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− | The Liverpool England [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|Meterological Service Hurricane Prediction Centre]] releases monthly summaries of tropical cyclone activity during the active season (February through December) in [[The Heartland]]. | + | {{Fakehurricane}} |
| + | The Liverpool England [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|Meterological Service Hurricane Prediction Centre]] releases monthly summaries of tropical cyclone activity during the active season (April through October) in [[The Heartland]]. |
| [[Category:Liverpool England tropical cyclones]][[Category:The Heartland]]<br> | | [[Category:Liverpool England tropical cyclones]][[Category:The Heartland]]<br> |
| [[/Past summaries]] | | [[/Past summaries]] |
| ---- | | ---- |
− | TCMS TCWC HPCOR CCA | + | TCMS1 HPCOR 022300 |
| TROPICAL CYCLONE MONTHLY SUMMARY | | TROPICAL CYCLONE MONTHLY SUMMARY |
− | JUNE 2145 | + | APRIL 2145 |
| LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE, OREAN | | LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE, OREAN |
− | 3 AM HPT JUL 1 2145 | + | 11 PM HPT MAY 2 2145 |
| | | |
− | CORRECTED TROPICALITY OF NITSCHKE | + | NO TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED IN APRIL... ALTHOUGH ONE SHORT TROPICAL DEPRESSION |
| + | EXISTED AT THE END OF MARCH. |
| | | |
− | SIX TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED IN JUNE... WELL ABOVE THE MONTHLY EXTRAPOLATED AVERAGE | + | TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE [4601] FORMED FROM A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF PRUDENTIA |
− | OF FOUR. OF THE SIX... FIVE... NITSCHKE 4511... GRIEL 4510... MIRSCQY 4513...
| + | THAT HAD LINGERED FOR ABOUT THREE DAYS ON MARCH 29. AN AIR FORCE RECON PLANE CONFIRMED |
− | LINAS 4514 AND AMY 4515... WERE NAMED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS THE ONLY
| + | A CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH A FLIGHT IN AT 5 PM HPT. CONDITIONS WERE GENERALLY |
− | UNNAMED STORM OF THE MONTH... BUT STILL BROUGHT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO AREAS
| + | FAVOURABLE BUT THE DEPRESSION WAS ALMOST STATIONARY FOR MOST OF ITS LIFE, AND EVENTUALLY |
− | OF KOMPA RU.
| + | UPWELLED ITSELF. IT DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW THE NEXT DAY AND THE LAST ADVISORY |
− |
| + | WAS ISSUED. |
− | THE FIRST AND LONGEST-LASTING STORM OF THE MONTH... IMPRESSIVE CATEGORY FIVE
| + | |
− | HURRICANE GRIEL (4510)... FORMED ON JUNE 10 FROM A DISTURBANCE WELL TO THE WEST OF
| + | |
− | TORQUAY THAT HAD BEEN CONTINUALLY GENERATING DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT A DAY. AN AFLE | + | |
− | RECONNAISANCE AIRCRAFT FLEW INTO THE SYSTEM ON JUNE 10 AND A SPECIAL ADVISORY WAS
| + | |
− | ISSUED AT 10/2200 HPT WHEN THE AIRCRAFT REPORTED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 40 KT. COUPLED
| + | |
− | WITH SPARSE SHIP REPORTS OF 35 KNOTS, BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE ANALYSIS AT THE TIME
| + | |
− | THE SYSTEM WAS INITIATED AS A 30-KT DEPRESSION. THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL
| + | |
− | STORM FIVE HOURS LATER BUT INSTEAD OF BEING NAMED NITSCHKE - THE NEXT NAME ON THE LIST
| + | |
− | - A DECISION WAS TAKEN TO NAME IT GRIEL, AS IT WAS DECIDED THAT STORM 4511 HAD REACHED
| + | |
− | TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH EARLIER THAN 4510 AND HENCE WOULD TAKE THE NEXT AVAILABLE NAME.
| + | |
− | AN INTERESTING POINT TO NOTE ABOUT THIS STORM WAS THAT WHILE TROPICAL... IT WAS ALWAYS
| + | |
− | WITHIN A HALF DEGREE LATITUDE OF 14.0 SOUTH. GRIEL CONTINUED TO MOVE WEST AND | + | |
− | STRENGTHENED INTO A HURRICANE AT 11/2100 HPT - BARELY 24 HOURS AFTER FORMING. CONSENSUS
| + | |
− | DATA-T OF 4.0 FROM HDCW AND UHWF WAS THE BASIS FOR UPGRADING GRIEL TO A 65-KT HURRICANE.
| + | |
− | ITS WESTWARD PATH CONTINUED AND AS IT MOVED OVER WARM WATERS GRIEL CONTINUED ITS
| + | |
− | INTENSIFICATION, BECOMING A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE JUST SIX HOURS LATER. THIS ADVISORY
| + | |
− | ... THE 6TH... WAS ALSO THE FIRST WHILE GRIEL WAS A HURRICANE TO MENTION THE POSSIBILITY
| + | |
− | OF A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE. AT 12/1500 HPT THE DECISION WAS MADE TO UPGRADE GRIEL TO A
| + | |
− | CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WITH 105-KNOT WINDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WAS PUT IN PLACE AT
| + | |
− | THIS TIME FOR THE COAST OF VASSFFORCIA. AGAIN... GRIEL'S RAPID STRENGTHENING PHASE BUMPED
| + | |
− | IT UP ANOTHER CATEGORY AT THE NEXT ADVISORY. AT THIS TIME IT WAS DECIDED TO PUT A TROPICAL
| + | |
− | STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO NUEVO. FURTHER WARNINGS AND WATCHES WERE SOON NEEDED
| + | |
− | FOR THE SOUTHERN VENERATIO-01 AND NORTHERN ANIMUS-01 COASTS. AT 13/1500 HPT A NEW REGIONAL
| + | |
− | RECORD FOR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 928 HPA... AND AN AFLE RECON AIRCRAFT
| + | |
− | WAS SCRAMBLED. A SIGNIFICANT RELOCATION OCCURRED AT 14/0300 HPT WITH THE FINDINGS OF THIS
| + | |
− | RECON FLIGHT... WHICH PLACED THE CENTRE OF GRIEL WEST OF THE EXPECTED POSITION. IT WAS
| + | |
− | ALSO AT THIS ADVISORY WHERE THE AFLE PLANE REPORTED 140-KT WINDS FROM A DROPSONDE... AS
| + | |
− | WELL AS A 907 HPA MINIMUM PRESSURE. THE PRESSURE READING FOR THIS ADVISORY WAS ESTIMATED
| + | |
− | AT 903 HPA AS THE READING WAS NOT FROM THE CENTRE. HOWEVER, THE 140-KT INTENSITY WAS
| + | |
− | UTILISED... MAKING GRIEL THE FIRST CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE OR CYCLONE THAT THE MSHPC OR
| + | |
− | EX-MSCPC HAD WARNED ON FOR SIX YEARS. THE MINIMUM PRESSURE FOR THIS CYCLONE... ALONG
| + | |
− | WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS... WERE REPORTED AT THE NEXT ADVISORY - 145 KT, 899 HPA - MAKING
| + | |
− | GRIEL THE STRONGEST CYCLONE EVER ON RECORD IN THE REGION. AT THIS POINT - 14/0900HPT...
| + | |
− | GRIEL HAD WOBBLED TO THE WNW... FORCING HURRICANE WARNINGS TO GO INTO EFFECT FOR
| + | |
− | PRUBDABLIA. A RAPID WEAKENING THEN ENSUED AS AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE TOOK PLACE AND
| + | |
− | GRIEL WOBBLED BACK ONTO ITS ORIGINAL PATH... NOW AS A 135-KT CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE. FURTHER
| + | |
− | WEAKENING UNTIL LANDFALL AT 15/1220 HPT AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. IN ALL GRIEL KILLED
| + | |
− | AT LEAST 35... AND CAUSED AS MUCH AS 500 MILLION LIVERPOOL POUNDS IN DAMAGE. THE STORM
| + | |
− | BECAME EXTRATROPICAL INLAND LATER THAT DAY AND ADVISORIES WERE STOPPED AT 15/1500 HPT.
| + | |
− | | + | |
− | NITSCHKE WAS ANOTHER SYSTEM THAT WARRANTED A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO INITIATE THE SYSTEM. AT
| + | |
− | THE SAME TIME THAT TD-TEN WAS NUMBERED... TWO SHIPS... SSC ARMADON AND NLES RUSSELL...
| + | |
− | REPORTED CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 KM OF THE CENTRE OF A DISTURBANCE
| + | |
− | LOCATED ABOUT 700 KM SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. THE SYSTEM WAS INITIATED AS A 30-KT
| + | |
− | DEPRESSION... ALTHOUGH DISCUSSIONS ARE CURRENTLY UNDER WAY AS TO WHETHER OR NOT THIS
| + | |
− | VALUE WILL BE UPPED TO 35 KT IN THE POST-STORM TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT. THE STORM WAS
| + | |
− | UPGRADED TO A 40-KT SYSTEM AT THE NEXT ADVISORY BASED ON AN IMPROVING SATELLITE
| + | |
− | APPEARANCE AND SOON COMMENCED ON A LOOP PATH. THE SYSTEM QUICKLY LOST TROPICALITY AND
| + | |
− | WAS DECLARED EXTRATROPICAL ON JUNE 11.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS A RAIN-BRINGER TO MANY PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL EASTERN
| + | |
− | PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST DISTRICT OF THE HEARTLAND. IT BEGAN AS A DISTURBANCE BUT NEVER
| + | |
− | GAINED ENOUGH ORGANISATION TO BE CLASSIFIED A TROPICAL CYCLONE UNTIL EARLY JUNE 11. DUE
| + | |
− | TO ITS GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... WATCHES WERE PUT INTO EFFECT. HOWEVER,
| + | |
− | INTERACTION WITH LAND MEANT THAT THE SYSTEM NEVER STRENGTHENED BEYOND ITS INITIAL ADVISORY | + | |
− | INTENSITY OF 30 KT. IT DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW 12 HOURS AFTER THE FIRST ADVISORY.
| + | |
− | HOWEVER... IT REMAINED A POTENT SYSTEM WITH THE HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE PICKING UP ON
| + | |
− | THE SYSTEM AND ISSUING FOUR ADVISORIES. UP TO SEVEN INCHES OF RAIN WERE REPORTED IN
| + | |
− | EAST KOMPA RU AND KOMPA RU... AS WELL AS UP TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ON THE OFFSHORE PARQUE
| + | |
− | DE CORRACION. THREE DEATHS WERE REPORTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. | + | |
− |
| + | |
− | TROPICAL STORM MIRSCQY WAS A WEIRD SYSTEM... BOTH IN NAME AND IN ITS LIFESPAN. THE SHORT-
| + | |
− | LIVED STORM MOVED SOUTH OFF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION,
| + | |
− | WHICH IS RARE. IT WAS UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BUT LOST EXTRATROPICALITY DUE TO A
| + | |
− | WEATHER FRONT.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORMED NORTH OF ALTHOS, SPAAMANIAN PLIJOUS LATE ON JUNE 12.
| + | |
− | THE SYSTEM... WHICH HAD BEEN MONITORED FOR ABOUT A DAY AND A HALF... WAS DETERMINED TO
| + | |
− | BE SUBTROPICAL IN NATURE AND WITH ENOUGH ORGANISATION TO WARRANT A DESIGNATION. TROPICAL
| + | |
− | STORM WARNINGS WERE SOON ISSUED FOR ALTHOS DUE TO FREQUENT GUSTS TO STORM STRENGTH -- A
| + | |
− | SHIP... CALL SIGN SNX334X... REPORTED A GUST TO 42 KT NEAR ALTHOS. THE STORM THEN SPED
| + | |
− | UP A BIT IN FORWARD SPEED AND STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR ALTHOS... MAKING
| + | |
− | LANDFALL NOT LONG AFTER, KILLING SEVEN.
| + | |
− |
| + | |
− | THE FINAL STORM OF THE MONTH FORMED FROM A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT
| + | |
− | WAS ORIGINALLY SPOTTED SOUTH OF LOX LAND ISLAND. THE SYSTEM MOVED OVER THE ISLAND,
| + | |
− | CAUSING WIND DAMAGE, BEFORE STRENGTHENING AND ORGANISING IN WARM WATERS NORTHEAST
| + | |
− | OF SCHIMPOL. IT WAS DESIGNATED A TROPICAL STORM AT THE INITIAL ADVISORY AND NAMED
| + | |
− | AMY WITH THE FIRST NAME OFF THE OLD NAMING LISTS. THE SYSTEM FAILED TO STRENGTHEN
| + | |
− | FURTHER AS EXPECTED IN FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS HOWEVER, AND DEGENERATED INTO AN OPEN
| + | |
− | TROUGH 24 HOURS AFTER FORMATION.
| + | |
| | | |
| SUMMARY TABLE | | SUMMARY TABLE |
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Line 24: |
| KT DAMAGE | | KT DAMAGE |
| --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
− | HU GRIEL 4510 10-15 JUN 145 35* NONE | + | MARCH |
− | TS NITSCHKE 4511 10-11 JUN 40 0 NONE | + | TD ONE 4601 29-30 MAR 30 0 NONE |
− | TD TWELVE 4512 11 JUN 30 3* NONE
| + | |
− | TS MIRSCQY 4513 12 JUN 35 0 NONE
| + | APRIL |
− | TS LINAS 4514 12-13 JUN 35 7* NONE | + | |
− | TS AMY 4515 14-15 JUN 35 0 MINIMAL | + | |
| | | |
− | MONTHLY TOTAL 6 JUNE 10-15 45* MINIMAL | + | MONTHLY TOTAL 1 29-30 MAR 0 NONE |
| | | |
− | *PRELIMINARY ESTIMATE
| |
| DATES ARE BASED ON LOCAL TIME | | DATES ARE BASED ON LOCAL TIME |
| --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| | | |
− | FORECASTERS CALTS/RINDLI/HUNTER/JOHNSON/JARVINEN | + | FORECASTER CALTS |