIPATE IT WITHIN 24 HR. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 29/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT. INITIAL... 41.5 N 34.0 E... 35 KT...INLAND 29/1500H... 41.6 N 33.8 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING 29/2100H... 41.9 N 33.6 E... 20 KT...OVER WATER/REMNANT LOW 30/0900H...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... 41.5 N 34.0 E... MAGNA CARTA, POPULARFREEDOM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 KM/H... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 HPA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WNW. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY HPCLC AT 3 PM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL
