Difference between revisions of "TD03 (2146)"

Revision as of 01:17, 31 August 2007

ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones.

TCAD3 WHCO 070340
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 6
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
3 AM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 AM PAX TIME... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME

...EHECATL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...FAST LOSING TROPICALITY...THIS WILL
BE THE FINAL ADVISORY...

STORM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER LAND...INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT
BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 FROM AFLE AND UHWF...AND
T2.0 FROM HDCW...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. EHECATL IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION...045/15.

AT 3 AM HPT...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ESTIMATED TO BE
INLAND OVER GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 47.5 NORTH LONGITUDE
28.1 EAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GALE-FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. THIS
VALUE WILL FLUCTUATE AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.

EHECATL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 26 KM/H...16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM
STARTS TO GAIN IN FORWARD SPEED.

MOST MODELS HAVE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM MOVING OUT INTO THE NOLAN SOUND...
POSSIBLY BECOMING A MAJOR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THREE DAYS.

OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
INITIAL TIME...07/0300H
 INITIAL...47.5 N 28.1 E... 30 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
07/1500H...EXTRATROPICAL

REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...INLAND NEAR 47.5 NORTH 28.1 EAST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. SYSTEM IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 KT.

THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL.

FORECASTER KRUGER

TCTW03 FOLN 070340
TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE FOLENISA
ISSUED 0340 HPT MAY 7 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ
ACTIVE TIME:        0300HPT MAY 7 2146
WARNING CENTRE:     FOLENISA
TROPICAL CYCLONE:   EHECATL
WARNING NR:         6
POSITION:           47.5N 28.1E...INLAND
ACCURACY:           45NM
MOVEMENT:           NE 15KT
CENT PRES:          1001HPA
MAX WIND:           30KT
MAX GUST:           VARIABLE
FCST 12HR PSTN:     48.5N 29.4E...EXTRATROPICAL
FCST 12HR WINDS:    35KT EXTRATROPICAL
NEXT WARNING AT:    NO FURTHER WARNINGS=

WXTC01 KBDP 070040
TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER THREE
BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL
ISSUED BY MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA
ISSUED AT 1:10 AM LOCAL TIME...0040 HPT MAY 7 2146
IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA

CURRENT WARNINGS AND WATCHES...
INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7
AVALANCHE ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7
FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7
SLEET WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED...

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... AND A SLEET WARNING... REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA UNTIL 7 AM LATER TODAY.

AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY... AND FLASH FLOOD WARNING... REMAIN IN EFFECT
FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA UNTIL 1 PM LATER TODAY.

ALL COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. GUSTS FROM TROPICAL STORM
EHECATL TO ABOVE 65 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PENINSULA... ESPECIALLY
AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AS THE STORM WEAKENS... GUSTS WILL DECREASE IN
STRENGTH OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING... AT WHICH POINT THE HURRICANE
WIND WARNING WILL BE DISCONTINUED AND REPLACED WITH A MORE APPROPRIATE
WARNING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. ALMOST 100 MM OF PRECIPITAION... MOSTLY
RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE BORLEAI DEFENCE POST AND AT LOWER ELEVATIONS BUT
ALSO SOME SNOW... HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE PENINSULA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS.
UP TO 255 MM OF PRECIPITATION... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO DOUBLE
THAT... WILL FALL IN TOTAL ACROSS THE EASTERN PENINSULA. MELTING SNOW AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. IF IN A WARNING
AREA... BE READY TO EVACUATE AT SHORT NOTICE IF NECESSARY.

AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. AN AVALANCHE WAS REPORTED WITHIN THE LAST
24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE HAVE BEEN NONE SINCE. THIS ADVISORY MAY BE DOWNGRADED
TO A WATCH LATER TODAY. IF WITHIN AVALANCHE ADVISORY AREA... AVOID ALL MOUNTAINS...
NO MATTER HOW HIGH... AT ALL COSTS. DO NOT RISK GETTING CAUGHT IN AN AVALANCHE.

A SLEET WARNING IS IN EFFECT... RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS MIXED WITH ICE
FROM HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAS BEEN REPORTED. THIS WILL MAKE ROADS VERY SLIPPERY
AND VISIBILITY VERY POOR. AVOID DRIVING.

EHECATL MADE LANDFALL AROUND 2125 LOCAL TIME. IT HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY SINCE...
WITH THE MSHPC CURRENTLY PREPARING A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE THAT THE STORM NOW
HAS WEAKENED TO 35 KNOTS... 999 HECTOPASCALS. HIGH GUSTS... OCCASIONALLY TO OR OVER
HURRICANE FORCE... ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE STORM IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 7:30 AM... AND MAY BE SUPERSEDED IN
THE CASE OF ANY ALTERATIONS TO WARNINGS.

FORECASTER RHYSNOLAN/SWC MTN