Difference between revisions of "TD10 (2145)"
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{{Storm active2|name=Tropical Depression Ten | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical Depression Ten | ||
| − | | | + | |category=depression|type=Tropical depression |
| + | |local time=2200 | ||
| + | |date=June 10 | ||
| + | |year=2145 | ||
| + | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 13.8°S 10.4°E]<br/>About 3580 km (2240 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia | ||
| + | |winds=55 km/h (30 mph) | ||
| + | |windtype=1-minute sustained | ||
| + | |pressure=1001 hPa | ||
| + | |movement=West at 24 km/h (15 mph) | ||
| + | |advisory=first}} | ||
| + | ---- | ||
| + | 4510 TCWC HPCLC | ||
| + | TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN (4510) SPECIAL ADVISORY 001 | ||
| + | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | ||
| + | MSHPC LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU | ||
| + | 8 PM PAX... 10 PM HPT/LOCAL TIME JUN 10 2145 | ||
| + | |||
| + | RECON DATA IS IN. RECON REPORTED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 40 KT... | ||
| + | WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 KT HAVE BEEN REPORTED... | ||
| + | ALBEIT VERY SPARSELY... BY SHIPS IN THE REGION. BASED ON T-NUMBERS | ||
| + | FROM HDCW AND UHWF... ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION | ||
| + | TEN... LOCATED FAR WEST OF TORQUAY AND FAR EAST OF VASSFFORCIA IN | ||
| + | NO-MAN'S LAND... AT 30 KNOTS. | ||
| + | |||
| + | WIND SHEAR IS A VERY LOW 5 TO 10 KNOTS. WATERS ARE WAY TOO WARM... | ||
| + | NEAR 35 DEG C IN SOME PLACES... AND THIS MIGHT LEAD TO EXPLOSIVE | ||
| + | INTENSIFICATION. I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS BECAME A CATEGORY | ||
| + | FIVE HURRICANE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. | ||
| + | |||
| + | AT 10 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR | ||
| + | 13.8S 10.4E... OR ABOUT 3580 KM... 2240 MILES... EAST OF PUERTO NUEVO, | ||
| + | VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY 55 KM/H... 35 MPH... | ||
| + | GUSTING TO 45 KT... AND TD-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 24 KM/H... 15 MPH... | ||
| + | THIS MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 72 TO 96 HOURS. | ||
| + | MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 HPA. | ||
| + | |||
| + | DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN FORECASTING STORMS THAT ARE IN THIS GENERAL | ||
| + | AREA... AS SEEN WITH FELICIA AND GEORGE... THE LOCATION FORECASTS ARE | ||
| + | NOT PROVIDED BEYOND 36 HOURS... AND ONLY INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE PROVIDED. | ||
| + | BASED ON AVAILABLE COMPUTER MODELS... WHICH ARE ALL GENERALLY IN GOOD | ||
| + | AGREEMENT... TD-TEN WILL BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN 36 HOURS. LATER IN THE | ||
| + | 96-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD... THE INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE HDCW | ||
| + | EXTRAPOLATED MODEL... AND BRINGS TD-TEN TO A CATEGORY FOUR 120-KT HURRICANE. | ||
| + | |||
| + | OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... | ||
| + | 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H OR 115 MPH... | ||
| + | INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 10/2200H... ALL TIMES IN HPT | ||
| + | INITIAL... 13.8 S 10.4 E... 30 KT | ||
| + | 10/0300H... 13.8 S 10.0 E... 40 KT | ||
| + | 11/0900H... 13.9 S 09.2 E... 45 KT | ||
| + | 11/2100H... 14.0 S 08.3 E... 60 KT | ||
| + | 12/0900H... 14.0 S 07.6 E... 75 KT | ||
| + | 12/2100H... UNAVAILABLE ... 95 KT | ||
| + | 13/2100H... UNAVAILABLE ...110 KT | ||
| + | 14/2100H... UNAVAILABLE ...120 KT | ||
| + | |||
| + | REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION... 13.8S 10.4E OR ABOUT 3580 KM EAST OF PUERTO | ||
| + | NUEVO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MOVING | ||
| + | WEST AT 24 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 HPA. | ||
| + | |||
| + | THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT. | ||
| + | |||
| + | FORECASTER LAVAL | ||
Revision as of 07:49, 6 September 2006
| Tropical Depression Ten | |
|---|---|
| Tropical depression | |
| As of: | 2200 local time June 10, 2145 |
| Location: | 13.8°S 10.4°E About 3580 km (2240 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia |
| Maximum winds: |
55 km/h (30 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1001 hPa |
| Movement: | West at 24 km/h (15 mph) |
| See first advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4510 TCWC HPCLC TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN (4510) SPECIAL ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 8 PM PAX... 10 PM HPT/LOCAL TIME JUN 10 2145 RECON DATA IS IN. RECON REPORTED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 40 KT... WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 KT HAVE BEEN REPORTED... ALBEIT VERY SPARSELY... BY SHIPS IN THE REGION. BASED ON T-NUMBERS FROM HDCW AND UHWF... ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN... LOCATED FAR WEST OF TORQUAY AND FAR EAST OF VASSFFORCIA IN NO-MAN'S LAND... AT 30 KNOTS. WIND SHEAR IS A VERY LOW 5 TO 10 KNOTS. WATERS ARE WAY TOO WARM... NEAR 35 DEG C IN SOME PLACES... AND THIS MIGHT LEAD TO EXPLOSIVE INTENSIFICATION. I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS BECAME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AT 10 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 10.4E... OR ABOUT 3580 KM... 2240 MILES... EAST OF PUERTO NUEVO, VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY 55 KM/H... 35 MPH... GUSTING TO 45 KT... AND TD-TEN IS MOVING WEST AT 24 KM/H... 15 MPH... THIS MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 72 TO 96 HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 HPA. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN FORECASTING STORMS THAT ARE IN THIS GENERAL AREA... AS SEEN WITH FELICIA AND GEORGE... THE LOCATION FORECASTS ARE NOT PROVIDED BEYOND 36 HOURS... AND ONLY INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE PROVIDED. BASED ON AVAILABLE COMPUTER MODELS... WHICH ARE ALL GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT... TD-TEN WILL BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN 36 HOURS. LATER IN THE 96-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD... THE INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE HDCW EXTRAPOLATED MODEL... AND BRINGS TD-TEN TO A CATEGORY FOUR 120-KT HURRICANE. OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H OR 115 MPH... INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 10/2200H... ALL TIMES IN HPT INITIAL... 13.8 S 10.4 E... 30 KT 10/0300H... 13.8 S 10.0 E... 40 KT 11/0900H... 13.9 S 09.2 E... 45 KT 11/2100H... 14.0 S 08.3 E... 60 KT 12/0900H... 14.0 S 07.6 E... 75 KT 12/2100H... UNAVAILABLE ... 95 KT 13/2100H... UNAVAILABLE ...110 KT 14/2100H... UNAVAILABLE ...120 KT REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION... 13.8S 10.4E OR ABOUT 3580 KM EAST OF PUERTO NUEVO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MOVING WEST AT 24 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 HPA. THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL
