Difference between revisions of "Liverpool England MSHPC Tropical Weather Updates"
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'''Tropical Weather Updates''' are 12-hourly outlook bulletins issued during cyclone season by the [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service]] Hurricane Prediction Centre that summarises tropical weather activity in [[The Heartland]], and gives a short-term forecast of possible development of tropical cyclones. They are sometimes issued outside-of-season, at a rate of one every 24 hours, when there is (rare) tropical activity. | '''Tropical Weather Updates''' are 12-hourly outlook bulletins issued during cyclone season by the [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service]] Hurricane Prediction Centre that summarises tropical weather activity in [[The Heartland]], and gives a short-term forecast of possible development of tropical cyclones. They are sometimes issued outside-of-season, at a rate of one every 24 hours, when there is (rare) tropical activity. | ||
---- | ---- | ||
| − | TWUTH HPCOR | + | TWUTH HPCOR 291500 |
| − | TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE | + | TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE |
| − | LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE | + | [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] |
| − | OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS | + | [[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS |
| − | 3 PM HPT BULLETIN MARCH | + | 3 PM HPT BULLETIN MARCH 29 2146 |
| − | TROPICAL DISTURBANCE | + | TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 998 HPA NEAR 2.8N 38.9E MOVING ENE VERY SLOWLY |
| − | + | RECON FROM YESTERDAY FOUND THAT THERE WAS NO CLOSED CIRCULATION | |
| − | + | SO NO ADVISORIES WERE INITIATED. HOWEVER... SATELLITE SIGNATURE | |
| − | + | CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 24 HOURS | |
| − | + | REMAINS HIGH. ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO FLY INTO | |
| − | + | THE SYSTEM AT AROUND 6 PM HPT. CURRENT SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE | |
| − | + | T1.5 FROM ALL HDCW AND UHWF... AND T2.0/30 KT FROM AFLE. MAXIMUM | |
| − | RATES | + | SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 30 KT. BASED ON THE |
| − | + | MSHPC'S TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION GUIDELINES... THIS SYSTEM | |
| + | RATES 37 POINTS. | ||
FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS | FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS | ||
IN THE GENERAL AREA OF 3 DEG N LATITUDE/39 DEG E LONGITUDE. SSTS ARE NEAR | IN THE GENERAL AREA OF 3 DEG N LATITUDE/39 DEG E LONGITUDE. SSTS ARE NEAR | ||
| − | 29 DEG C. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE... | + | 29 DEG C. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LOW TO MODERATE... 15-20 KT... BUT EXPECTED |
| − | TO LIGHTEN. | + | TO LIGHTEN. LLCC CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. DEEP CONVECTION FLARING TO NORTH |
| − | + | AND EAST OF SYSTEM... LLCC REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO SW OF CONVECTION | |
| − | + | ALTHOUGH SOME CONVECTION TRYING TO GET GOING THERE. POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL | |
| − | FORMATION IN NEXT 24 HOURS | + | CYCLONE FORMATION IN NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. THIS FORMATION ALERT WILL |
| − | TO WARNING... | + | BE UPGRADED TO WARNING... REISSUED... OR CANCELLED BY 1500 HPT MARCH 30. |
NO OTHER DISTURBANCES OBSERVED. | NO OTHER DISTURBANCES OBSERVED. | ||
| − | NEXT TWU ISSUANCE AT 1500 HPT MARCH | + | NEXT TWU ISSUANCE AT 1500 HPT MARCH 30... OR EARLIER IF ADVISORIES INITIATED. |
| − | + | ||
| − | FORECASTER | + | FORECASTER HUNTER |
[[Category:Liverpool England tropical cyclones]] | [[Category:Liverpool England tropical cyclones]] | ||
Revision as of 02:24, 25 March 2007
Tropical Weather Updates are 12-hourly outlook bulletins issued during cyclone season by the Liverpool England Meteorological Service Hurricane Prediction Centre that summarises tropical weather activity in The Heartland, and gives a short-term forecast of possible development of tropical cyclones. They are sometimes issued outside-of-season, at a rate of one every 24 hours, when there is (rare) tropical activity.
TWUTH HPCOR 291500 TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS 3 PM HPT BULLETIN MARCH 29 2146 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 998 HPA NEAR 2.8N 38.9E MOVING ENE VERY SLOWLY RECON FROM YESTERDAY FOUND THAT THERE WAS NO CLOSED CIRCULATION SO NO ADVISORIES WERE INITIATED. HOWEVER... SATELLITE SIGNATURE CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO FLY INTO THE SYSTEM AT AROUND 6 PM HPT. CURRENT SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE T1.5 FROM ALL HDCW AND UHWF... AND T2.0/30 KT FROM AFLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 30 KT. BASED ON THE MSHPC'S TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION GUIDELINES... THIS SYSTEM RATES 37 POINTS. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS IN THE GENERAL AREA OF 3 DEG N LATITUDE/39 DEG E LONGITUDE. SSTS ARE NEAR 29 DEG C. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LOW TO MODERATE... 15-20 KT... BUT EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN. LLCC CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. DEEP CONVECTION FLARING TO NORTH AND EAST OF SYSTEM... LLCC REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO SW OF CONVECTION ALTHOUGH SOME CONVECTION TRYING TO GET GOING THERE. POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. THIS FORMATION ALERT WILL BE UPGRADED TO WARNING... REISSUED... OR CANCELLED BY 1500 HPT MARCH 30. NO OTHER DISTURBANCES OBSERVED. NEXT TWU ISSUANCE AT 1500 HPT MARCH 30... OR EARLIER IF ADVISORIES INITIATED. FORECASTER HUNTER
