Difference between revisions of "TD10 (2145)"

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{{WatchesWarnings map|http://img172.imageshack.us/img172/6830/watchwarnnstd4510tg0.png}}
+
{{WatchesWarnings map|http://img88.imageshack.us/img88/3483/watchwarnnstd4510yr1.png}}
 
{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
 
{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
|category=cat2|type=Category 2 hurricane
+
|category=cat1|type=Category 1 hurricane
|local time=0600
+
|local time=0930
 
|date=June 15
 
|date=June 15
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 14.1&deg;S 2.3&deg;W]<br/>About 195 km (120 miles) east of [[Puerto Nuevo]], [[Vassfforcia]]
+
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 14.2&deg;S 3.0deg;W]<br/>About 80 km (50 miles) northeast of [[Puerto Nuevo]], [[Vassfforcia]]
|winds=165 km/h (105 mph)
+
|winds=140 km/h (85 mph)
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
|pressure=951 hPa
+
|pressure=971 hPa
|movement=W at 42 km/h (26 mph)
+
|movement=NNW at 64 km/h (40 mph)
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
|advisory=latest}}
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
----
 
----
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR
  HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 019
+
  HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 019A
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
  7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 6 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145
+
  10:30 AM PAX... 12:30 PM HPT... 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145
 
   
 
   
  GRIEL VERY CLOSE TO LANDFALL... NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...
+
  GRIEL MAKES LANDFALL...
 
   
 
   
  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PRUBDABLIA SOUTHWARD
+
  REPORT OF EYE CROSSING COAST ABOUT 100 KM NE OF PUERTO NUEVO AT
FOR 130 KM... AS WELL AS FOR THE IBPORTIAN COAST ALONG THE BAY
+
  ABOUT 12:20 PM HPT. GRIEL HAS WEAKENED INTO A CATEGORY ONE
  OF PAVELLÓS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
+
  HURRICANE AND IS STARTING TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL.
  CITY-STATE OF PUERTO NUEVO AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE BAY
+
OF PAVELLÓS...NORTHWARD TO 13 SOUTH 1.8 WEST.  
+
 
   
 
   
  LANDFALL IN ABOUT TWO OR THREE HOURS...
+
  ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED.
 
   
 
   
  AT 9 AM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 SOUTH
+
  A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CITY-STATE OF
LONGITUDE 2.3 WEST... OR ABOUT 195 KM... 120 MILES EAST OF
+
  PUERTO NUEVO AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE BAY OF PAVELLÓS
  PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
+
  NORTHWARD TO 13 SOUTH 1.8 WEST. THIS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
  TO ABOUT 165 KM/H... 105 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A
+
  LATER TODAY.
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
+
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE WEST AT 42 KM/H OR 26 MPH... MINIMUM
+
  CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 HECTOPASCALS OR MBAR.
+
 
   
 
   
  TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 480 KM...
+
AT 12:30 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2
  300 MILES FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CENTRE... WHILE
+
SOUTH LONGITUDE 3.0 WEST... OR ABOUT 80 KM... 50 MILES NORTHEAST
  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 280 KM...
+
OF PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
  175 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.
+
TO ABOUT 140 KM/H... 85 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A
 +
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...
 +
BUT IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE
 +
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 64 KM/H OR 40 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
 +
971 HECTOPASCALS OR MBAR.
 +
 +
  TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 350 KM...
 +
  220 MILES FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CENTRE... WHILE
 +
  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 KM...
 +
  60 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.
 
   
 
   
 
  HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 12 INCHES... 305 MM... ARE
 
  HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 12 INCHES... 305 MM... ARE
  POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA NEAR THE COAST. AS A NEW WEATHER
+
  POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA NEAR THE COAST. CITIES AND TOWNS
SYSTEM IS PUSHING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST FROM DASHAKE IT SHOULD
+
NEAR RIVERS... ESPECIALLY THE RIVER ZULFÍA... SHOULD BE PREPARED
CAUSE GRIEL TO TAKE A NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY TURN BEFORE ABSORBING IT.
+
IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.
CITIES AND TOWNS NEAR RIVERS... ESPECIALLY THE RIVER ZULFÍA...
+
SHOULD BE PREPARED IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST
  INITIAL TIME IS 15/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT
+
  INITIAL TIME IS 15/1230H... ALL TIMES HPT
   INITIAL... 14.1 S 02.3 W... 90 KT... CAT 2 NEAR LANDFALL
+
   INITIAL... 14.2 S 03.0 W... 75 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
 
  15/1500H... 13.5 S 03.6 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
 
  15/1500H... 13.5 S 03.6 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
 
  15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM
 
  15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM
 
   
 
   
  REPEATING THE 9 AM HPT POSITION... 14.1 SOUTH 2.3 WEST. MAXIMUM
+
  REPEATING THE 12:30 PM HPT POSITION... 14.2 SOUTH 3.0 WEST. MAXIMUM
  SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 165 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
+
  SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
  PRESSURE 951 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 42 KM/H.
+
  PRESSURE 971 HPA... MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 64 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
  AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT TIME OF
+
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM HPT.
LANDFALL... FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT 3 PM HPT.
+
 
   
 
   
  FORECASTERS JONHSON/LAVAL
+
  FORECASTER JOHNSON

Revision as of 11:01, 18 October 2006

Current warnings and watches
watchwarnnstd4510yr1.png
Latest storm information
Hurricane Griel
Category 1 hurricane
As of: 0930 local time June 15, 2145
Location: 14.2°S 3.0deg;W
About 80 km (50 miles) northeast of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia
Maximum
winds:
140 km/h (85 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 971 hPa
Movement: NNW at 64 km/h (40 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4510 TCWC HPCOR
HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 019A
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
10:30 AM PAX... 12:30 PM HPT... 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145

GRIEL MAKES LANDFALL...

REPORT OF EYE CROSSING COAST ABOUT 100 KM NE OF PUERTO NUEVO AT
ABOUT 12:20 PM HPT. GRIEL HAS WEAKENED INTO A CATEGORY ONE
HURRICANE AND IS STARTING TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL.

ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CITY-STATE OF
PUERTO NUEVO AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE BAY OF PAVELLÓS
NORTHWARD TO 13 SOUTH 1.8 WEST. THIS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TODAY.

AT 12:30 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2
SOUTH LONGITUDE 3.0 WEST... OR ABOUT 80 KM... 50 MILES NORTHEAST
OF PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
TO ABOUT 140 KM/H... 85 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...
BUT IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 64 KM/H OR 40 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
971 HECTOPASCALS OR MBAR.

TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 350 KM...
220 MILES FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CENTRE... WHILE
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 KM...
60 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 12 INCHES... 305 MM... ARE
POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA NEAR THE COAST. CITIES AND TOWNS
NEAR RIVERS... ESPECIALLY THE RIVER ZULFÍA... SHOULD BE PREPARED
IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME IS 15/1230H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 14.2 S 03.0 W... 75 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
15/1500H... 13.5 S 03.6 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM

REPEATING THE 12:30 PM HPT POSITION... 14.2 SOUTH 3.0 WEST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 971 HPA... MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 64 KM/H.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM HPT.

FORECASTER JOHNSON