Difference between revisions of "TD10 (2145)"

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{{WatchesWarnings map|imagename=Watch_Warn_NS_TD_4510.png}}
 
{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
 
{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
 
|category=cat4|type=Category 4 major hurricane
 
|category=cat4|type=Category 4 major hurricane
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|movement=West at 22 km/h (14 mph)
 
|movement=West at 22 km/h (14 mph)
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
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  4510 TCWC HPCOR
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR

Revision as of 13:36, 20 September 2006

Current warnings and watches
{{{1}}}
Latest storm information
Hurricane Griel
Category 4 major hurricane
As of: 2000 local time June 12, 2145
Location: 13.9°S 5.7°E
About 2290 km (1430 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia
Maximum
winds:
215 km/h (135 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 954 hPa
Movement: West at 22 km/h (14 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4510 TCWC HPCOR
HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 009
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
7 PM PAX... 9 PM HPT... 8 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 12 2145

..GRIEL STRENGTHENS INTO SEASON'S SECOND CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW IN EFFECT... SERVICIO METEOROLÓGICO
NACIONAL UNV HAS ISSUED EVACUATION ORDERS... PLEASE CONSULT LOCAL
AUTHORITIES FOR MORE INFORMATION.

MODELS INITIALISED GRIEL AT 110 KT... BUT GRIEL'S IMPRESSIVE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS THE JUSTIFICATION FOR SETTING INITIAL
INTENSITY AT 115 KNOTS... OR CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH. FURTHER
GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED... AND GRIEL COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE.

AT 9 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LONGITUDE 13.9 SOUTH
LATITUDE 5.7 EAST... OR ABOUT 2290 KM... 1430 MILES EAST OF PUERTO
NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
215 KM/H... 135 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 22 KM/H OR 14 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 954 HPA/MBAR. 

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR CIUDAD ESTADO DE 
PUERTO NUEVO... AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT COAST. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF VASSFFORICA... FROM THE COAST
OF IBPORTIA NORTHWARD TO PRUBDABLIA. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24
TO 36 HOURS... WHILE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MEAN THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 340 KM...
215 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST AND NORTH... 
WHILE HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 KM...
75 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE.

HURRICANE ADVISORY/ALERTS ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE UNV SERVICIO
METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL... PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL BULLETINS FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME IS 12/2100H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 13.9 S 05.7 E...115 KT... CAT 4
13/0300H... 13.9 S 05.2 E...120 KT
13/0900H... 13.8 S 04.6 E...125 KT 
13/2100H... 13.8 S 03.4 E...130 KT 
14/0900H... 13.8 S 02.3 E...135 KT 
14/2100H... 13.9 S 01.4 E...140 KT... CAT 5 
15/2100H... 13.9 S 00.8 W...105 KT 
16/2100H... 13.0 S 03.5 W... 50 KT... INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... 13.9 SOUTH 5.7 EAST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 215 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 954 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 22 KM/H.

THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT.

FORECASTERS JARVINEN/HARDING